Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 9, Rockies 6

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."

Heroes

JT Realmuto (MIA) +39.3%

Realmuto batted seventh in the order and caught for Miami. He reached first base on a dropped strike three in the second inning (+3.1%). After that, he hit a no-out double to left in the third (+7.6%), smacked a three-run homer in the fifth (+27.8%), hit an infield single with a runner on base in the sixth (+0.6%), and hit another infield single with a runner on in the eighth (+0.2%). It was Realmuto's 48th career multi-hit game, and his fourth four-hit game.

Justin Bour (MIA) +21.5%

Bour batted sixth and played first base for the Marlins. He struck out swinging with runners on the corners to end the first (-4.1%), hit a two run homer in the third (+16.8%), singled with a runner on first in the fifth (+8.5%), and drew a two-out walk in the sixth (+0.4%).

Christian Yelich (MIA) +17.4%

Yelich batted third out of left field for the Fish. He hit a one-out single in the first with a runner on first (+6.5%), hit a bases-loaded, two-RBI single to center field in the second (+14.8%), flew out to left for the second out of the fourth (-2.1%), ended the fifth on an infield grounder (-0.9%), and flew out to left to end the seventh (-0.8%).

Almost Heroes

Nick Hundley (COL) +12.3%

Ryan Raburn (COL) +11.4%

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) +11.0%

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) +7.1%

Dustin McGowan (MIA) +6.6%

Trevor Story (COL) +5.8%

Cole Gillespie (MIA) +4.8%

Mike Dunn (MIA) +4.5%

Minimal Impact

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +4.3%

David Phelps (MIA) +3.9%

Nolan Arenado (COL) +3.4%

AJ Ramos (MIA) +3.0%

Mark Reynolds (COL) +1.8%

Justin Miller (COL) +1.7%

Chad Qualls (COL) +1.5%

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) +0.7%

Martin Prado (MIA) +0.1%

Almost Zeroes

Chris Johnson (MIA) +0.1%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -0.2%

Brandon Barnes (COL) -0.6%

DJ LaMahieu (COL) -1.2%

Cristhian Adames (COL) -1.4%

Derek Dietrich (MIA) -2.3%

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -3.0%

Charlie Blackmon (COL) -9.0%

Zeroes

Tyler Chatwood (COL) -13.0%

Chatwood started for the Rockies, and faced 11 batters over just 1.2 innings. He earned a GameScore of 34 by getting 28-of-48 pitches over the plate and allowing three earned runs on four hits and three walks. He also threw a wild pitch and struck out two batters. He also went 0-for-1 from the plate.

Wei-Yin Chen (MIA) -62.0%

Chen started for the Marlins, and somehow was "outduelled" by Chatwood's performance. He earned a GameScore of just 18, going 2.1 innings and giving up seven hits and two walks for six earned runs. He struck out one and got 50-of-77 pitches into the strike zone. Chen's ERAwent up by 54 points and is now 5.22, the highest ERA amongst the current five-man rotation.

Eddie Butler (COL) -69.9%

Butler was the losing pitcher of record, allowing six earned runs on nine hits over 3.1 innings. He gave up both home runs, struck out two, and was dialed in just enough to issue zero walks. Of his 58 pitches, he got 40 of them over the plate.

Best and Worst

Best

Marlins: JT Realmuto's three-run homer in the fifth inning to give the Marlins an 8-6 lead (+27.8%).

Rockies: Nick Hundley's three-run double to center field in the third inning to give the Rockies a 6-3 lead (+20.7%).

Worst

Marlins: Wei-Yin Chen grounding into a double play with two runners on and nobody out in the second inning (-9.1%).

Rockies: Mark Reynolds flying out for the first out of the second with two runners on base (-6.0%).

Last 10 Games

		Game 59	Game 60	Game 61	Game 62	Game 63	Game 64	Game 65	Game 66	Game 67	Game 68	Rolling 10-game average
Martin Prado	MIA	0.244	0.009	0.052	0.171	-0.007	0.259	0.05	-0.01	0.008	0.001	0.777
Ichiro Suzuki	MIA	0.088	0.227	-0.016	0.04	0.003	0.096	-0.002	0.013	0.019	0.007	0.475
JT Realmuto	MIA	-0.079	0.036		0.160	-0.043	0.016		0.112	-0.122	0.393	0.473
Justin Bour	MIA	-0.061	-0.002	0.316	-0.110		0.16		-0.035	-0.055	0.215	0.428
Jeff Mathis	MIA			0.03				0.244				0.274
Christian Yelich	MIA	-0.210	-0.012	0.26	-0.281	-0.031	-0.029	-0.01	0.042	0.308	0.174	0.211
David Phelps	MIA			0.09				0.041		0.021	0.039	0.191
Kyle Barraclough	MIA			-0.01				0.045		0.093	0.043	0.171
AJ Ramos	MIA		-0.005	0.093				0.032			0.03	0.15
Adeiny Hechavarria	MIA		0.185	0.018	-0.127	-0.004	0.085	0.023	0.056	-0.084	-0.002	0.15
Tom Koehler	MIA		0.035					0.089				0.124
Marcell Ozuna	MIA	0.077	0.118	0.075	-0.085	-0.032	-0.07	-0.012	0.017	0.061	-0.03	0.119
dustin mcgowan	MIA		0.002			0.005				0.013	0.066	0.086
Giancarlo Stanton	MIA	0.084	-0.063	-0.024	-0.003	-0.02		-0.064	-0.02	0.079	0.11	0.079
Mike Dunn	MIA	0.019	0.006		-0.041		0		0.005		0.045	0.034
Brian Ellington	MIA	0.014	0.005	0.005			0.001		0.009			0.034
Chris Johnson	MIA		0.023	-0.08		-0.007	0	0.094	-0.024	-0.006	0.001	0.000999999999999998
Derek Dietrich	MIA	-0.119	-0.065		0.143	-0.021	0.015		-0.02	0.048	-0.023	-0.042
cole gillespie	MIA				-0.078	0	0		-0.031		0.048	-0.061
miguel rojas	MIA	0.007	0.000	-0.018		0.007	0	-0.029	-0.051	-0.001		-0.085
Nick Wittgren	MIA	-0.196			0.015		0.001		-0.037	0.075		-0.142
jose fernandez	MIA				-0.304							-0.304
adam conley	MIA					-0.351				0.042		-0.309
Justin Nicolino	MIA			-0.291					-0.527			-0.818
Wei-Yin Chen	MIA	-0.368					-0.032				-0.620	-1.02

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 19,655

2qbn: 15,500
Marlins 4-2
H: Chen, Stanton, Ozuna
Z: Chatwood, Blackmon, Descalso
Stanton HR; Ozuna RBI; Ramos SV

Marlon D: 17,944
Marlins 5-2
H: Ozuna, Chen, Arenado
Z: Hechavarria, Story, Gonzalez
OF HR; Rockies IF 5+K

gustavopim: 20,890
Marlins 7-5
H: Ozuna, Bour, Chen
Z: Phelps, Chatwood, Arenado
Chen QS w/1+HR allowed; Marlins 5+LOB; Marlins OF HR

evermoresg: 21,111
Marlins 11-1
H: Chen, Yelich, LaMahieu
Z: Dietrich, Chen, Chatwood
Marlins team cycle; Dietrich 1+SB; Marlins P 10+K

Ichthyomancy Standings

evermoresg	20
gustavopim	16.5
Marlon D	14.5
Kevin Kraczkowski	10
2qbn	9.5

Game three of the four game series kicks off tomorrow at 1:10 PM EST. Get your picks in before the first pitch, and GO FISH!