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With a big win on Wednesday, the Miami Marlins avoided a season sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They return home to Miami for games against the Brewers, Nationals, and Braves. Coming into Friday, the Marlins sit at 14-17. They’ll face a tough opponent this weekend when the Milwaukee Brewers come to town. They sit atop the NL Central at 20-12.
I’ll cover the usual stuff in this series preview:
- Schedule, Watch, Listen
- Probable Pitchers
- Recent Lineups
- What To Watch For
- Poll: How Will This Series Play Out?
Schedule, Watch, Listen
Friday, May 13 at 6:40 pm
Saturday, May 14 at 6:10 pm
Sunday, May 15 at 1:40 pm
- TV broadcast for all 3 games: Bally Sports Sun for Friday’s game; Bally Sports Florida on Saturday and Sunday (Paul Severino and Gaby Sanchez)
- Radio broadcast for all 3 games: 940 AM WINZ, WAQI 710 (Glenn Geffner and J.P. Arencibia)
Probable Pitchers
Friday: RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Pablo López
- Burnes: 1.86 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 34.3 K%, 26.4 HardContact% in 38.2 IP
- López: 1.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 25.6 K%, 21.9 HardContact% in 36.0 IP
Saturday: LHP Eric Lauer vs. LHP Trevor Rogers
- Lauer: 1.82 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 36.2 K%, 22.4 HardContact% in 29.2 IP
- Rogers: 5.00 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 17.7 K%, 22.7 HardContact% in 27.0 IP
Sunday: RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. RHP Elieser Hernandez
- Woodruff: 5.97 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 29.4 K%, 26.4 HardContact% in 28.2 IP
- Hernandez: 6.37 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 21.1 K%, 23.3 HardContact% in 29.2 IP
Projected Lineups
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What to watch for on...
Friday: 2021 NL Cy Young winner.
- Corbin Burnes’ 2021 was magnificent: 2.43 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 on 28 starts.
- Of the three probable pitchers for the Brewers this weekend, Marlins hitters have had the most success against the reigning Cy Young winner. Jacob Stallings in 4-for-12 against Burnes, Garrett Cooper is 2-for-4, and Jesús Aguilar and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are both 2-for-3.
Saturday: Old friend Christian Yelich.
- Yelich’s 320 games at Marlins Park: .281/.364/.399 with 66 doubles, 11 triples, 18 home runs.
- After two less than stellar seasons in 2020 and 2021, Yelich looks to be back to his dominant self. He’s hitting the ball hard (55.3% hard hit rate is in the 98th percentile) and making high-quality contact that has continued to be productive even though offense is down league-wide.
Sunday: Which Brandon Woodruff shows up?
- Over the last few seasons, Woodruff has shown that he deserves the respect Burnes and other top starting pitchers get. In 30 starts last season, he held a 2.56 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 10.6 K/9.
- He hasn’t looked like that same pitcher this season though. His ERA is pushing 6.00 thanks to a ton of barrelled and hard hit balls, and his walk rate is higher than ever. When playing against a team like Milwaukee, the Marlins can’t afford to not capitalize on opponent’s mistakes. If Woodruff isn’t sharp, the Marlins have a chance to do damage and pick up a win against a top team.
Poll
May 13-15: How will this series play out?
This poll is closed
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6%
Marlins sweep, 3-0
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37%
Marlins win, 2-1
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43%
Brewers win, 2-1
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12%
Brewers sweep, 3-0
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