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Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 1, Mets 0

Jose Fernandez came up big in a pitcher's duel at Marlins Park on Sunday.

New York Mets v Miami Marlins Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."


Jose Fernandez (MIA) +40.5% (LAST 10 GAMES #2 HERO)

Fernandez did everything but hit for the Marlins. He pitched seven scoreless innings and struck out a franchise record 14 Mets, allowing just four hits and zero walks to the 25 batters he faced for an in-game WHIP of 0.571. He threw exactly 100 pitches, getting 73 over the plate, winning his eighth straight decision (also a Marlins record) to go to 9-2, dropped his ERA 30 points to 2.29 for the season, and earned a GameScore of 83.

AJ Ramos (MIA) +15.6%

Ramos pitched an incident free ninth to convert his 18th save (in 18 opportunities this season). He faced just three batters, and got nine-of-12 pitches over the plate. He didn't allow any baserunners and struck out one batter.

Matt Harvey (NYM) +14.6%

Harvey took the loss to drop to 4-8, but allowed only one earned run to see his ERA drop 42 points to 4.95 for the season. Like Fernandez, he went seven full innings, allowed just four hits and zero walks for an in-game WHIP of 0.571. Unlike Fernandez, he only struck out three opposing batters. He got 70-of-104 pitches into the strikezone and earned a GameScore of 68.

Almost Heroes

David Phelps (+11.7%)

JT Realmuto (+9.2%)

Derek Dietrich (+5.7%)

Minimal Impact

Antonio Bastardo (NYM) +2.8%

James Loney (NYM) +1.5%

Chris Johnson (MIA) -0.9%

Christian Yelich (MIA) -1.8% (LAST 10 GAMES #1 HERO)

Michael Conforto (NYM) -2.8%

Almost Zeroes

Alejandro de Aza (NYM) -3.8%

Yoenis Cespedes (NYM) -3.8%

Martin Prado (MIA) -5.6% (LAST 10 GAMES #3 ZERO)

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -5.7%

Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -6.0%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -6.3%

Justin Bour (MIA) -6.3%

Curtis Granderson (NYM) -9.0%

Neil Walker (NYM) -10.9%


Rene Rivera (NYM) -11.5%

Rivera batted eighth for the Mets, catching and going 0-for-3 from the plate. He led off the third with a flyout (-2.5%), led off the sixth with an infield groundout (-3.6%), and led off the eighth with a groundout to third (-5.3%).

Wilmer Flores (NYM) -12.1%

Flores batted seventh and played third base for New York. He also went 0-for-3 from the dish, with one strikeout and two Mets left on base. He flew out to end the second (-1.1%), flew out again to end the fifth (-1.4%), and struck out with runners on the corners to end the seventh inning (-9.6%).

Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) -15.0%

Cabrera batted second and played at shortstop for the Mets, going 0-for-4 with two strikeouts for the game. He grounded out for the second out of the opening inning (-1.5%), led off the fourth with a strikeout (-2.7%), ended the sixth with a man on first with another strikeout (-3.7%), and flew out to right field to lead off the ninth inning (-7.1%).

Today's Best and Worst


Marlins: JT Realmuto's RBI single to center field in the fifth inning (+12.5%).

Mets: James Loney's single to right field, which moved Michael Conforto to third base in the seventh inning.


Marlins: Justin Bour's flyout to open the fifth inning (-2.9%).

Mets: New York had 12 single incidents at the plate which had more negative impact on the game than did Justin Bour's flyout (Miami's worst play). The worst for them was Wilmer Flores' strikeout to end the seventh inning (-9.6%), known to us as Jose Fernandez' 14th strikeout.

Last 10 Games

Christian Yelich +84.3%

Jose Fernandez +74.5%

Nick Wittgren +58.0%

AJ Ramos +35.6%

Wei-Yin Chen +28.7%

Derek Dietrich +26.3%

Dustin McGowan +25.3%

JT Realmuto +12.5%

Adam Conley +4.0%

Cole Gillespie +2.1%

Miguel Rojas -3.1%

Justin Nicolino -4.5%

Adeiny Hechavarria -5.5%

Tom Koehler -6.6%

Chris Johnson -8.7%

Edwin Jackson -8.8%

Jeff Mathis -10.3%

Ichiro! Suzuki -11.3%

Kyle Barraclough -12.0%

Cody Hall -14.5%

Marcell Ozuna -27.6%

Giancarlo Stanton -28.1%

Justin Bour -30.5%

David Phelps -39.1%

Martin Prado -42.7%

Mike Dunn -46.0%

Jose Urena -62.3%


Attendance: 28,196

gustavopim: 22,789

Marlins 7-3

H: Ichiro!, Bour, Fernandez

Z: Harvey, Loney, Cabrera

Ichiro .400+OBP; Marlins 2+HR; Injury

evermoresg: 24,633

Marlins 5-2

H: Fernandez, Yelich, Bour

Z: Harvey, Rivera, Dietrich

Fernandez QS; Marlins 2+HR; Harvey 4+R

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim 169

Shimmy_812 131

2qbn 119

evermoresg 113

Marlon D 104

Jigokusabre 88

After a day off tomorrow, the Marlins head north, WAAAY north, to the Twin Cities of Minnesota. That game will be the 11th between the two teams in history, Miami hasn't faced anyone less. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10PM, so you've got like 50 hours to make your picks from the time I'm publishing this.