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Why Brinson May Be the Odd Man Out

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With the recent addition of Adam Duvall, the Marlins are tasked with parting ways with a member of their 40-man roster.

Division Series - Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins - Game Three Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images

Adam Duvall gives the Miami Marlins a dynamic that has seemingly dissipated since the departures of Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna, and Christian Yelich, power. Since the start of 2018, the first season without either of three, the Marlins rank dead-last in the sport with 334 home runs.

Now, with Duvall in the fold for 2021, signing a 1-year/$5 million contract that will only pay him $2 million in the coming season, the team theoretically now has 41 players on their current 40-man roster.

The swap of Alex Vesia and Dylan Floro doesn’t affect 40-man totals, but certainly shows new GM Kim Ng’s attempts to progressively better the big league roster.

As for Duvall though, his place on the roster is guaranteed given the financial commitment and the dynamic presence of his power, which calls for a name to be sent packing.

Lewis Brinson looks to be the player most deserving of that unfortunate nod.

The centerpiece in the trade that sent Yelich to Milwaukee, where he would go on to claim NL MVP honors in 2018 in a gradual ascendance to one of the sport’s elite offensive bats, Brinson has been the polar opposite in his time with the Marlins.

Among the 262 hitters with at least 700 plate appearances since the start of 2018, Brinson ranks last with an Adjusted OPS+ of just 49. To put it nicely, he’s a good hitting pitcher playing the outfield. In terms of total value, Brinson has been worth -2.8 WAR, according to baseball-reference. Only the Orioles Chris Davis at -5.7 has been worth less value than Brinson.

Beyond the mere offensive inefficiencies, the team’s 40-man roster currently boasts 8 outfielders, with two of them - Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte - being the highest paid members on the team. This alone calls for their place on the roster in 2021.

The likes of Jerar Encarnacion, Monte Harrison, and Jesús Sánchez all still maintain multiple minor league options, and could further benefit from additional season at the lower levels. Brinson, too, maintains a minor league option entering 2021, but the argument can made that he’s shown enough at the major level to convince the team his cause is but a lost one.

Magneuris Sierra could be a name thrown around with Brinson as a possible DFA-candidate, but the team still has faith in him given his recent 34-game sample in 2019-20 where he posted a modest 102 OPS+.