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After splitting a four-game series with the Atlanta Braves, the Miami Marlins face another divisional foe in the New York Mets at 4:10 today, the first of a three-game set at Citi Field. With the Mets now ahead of the Marlins in the standings (1.5 GB), these three games are critical in the Marlins' pursuit of the postseason.
For the Fish, Tom Koehler (6-7) gets the start. In 15 career starts against the Mets, he is 2-6 with a 4.16 ERA. He got roughed up by the Tigers last week, pitching only three innings and allowing five runs on eight hits with two strikeouts. But in each of his last five games prior to this, he lasted six innings and struck out an average of almost seven batters.
For the Mets, Matt Harvey (4-10) gets the nod. He, too, has struggled, pitching just 3 2/3 innings in his last start against the Washington Nationals, a 5-0 loss. He has lost three straight, and over the course of those games his offense has produced one run.
Pitching Matchup
Team | Starter | ERA | FIP | 2016 ZIPS Projected ERA |
NYM | Matt Harvey | 4.55 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
MIA | Tom Koehler | 4.45 | 4.18 | 4.16 |
Notes
-Watch out for Mets second baseman Neil Walker, who has a career on-base percentage of .583 against Koehler in eleven plate appearances.
-Johnson is still in there at first base as Justin Bour continues to recover from the right ankle sprain he suffered during Saturday night's game in Atlanta.
-In 13 career at-bats against Harvey, Giancarlo Stanton has one hit, a single, while he's struck out seven times.
Bold Prediction: Harvey struggles and Koehler gets the win. 5-3 Fish.