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Tank Race Tuesday: Four teams now projected for 100 losses

Yes, that group includes the Marlins.

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The Marlins still yearn for more cheap, controllable, high-upside talent to elevate their farm system to an elite level and lay the foundation for sustainable success. Stinking against major league competition this season is a critical step in that process. We don’t need to call it “tanking,” but let’s just say—behind closed doors—Miami’s front office will tolerate plenty of 2019 losses if it means selecting near the top of the 2020 MLB Draft and maximizing their 2020-21 international bonus pool. Fish Stripes will be monitoring this “race” for you (and creating new merch inspired by it).

FanGraphs ran performance projections for every team prior to Opening Day, but also continues to provide rest-of-season projections as the real games get played. See below for details regarding the five worst teams, including the Marlins, Orioles, Royals, Tigers, and Blue Jays.

Tigers

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 31-76, minus-215

2019 projected record and run differential: 53-109, minus-267

Upcoming schedule: 8/6-8/7 vs. White Sox (double header on 8/6), 8/8-8/11 vs. Royals, 8/13-8/15 vs. Mariners, 8/16-8/18 vs. Rays

Detroit continues to lose at a prodigious pace, winning just one of six games since last week. And that doesn’t even include the first half of the double-header they already dropped today. The Tigers lost two more wins off their season-end projections as a result.

Orioles

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 38-74, minus-193

2019 projected record and run differential: 57-105, minus-253

Upcoming schedule: 8/6-8/7 vs. Yankees, 8/9-8/11 vs. Astros, 8/12-8/14 at Yankees (includes double-header on the 12th), 8/16-8/18 vs. Red Sox

The Orioles have had three .500-or-better weeks in a row and are in danger of dropping to third in the Tank Race. They picked up a couple wins on their projected total.

Royals

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 40-74, minus-113

2019 projected record and run differential: 61-101, minus-148

Upcoming schedule: 8/6-8/7 at Red Sox, 8/8-8/11 at Tigers, 8/13-8/14 vs. Cardinals, 8/16-8/18 vs. Mets

The Royals dropped all six contests last week along with two games off their end-of-year projection. They’re just a game out of second in this competition.

Marlins

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 42-69, minus-112

2019 projected record and run differential: 62-100, minus-161

Upcoming schedule: 8/6-8/7 at Mets, 8/8-8/11 vs. Braves, 8/13-8/15 vs. Dodgers, 8/16-8/18 at Rockies

The Fish went 1-6 over the past seven days, including dropping both ends of a double-header to the Mets on Monday. Miami is back in fourth and once again projected to lose 100 games. At least some of the young guys are getting a chance to prove they belong.

Blue Jays

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 46-69, minus-63

2019 projected record and run differential: 67-95, minus-112

Upcoming schedule: 8/6-8/7 at Rays, 8/8-8/11 at Yankees, 8/12-8/14 vs. Rangers, 8/16-8/18 vs. Mariners

The Jays beat up on the Royals and Orioles for a 5-2 week and two additional wins on their final totals.