When will the Marlins join in on 2021’s no-hitter craze?

We are fast approaching the fourth anniversary of Edinson Vólquez’s no-hitter (June 3, 2017 against the Diamondbacks). Based on historical trends, the Marlins are due to throw another no-no—there were six of them within the franchise’s first 25 seasons—or at least be on the opposite end of one.

The unprecedented frequency of no-hitters has been a major storyline through the early portion of the 2021 season. There have been six of them completed in traditional nine-inning games, plus Madison Bumgarner’s “notable achievement” during a doubleheader.

Through their first 50 games, the Marlins have not been involved in any serious no-hit threats. Neither them nor their opponents have made it through six innings with a no-no intact. That’s somewhat surprising. Think about how often we worry about this team’s lousy offense! Meanwhile, the pitching staff led by Sandy Alcantara, Pablo López and Trevor Rogers has by far the lowest single-season batting average against in Marlins history (.221 BAA entering Thursday).

Most fans surveyed this week via MLB Reacts expect the no-hitter pace to slow down slightly.

With warmer weather and more reps, they’re showing faith in hitters to do greater damage.

The likelihood of a Marlins no-no figures to be lower than usual during the next two series. They’ll be going on the road to battle the deep lineups of the Red Sox and Blue Jays with the designated hitter in effect.

Marlins fan confidence was understandably through the roof coming out of spring training when the Fish posted the best record in the Grapefruit League with contributions from veterans and youngsters alike while avoiding significant injuries. But that confidence level has since dipped from 94% to 75% as reality has set in.

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