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Tank Race Tuesday: Seattle joins the fold

The Blue Jays play themselves out of the Tank Race Five.

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The Marlins still yearn for more cheap, controllable, high-upside talent to elevate their farm system to an elite level and lay the foundation for sustainable success. Stinking against major league competition this season is a critical step in that process. We don’t need to call it “tanking,” but let’s just say—behind closed doors—Miami’s front office will tolerate plenty of 2019 losses if it means selecting near the top of the 2020 MLB Draft and maximizing their 2020-21 international bonus pool. Fish Stripes will be monitoring this “race” for you (and creating new merch inspired by it).

FanGraphs ran performance projections for every team prior to Opening Day, but also continues to provide rest-of-season projections as the real games get played. See below for details regarding the five worst teams, including the Marlins, Orioles, Royals, Tigers, and Blue Jays.

Tigers

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 35-80, minus-230

2019 projected record and run differential: 53-109, minus-279

Upcoming schedule: 8/13-8/15 vs. Mariners, 8/16-8/18 vs. Rays, 8/19-8/22 at Astros, 8/23-8/25 at Twins

Detroit went 3-4 since last week. Their year-end projection remained the same.

Orioles

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 39-80, minus-230

2019 projected record and run differential: 56-106, minus-289

Upcoming schedule: 8/13-8/14 at Yankees, 8/16-8/18 vs. Red Sox, 8/19-8/21 vs. Royals, 8/22-8/25 vs. Rays

The Orioles broke a string of three-straight winning weeks by dropping six of their seven games. It cost them a win off their projections.

Royals

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 43-76, minus-99

2019 projected record and run differential: 61-101, minus-128

Upcoming schedule: 8/13-8/14 vs. Cardinals, 8/16-8/18 vs. Mets, 8/19-8/21 at Orioles, 8/23-8/25 at Indians

The Royals went 3-2 and had one game suspended in a 4-4 tie with Boston. Although the Royals picked up 20 runs on their year-end differential, it didn’t show up in their final win projection.

Marlins

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 44-73, minus-119

2019 projected record and run differential: 62-100, minus-166

Upcoming schedule: 8/13-8/15 vs. Dodgers, 8/16-8/18 at Rockies, 8/20-8/22 at Braves, 8/23-8/25 vs. Phillies

The Fish won two of their six contests over the past week, but nothing changed for their win projection.

Mariners

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 48-71, minus-117

2019 projected record and run differential: 66-96, minus-150

Upcoming schedule: 8/13-8/14 at Tigers, 8/16-8/18 at Blue Jays, 8/19-8/21 at Rays, 8/23-8/25 vs. Blue Jays

The Mariners rejoined the Tank Race Top Five after a 1-4 week vaulted them past the Blue Jays. The dueling teams have two upcoming series in the next fortnight, so there could be a lot of back-and-forth.