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Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."
Heroes
Jeff Mathis (MIA) +24.4%
Mathis batted seventh in the order and gave starting catcher JT Realmuto the day off behind the plate. Although he's a former first round draft pick, Mathis has never been known for his bat, and has a career major league average below the .200 mark to prove it. None of that mattered in the first inning, when he delivered his first home run of the season with the bases loaded (+26.0%) for a 5-0 Marlins lead. The Fish wouldn't need any more offense for the rest of the day, and wouldn't get much of it for that matter. Miami totaled three hits after the first inning outburst. Mathis drew a walk in the third (+0.7%), hit into a force out to end the fifth (-1.9%), and flew out to center field in the eighth (-0.3%).
Alexi Amarista (SD) +15.8%
Amarista batted eighth and played shortstop for the Padres. He hit an RBI-single in the second (+4.1%) to get the Padres to a 5-1 deficit, then knocked in San Diego's other RBI with a single in the fourth (+5.6%). He drew a walk to lead off the seventh (+4.6%) before striking out for the second out of the ninth (-2.4%).
Chris Johnson (MIA) +9.4%
Johnson gave starting first baseman Justin Bour the day off and batted sixth for the Marlins. He collected Miami's first RBI of the day with a bases-loaded single in the first inning (+10.5%), scoring one batter later on Mathis' blast. Johnson went on to line out in the third (-1.0%), walk in the fifth (+0.3%), and fly out in the eighth (-0.5%).
Almost Heroes
Tom Koehler (MIA) +8.9%
Jon Jay (SD) +5.2%
Martin Prado (MIA) +5.0%
Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +4.5%
David Phelps (MIA) +4.1%
Carlos Villanueva (SD) +3.4%
AJ Ramos (MIA) +3.2%
Minimal Impact
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +2.3%
Kevin Quackenbush (SD) +1.6%
Christian Bethancourt (SD) +1.2%
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -0.2%
Christian Yelich (MIA) -1.0%
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -1.2%
Almost Zeroes
Brett Wallace (SD) -1.3%
Ryan Schimpf (SD) -2.1%
Miguel Rojas (MIA) -2.9%
Travis Jankowski (SD) -5.2%
Alexei Ramirez (SD) -5.8%
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -6.4%
Melvin Upton (SD) -7.6%
Zeroes
Matt Kemp (SD) -7.7%
Kemp batted third out of right field for San Diego. He walked in the first (+0.7%), grounded out with a runner on second for the second out of the third (-2.6%), struck out with a runner on second for the second out of the fifth (-3.6%), and struck out to lead off the eighth (-2.2%).
Wil Myers (SD) -11.5%
Myers played first base and batted second for the Friars. He struck out in the first (-0.8%) and the third (-3.3%), flew out with a man on second for the first out of the fifth (-4.5%), and flew out to right field with a man on third to end the seventh (-2.8%).
Drew Pomeranz (SD) -36.2%
Pomeranz started for the Padres and got just 57-of-105 pitches over the plate. He gave up five earned runs on five hits and five walks in exactly five innings pitched, but all the damage was in the first inning. He also struck out six Marlins and dropped to 5-7 with a 2.88 ERA for the season.
Best and Worst
Best
Marlins: Jeff Mathis' first inning grand slam (+26.0%).
Padres: Jon Jay's leadoff double to right field in the fifth (+6.5%).
Worst
Marlins: Giancarlo Stanton's bases loaded strikeout in the first inning (-7.6%).
Padres: Travis Janikowski striking out with a runner on third for the first out of the seventh inning (-5.2%).
Last 10 Games
Martin Prado | +73.8% |
Ichiro Suzuki | +42.3% |
Kyle Barraclough | +39.9% |
AJ Ramos | +27.6% |
Jeff Mathis | +27.4% |
JT Realmuto | +27.2% |
Justin Bour | +12.8% |
Tom Koehler | +12.4% |
Jose Fernandez | +10.1% |
Miguel Rojas | +9.0% |
Adeiny Hechavarria | +6.9% |
Brian Ellington | +2.5% |
Mike Dunn | -1.6% |
Chris Johnson | -3.3% |
Cole Gillespie | -3.4% |
Derek Dietrich | -9.5% |
Cody Hall | -11.8% |
Nick Wittgren | -18.0% |
Marcell Ozuna | -20.3% |
Dustin McGowan | -22.9% |
Justin Nicolino | -24.2% |
Adam Conley | -26.4% |
Christian Yelich | -34.3% |
David Phelps | -36.6% |
Giancarlo Stanton | -39.6% |
Wei-Yin Chen | -40.0% |
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 22,051
Kevin Kraczkowski: 22,522
Padres 5-3
H: Solarte, Yelich, Pomeranz
Z: Koehler, Stanton, Prado
Each team 1HR; Marlins OF 4H; Koehler QS + L + 6+K
Marlon D: 20,367
Marlins 5-4
H: Yelich, Stanton, Myers
Z: Solarte, Johnson
SP gets a H; OF HR
gustavopim: 23,899
H: Koehler, Bour, Dietrich
Z: Pomeranz, Hechavarria, Ozuna
Marlins 2+HR; Koehler QS; Marlins 10+H
evermoresg: 24,432
Padres 6-3
H: Pomeranz, Upton, Ozuna
Z: Mathis, Stanton, Amarista
Pomeranz QS; Stanton 0K; Mathis H
Ichthyomancy Standings
evermoresg |
8.5 |
Kevin Kraczkowski |
8 |
Marlon D |
5.5 |
gustavopim |
5 |
2qbn |
4.5 |
Tomorrow at 3:40 PM, the Marlins will wrap this series up with an eye on a sweep of these Padres. Get your picks in early, and GO FISH.