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Tank Race Tuesday: Marlins projected for 100 losses following slow start

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Updating the 2019 MLB reverse standings, which will determine the following year’s amateur draft order.

Original photos by Getty Images (tank) and USA Today (Don Mattingly)

The Marlins still yearn for more cheap, controllable, high-upside talent to elevate their farm system to an elite level and lay the foundation for sustainable success. Stinking against major league competition this season is a critical step in that process. We don’t need to call it “tanking,” but let’s just say—behind closed doors—Miami’s front office will tolerate plenty of 2019 losses if it means selecting near the top of the 2020 MLB Draft and maximizing their 2020-21 international bonus pool. Fish Stripes will be monitoring this “race” for you.

FanGraphs ran performance projections for every team prior to Opening Day, but also continues to provide rest-of-season projections as the real games get played. See below for details regarding the six worst teams, including the Orioles, Marlins, Royals, Tigers, White Sox, and Giants.


Orioles

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 10-20, minus-64

2019 projected record and run differential: 60-102, minus-234

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/1 at White Sox, 5/3-5/5 vs. Rays, 5/6-5/8 vs. Red Sox, 5/10-5/12 vs. Angels

Marlins

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 8-20, minus-58

2019 projected record and run differential: 62-100, minus-178

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/1 vs. Indians, 5/3-5/5 vs. Braves, 5/6-5/9 at Cubs, 5/10-5/12 at Mets

Royals

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 9-20, minus-24

2019 projected record and run differential: 67-95, minus-113

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/2 vs. Rays, 5/3-5/5 at Tigers, 5/6-5/8 at Astros, 5/10-5/12 vs. Phillies

Tigers

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 12-14, minus-23

2019 projected record and run differential: 70-92, minus-124

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/1 at Phillies, 5/3-5/5 vs. Royals, 5/7-5/9 vs. Angels, 5/10-5/12 at Twins

White Sox

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 12-14, minus-13

2019 projected record and run differential: 71-91, minus-109

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/1 vs. Orioles, 5/2-5/5 vs. Red Sox, 5/6-5/9 at Indians, 5/10-5/12 at Blue Jays

Giants

2019 record and run differential (entering Tuesday): 12-17, minus-19

2019 projected record and run differential: 74-88, minus-64

Upcoming schedule: 4/30-5/1 vs. Dodgers, 5/3-5/6 at Reds, 5/7-5/9 at Rockies, 5/10-5/12 vs. Reds