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Tank Race Tuesday: Status quo at the bottom of the bigs

Entering Tuesday, the Marlins are currently projected to finish in a tie for the third-worst record in baseball.

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The Marlins still yearn for more cheap, controllable, high-upside talent to elevate their farm system to an elite level and lay the foundation for sustainable success. Stinking against major league competition this season is a critical step in that process. We don’t need to call it “tanking,” but let’s just say—behind closed doors—Miami’s front office will tolerate plenty of 2019 losses if it means selecting near the top of the 2020 MLB Draft and maximizing their 2020-21 international bonus pool. Fish Stripes will be monitoring this “race” for you (and creating new merch inspired by it).

FanGraphs ran performance projections for every team prior to Opening Day, but also continues to provide rest-of-season projections as the real games get played. See below for details regarding the five worst teams, including the Marlins, Orioles, Royals, Tigers, and Blue Jays entering Tuesday.

Tigers

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 39-89, minus-248

2019 projected record and run differential: 52-110, minus-284

Upcoming schedule: 8/27-8/29 vs. Indians, 8/30-9/2 vs. Twins, 9/3-9/5 at Royals, 9/6-9/8 at Athletics

Detroit went 2-4 over the last week, but their year-end projections remained the same except for losing a run off their differential.

Orioles

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 43-88, minus-250

2019 projected record and run differential: 55-107, minus-285

Upcoming schedule: 8/27-8/28 at Nationals, 8/30-9/1 at Royals, 9/2-9/4 at Rays, 9/5-9/8 vs. Rangers

The Orioles had a winning week at 4-2, adding two wins to their expected total and putting a little less pressure on the Tigers for the no. 1 spot.

Royals

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 46-86, minus-127

2019 projected record and run differential: 59-103, minus-151

Upcoming schedule: 8/26-8/29 vs. A’s, 8/30-9/1 vs. Orioles, 9/3-9/5 vs. Tigers, 9/6-9/8 at Marlins

The Royals went 1-6 and lost two games off their year-end win total.

Marlins

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 47-83, minus-156

2019 projected record and run differential: 59-103, minus-188

Upcoming schedule: 8/27-8/29 vs. Reds, 8/30-9/1 at Nationals, 9/3-9/5 at Pirates, 9/6-9/8 vs. Royals

The Fish went 2-5. Monday night’s loss cost them a win off their projected figure, which leaves them in a tie with the Royals for baseball’s third-worst record.

Blue Jays

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 53-80, minus-71

2019 projected record and run differential: 66-96, minus-84

Upcoming schedule: 8/27-8/28 vs. Braves, 8/30-9/1 at Astros, 9/2-9/3 at Braves, 9/5-9/8 vs. Rays

The Jays dropped five of six, resulting in a loss of two wins from their year-end numbers.