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Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 5, Rockies 1

Christian Yelich provided all the firepower that the Marlins would need.

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."


Christian Yelich (MIA) +30.8%

Yelich batted third out of left field for Miami. He flew out in the first (-1.0%), grounded out in the third with a man on first (-2.5%), smacked a two-run homer in the sixth inning to take a 2-1 lead (+34.1%), and drew a walk in the seventh (+0.3%).

Ryan Raburn (COL) +17.8%

Left fielder Raburn batted sixth for the Rox, and started his night with a strikeout to end the second (-1.1%). He drew a walk in the fifth (+3.3%), and had an RBI in the sixth by getting hit by Adam Conley's last pitch with the bases loaded (+15.9%). Raburn grounded out to third base in the ninth inning (-0.4%).

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +9.3%

Barraclough pitched the seventh inning with a 2-1 lead, and induced three groundouts without giving up a baserunner. He threw 14 pitches in total, getting 11 over the plate.

Almost Heroes

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) +7.9%

Nick Wittgren (MIA) +7.5%

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +6.1%

Derek Dietrich (MIA) +4.8%

Adam Conley (MIA) +4.2%

David Phelps (MIA) +2.1%

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) +1.9%

Dustin McGowan (MIA) +1.3%

Minimal Impact

Martin Prado (MIA) +0.8%

Justin Miller (COL) +0.2%

Miguel Rojas (MIA) -0.1%

Chris Johnson (MIA) -0.6%

Trevor Story (COL) -1.2%

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) -1.5%

DJ LaMahieu (COL) -2.0%

Almost Zeroes

Cristhian Adames (COL) -3.0%

Nolan Arenado (COL) -4.1%

Nick Hundley (COL) -4.8%

Justin Bour (MIA) -5.5%

Chad Qualls (COL) -7.7%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -8.4%

Gonzalez German (COL) -9.5%

Charlie Blackmon (COL) -10.2%


Jon Gray (COL) -11.7%

Gray started for the Rockies, and earned a quality start with six innings pitched and two earned runs allowed. He gave up six hits and two walks, striking out four and finishing with a 4.55 ERA. Gray earned a GameScore of 54 and got 62-of-95 pitches over the plate.

JT Realmuto (MIA) -12.2%

Realmuto batted seventh and caught for the Fish. He fouled out in the second with two runners on base (-4.6%), grounded out in the fifth (-2.9%), grounded out with runners on the corners in the sixth (-4.6%), and struck out looking to open the eighth (-0.1%).

Mark Reynolds (COL) -12.3%

Reynolds batted seventh for the Rockies and played first base. He flew out in the third (-2.5%), grounded out in the fifth (-2.3%), lined out with the bases loaded in the sixth (-7.5%), and grounded out to end the game (-0.1%).

Best and Worst


Marlins: Yelich's two-run homer in the sixth (+34.1%).

Rockies: Ryan Raburn driving in a run with a HBP in the sixth (+15.9%).


Marlins: Justin Bour hitting into a double play to end the fourth (-6.1%).

Rockies: Mark Reynolds lining out to second base with the bases loaded to end the sixth (-7.5%).

Last 10 Games

Martin Prado +80.3%
Ichiro Suzuki +56.7%
Kyle Barraclough +39.9%
Jeff Mathis +27.4%
Adeiny Hechavarria +15.7%
Tom Koehler +12.4%
AJ Ramos +12.0%
Justin Bour +8.2%
Marcell Ozuna +5.7%
JT Realmuto +4.5%
Brian Ellington +3.4%
David Phelps +0.3%
Christian Yelich -0.1%
Chris Johnson -1.0%
Mike Dunn -1.1%
Derek Dietrich -2.2%
Miguel Rojas -8.5%
Cole Gillespie -10.9%
Nick Wittgren -14.2%
Giancarlo Stanton -19.9%
Adam Conley -22.2%
Jose Fernandez -30.4%
Dustin McGowan -34.5%
Wei-Yin Chen -40.0%
Justin Nicolino -81.8%


Attendance: 19,767

Marlon D: 18,722
Marlins 6-2
H: Bour, Realmuto, Dietrich
Z: Story, Arenado, Stanton
2b HR; Conley QS

evermoresg: 17,482
Marllins 6-4
H: Yelich, Conley, LeMahieu
Z: Stanton, Hundley, Gray
Marlins 2+HR; Conley QS; Marlins cycle

gustavopim: 21,289
Marlins 7-2
H: Dietrich, Yelich, Conley
Z: Stanton, Gray, Hundley
Ramos SV; Marlins 1+HR & 2+2b; Conley 4+K & QS

Ichthyomancy Standings



Marlon D




Kevin Kraczkowski




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