Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 3, Rockies 0

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."

Heroes

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +39.3%

Ozuna batted third out of center field for the Marlins. He hit a leadoff single in the second (+3.8%), a two-out single in the fourth (+1.5%), a three-run homer (+34.4%) in the sixth, and a fly out to center field in the eighth (-0.3%).

Tom Koehler (MIA) +32.9%

Koehler earned the victory with a quality start, tossing six shutout innings and allowing only two hits while striking out six. His BB/9, however went over five for the season, as he allowed a total of six walks (five unintentional). Koehler got 48-of-92 pitches over the plate and earned a GameScore of 68, running his record to 6-6 for the season and his ERA down 33 points to 3.92, the second best mark amongst the Marlins' starting rotation.

Tyler Anderson (COL) +22.8%

Anderson started and lost for the Rockies, missing a quality start by just a third of an inning. He went 5.2 frames in total, giving up four hits and a walk for two earned runs. He is now 0-1 for the season with a 2.25 ERA, and earned a GameScore of 56 by getting 61-of-102 pitches into the strikezone.

Almost Heroes

Daniel Descalso (COL) +5.5%

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +4.3%

David Phelps (MIA) +3.9%

AJ Ramos (MIA) +3.0%

Scott Oberg (COL) +1.7%

Martin Prado (MIA) +0.6%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +0.3%

Minimal Impact

Derek Dietrich (MIA) -0.3%

Ryan Raburn (COL) -0.9%

Mark Reynolds (COL) -1.4%

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) -2.0%

Charlie Blackmon (COL) -2.2%

Chris Johnson (MIA) -2.8%

Cole Gillespie (MIA) -3.3%

Almost Zeroes

DJ LaMahieu (COL) -4.2%

Miguel Rojas (MIA) -4.3%

Jeff Mathis (MIA) -4.9%

Nolan Arenado (COL) -6.5%

Brandon Barnes (COL) -8.1%

Christian Yelich (MIA) -8.9%

Tony Wolters (COL) -9.4%

Zeroes

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -9.9%

Stanton batted fifth for the Fish out of right field. He grounded into a double play in the second (-7.7%), grounded out with a runner on second to end the fourth (-2.8%), hit a two-out single to right field in the sixth (+0.8%), and struck out to end the eighth with a runner on first (-0.3%).

Trevor Story (COL) -11.3%

Story batted fifth and played shortstop for the Rockies. He flew out for the second out of the second (-1.6%), struck out to lead off the fourth (-2.7%), flew out with a runner on second for the second out of the sixth (-5.2%), and struck out to lead off the ninth (-1.8%).

Miguel Castro (COL) -34.0%

Castro came on with two runners on base and two outs in the sixth inning, guarding a scoreless tie for the Rockies. He immediately gave up a three-run jack to Marcell Ozuna (-34.4%) and a single to Giancarlo Stanton (-0.8%) before getting Chris Johnson on a strikeout (+1.1%)

Best and Worst

Best

Marlins: Marcell Ozuna's three-run sixth inning homer (+34.4%).

Rockies: Carlos Gonzalez' one-out double to center field in the sixth (+6.4%).

Worst

Marlins: Giancarlo Stanton's double play grounder in the second (-7.7%).

Rockies: Brandon Barnes swinging strikeout to end the sixth with two runners on base (-6.4%).

Last 10 Games

		Game 60	Game 61	Game 62	Game 63	Game 64	Game 65	Game 66	Game 67	Game 68	Game 69	Rolling 10-game average
JT Realmuto	MIA	0.036		0.160	-0.043	0.016		0.112	-0.122	0.393		5.52
Martin Prado	MIA	0.009	0.052	0.171	-0.007	0.259	0.05	-0.01	0.008	0.001	0.006	5.39
Justin Bour	MIA	-0.002	0.316	-0.110		0.16		-0.035	-0.055	0.215		4.89
Tom Koehler	MIA	0.035					0.089				0.329	4.53
Marcell Ozuna	MIA	0.118	0.075	-0.085	-0.032	-0.07	-0.012	0.017	0.061	-0.03	0.393	4.35
Ichiro Suzuki	MIA	0.227	-0.016	0.04	0.003	0.096	-0.002	0.013	0.019	0.007		3.87
Christian Yelich	MIA	-0.012	0.26	-0.281	-0.031	-0.029	-0.01	0.042	0.308	0.174	-0.089	3.32
David Phelps	MIA		0.09				0.041		0.021	0.039	0.039	2.3
Jeff Mathis	MIA		0.03				0.244				-0.049	2.25
Kyle Barraclough	MIA		-0.01				0.045		0.093	0.043	0.043	2.14
AJ Ramos	MIA	-0.005	0.093				0.032			0.03	0.030	1.8
Adeiny Hechavarria	MIA	0.185	0.018	-0.127	-0.004	0.085	0.023	0.056	-0.084	-0.002	0.003	1.53
dustin mcgowan	MIA	0.002			0.005				0.013	0.066		0.86
Derek Dietrich	MIA	-0.065		0.143	-0.021	0.015		-0.02	0.048	-0.023	-0.003	0.74
Nick Wittgren	MIA			0.015		0.001		-0.037	0.075			0.54
Brian Ellington	MIA	0.005	0.005			0.001		0.009				0.2
Mike Dunn	MIA	0.006		-0.041		0		0.005		0.045		0.15
Chris Johnson	MIA	0.023	-0.08		-0.007	0	0.094	-0.024	-0.006	0.001	-0.028	-0.27
cole gillespie	MIA			-0.078	0	0		-0.031		0.048	-0.033	-0.94
Giancarlo Stanton	MIA	-0.063	-0.024	-0.003	-0.02		-0.064	-0.02	0.079	0.11	-0.099	-1.04
miguel rojas	MIA	0.000	-0.018		0.007	0	-0.029	-0.051	-0.001		-0.043	-1.35
jose fernandez	MIA			-0.304								-3.04
adam conley	MIA				-0.351				0.042			-3.09
Wei-Yin Chen	MIA					-0.032				-0.620		-6.52
Justin Nicolino	MIA		-0.291					-0.527				-8.18

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 24,993

Marlon D: 19,473
Marlins 6-3
H: Ozuna, Stanton, Gonzalez
Z: Blackmon, Mathis, Anderson
Marlins 2+HR; Prado 2b

gustavopim: 22,288
Marlins 6-4
H: Yelich, Ozuna, Stanton
Z: Anderson, LaMahieu, Gonzalez
Marlins with a 400+ft HR; Marlins turn 2+DP; Stanton with at least one homer.

Kevin Kraczkowski: 24,774
Marlins 6-3
H: Yelich, Ozuna, Stanton
Z: Koehler, Barnes, Gonzalez
Stanton 2+H; no QS; One Marlin hits one home run for exactly two RBI & Colorado hits exactly zero HR.

evermoresg: 20,420
Rockies 5-2
H: Anderson, Descalso, Yelich
Z: Koehler, Wolters, Mathis
Mathis 2+TB; Anderson QS; Marlins get a double from each side of the plate.

Ichthyomancy Standings

evermoresg	21
gustavopim	20
Marlon D	17.5
Kevin Kraczkowski	15
2qbn	9.5

The two clubs will close the series starting tomorrow night at 7:10PM, with the Marlins going for a four-game sweep.