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Heroes and Zeroes: Twins 6, Marlins 4

Minnesota earned a win over the Marlins through well-timed home runs.

Miami Marlins v Minnesota Twins Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."


Robbie Grossman (MIN) +37.2%

Grossman batted second in Minnesota's order, and played out of left field. He went two-for-five for the night, with a walk, a strikeout, and a solo home run to tie the score at four in the bottom of the eighth inning.

Brian Dozier (MIN) +29.8%

Dozier played at second base for the Twins and batted fifth. He also went two-for-five for Minnesota with a home run, but his was of the walk-off variety, a two-out, two-run blast in the bottom of the 11th to set the final score at 6-4.

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +27.1%

Barraclough pitched the bottom of the ninth and 10th innings, facing the minimum six batters and not allowing a single runner. He struck out two Twins, getting 13-of-18 pitches into the strike zone.

Almost Heroes

Buddy Boshers (MIN) +13.6%

Brandon Kintzler (MIN) +13.5%

Fernando Abad (MIN) +13.5%

Michael Tonkin (MIN) +10.7%

Eduardo Nunez (MIN) +10.5%

Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) +9.9%

Adam Conley (MIA) +8.7%

Taylor Rogers (MIN) +5.4%

Minimal Impact

Ryan Pressly (MIN) +5.0%

Martin Prado (MIA) +2.7%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +0.5%

Kevin Jepsen (MIN) -0.1%

Derek Dietrich (MIN) -0.3%

Byung-ho Park (MIN) -0.8%

Chris Johnson (MIA) -1.0%

Joe Mauer (MIN) -1.9%

JT Realmuto (MIA) -3.5%

Almost Zeroes

Christian Yelich (MIA) -3.8% (LAST 10 GAMES #1 HERO)

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -9.2% (LAST 10 GAMES #2 ZERO)

Byron Buxton (MIN) -12.6%

Justin Bour (MIA) -13.1%

Max Kepler (MIN) -14.0%

David Phelps (MIA) -14.9%

Kurt Suzuki (MIN) -16.3%

Trevor Plouffe (MIN) -16.4%


Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -16.8%

Stanton batted cleanup for the Marlins out of right field, and struck out twice in five at bats. He did knock in Miami's first run on a ground out in the first inning, and gave the ball a ride to the warning track in the fourth. Officially though, he finished 0-for-5 to drop his season average to .197.

Pat Dean (MIN) -27.4%

Dean started for the Twins, his fourth career start. He went 4.1 innings and allowed four earned runs on seven hits and a walk. He struck out two Marlins, getting 53-of-90 pitches over the plate and finishing with a GameScore of 34. He took a no-decision despite his ERA climbing by 60 points to 4.75.

Dustin McGowan (MIA) -36.5%

McGowan quickly became the pitcher of record in the bottom of the 11th inning, when he gave up a walk-off two run homer to Brian Dozier. He only got one of the four batters he faced out by conventional means, giving up two walks and the round-tripper. McGowan is now 0-2 with a 3.63 ERA after getting half of his 22 pitches over the plate.

Best and Worst



Derek Dietrich's RBI single in the top of the fourth, which scored Marcell Ozuna and gave the Marlins a 3-2 lead (+12.8%).


Brian Dozier's walk off two-run shot, which gave the Twins a 6-4 victory (+39.3%).



Giancarlo Stanton's strikeout with a man on second to end the 10th inning (-10.2%)


Robbie Grossman's caught stealing in the bottom of the 11th inning (-13.1%).

Last 10 Games

Christian Yelich +76.4%

Jose Fernandez +74.5%

Nick Wittgren +39.4%

AJ Ramos +35.6%

Derek Dietrich +31.8%

Adam Conley +31.6%

Wei-Yin Chen +28.7%

JT Realmuto +26.1%

Cole Gillespie +10.8%

Kyle Barraclough +6.7%

Ichiro Suzuki +3.3%

Adeiny Hechavarria +1.9%

Miguel Rojas -3.1%

Justin Nicolino -4.5%

Tom Koehler -6.6%

Edwin Jackson -8.8%

Chris Johnson -9.7%

Jeff Mathis -10.3%

Dustin McGowan -11.2%

Cody Hall -14.5%

David Phelps -20.8%

Martin Prado -38.5%

Justin Bour -39.5%

Giancarlo Stanton -44.9%

Mike Dunn -46.0%

Marcell Ozuna -56.6%

Jose Urena -62.3%


Attendance: 19,020

Marlon D: 18,582

Marlins 5-2

H: Conley, Prado, Ozuna

Z: Dietrich, Plouffe, Kepler

Outfield 3+H w/3+RBI; Conley 5+K w >6BB

evermoresg: 19,266

Marlins 6-3

H: Conley, Yelich, Buxton

Z: Dozier, Dean, K Suzuki

Conley QS; Marlins 2+HR; Stanton 5+TB

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim 169

Shimmy_812 131

2qbn 119

evermoresg 117

Marlon D 107

The Marlins and the Twins will get back at it tomorrow night. If you wanna play, make your picks before the scheduled first pitch at 8:10PM.