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Cardinals vs. Marlins Series Preview

Previewing the Marlins series against the Cardinals that begins Monday night.

Tampa Bay Rays v. Miami Marlins Photo by Mary Holt/MLB Photos via Getty Images

Your Miami Marlins face off against the St. Louis Cardinals today for the start of a 3-game series before hitting the road. In this series preview, you’ll get all the details:

  • Schedule, Watch, Listen
  • Probable Pitchers
  • Recent Lineups
  • What To Watch For

Schedule, Watch, Listen

Monday, April 5 at 6:40 pm

  • TV: Bally Sports Florida
  • Radio: 940 AM WINZ, WAQI 710

Tuesday, April 6 at 6:40 pm

  • TV: Bally Sports Florida
  • Radio: 940 AM WINZ, WAQI 710

Wednesday, April 7 at 4:10 pm

  • TV: Bally Sports Florida, Sun Sports HD, MLB Network (out-of-market only)
  • Radio: 940 AM WINZ, WAQI 710

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images

Probable Pitchers

Monday: RHP Daniel Ponce de Leon vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

  • Ponce de Leon (2020): 4.96 ERA, 5.64 FIP, 31.5 K%, 40.8 HardHit% in 32.2 IP
  • Rogers (2020): 6.11 ERA, 4.33 FIP, 30.0 K%, 39.5 HardHit% in 28.0 IP

Tuesday: RHP John Gant vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara

  • Gant (2020): 2.40 ERA, 2.19 FIP, 29.5 K%, 48.6% HardHit% in 15.0 IP
  • Alcantara (2020): 3.00 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 22.7 K%, 38.5 HardHit% in 42.0 IP

Wednesday: RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Pablo López

  • Flaherty (2020): 4.91 ERA, 4.11 FIP, 28.8 K%, 32.4 HardHit% in 40.1 IP
  • López (2020): 3.61 ERA, 3.09 FIP, 24.6 K%, 32.5 HardHit% in 57.1 IP

Recent Lineups

St. Louis Cardinals recent lineups
St. Louis Cardinals recent lineups
FanGraphs.com
Miami Marlins recept lineups
Miami Marlins recent lineups
FanGraphs.com

Please note that both the Cardinals and Marlins lineups listed here are the default projections vs. RHP. The three projected starters for the Cardinals in this series are all right-handers, but if that should change, the columns to the right with a red header are past lineups vs. LHP. Similarly, the columns to the right with a blue header are past lineups vs. RHP.


What to watch for on...

Monday: Cardinals starting pitcher Daniel Ponce de Leon vs. Marlins center fielder Starling Marte.

  • Marte’s career numbers against Ponce de Leon: 4 hits in 7 at-bats with 1 home run.
  • We sent out a tweet from the official Fish Stripes account after Marte struggled at the plate on Opening Day, going 0-for-4 with 4 strikeouts, noting that it was just the third time in his career that he struck out 4+ times and did not get on base. There’s no reason to panic — he hasn’t worn this Golden Sombrero since 2014 — and Marte proved that in the final two games of the Opening Series, recording 7 hits in 11 at-bats with no strikeouts.

Tuesday: Sandy Alcantara on the bump.

  • Simply put, Alcantara dazzled against the Tampa Bay Rays on Opening Day. He allowed just 2 hits over 6 scoreless innings and struck out 7 batters.
  • When he faces the Cardinals batters on Tuesday, he’ll stand opposite of sluggers Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado who, respectively, went 4-for-5 and 2-for-5 against Cincinnati Reds ace Luis Castillo on Opening Day.

Wednesday: Marlins batters contact vs. Jack Flaherty.

  • Flaherty generates a lot of swings and misses and records a lot of strikeouts. When batters make contact, it is very often soft contact and on the ground. Things get interesting when batters put the ball in the air — nearly 1 out of every 4 fly balls Flaherty gave up were home runs.
  • The Marlins faced Flaherty twice in spring training. In the longer of the two starts, they scored 4 runs on 5 hits, walked 3 times, and blasted a home run. In his start on Opening Day, the Cincinnati Reds knocked Flaherty around—he allowed 6 runs and gave up 2 long balls. This is, of course, a small sample size and we can’t take the spring training games too seriously. But, I think it’s worth keeping an eye on the contact the Marlins have Wednesday and whether or not they can put the ball in the air.

Poll

How will this series play out?

This poll is closed

  • 14%
    Marlins sweep, 3-0
    (4 votes)
  • 42%
    Marlins win, 2-1
    (12 votes)
  • 28%
    Cardinals win, 2-1
    (8 votes)
  • 14%
    Cardinals sweep, 3-0
    (4 votes)
28 votes total Vote Now