Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 13, Padres 4

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."

Heroes

Martin Prado (MIA) +25.9%

Prado batted second and played third base for the Fish, and earned a slot in the "Heroes" column for the third time in six games. He singled in the first, moving Ichiro Suzuki to second base with nobody out (+5.8%), then smacked a two-run homer in the second for a 3-1 Miami lead (+19.5%). Later in the inning, he drew a two-out walk (+0.2), then hit a one-out RBI-single in the fifth for an 11-2 Marlins lead (+0.4%).

Justin Bour (MIA) +16.0%

Bour batted fifth and manned the other corner infield position for Miami. He hit a two-out RBI single in the first inning to give the Marlins a 1-0 lead (+11.0%), then hit a one-out single in the second inning to move Christian Yelich to third base (+5.1%). Bour struck out in the fourth (-0.2%), hit a bases loaded RBI-single in the fifth (+0.1%), drew a walk in the seventh (+0.1%), and drew another walk in the ninth (0.0%).

Wil Myers (SD) +11.6%

Myers played first base for the Friars and batted second in the order. In his first time to the plate, he hit a one-out solo home run (+11.6%) to tie the game at one. The Padres were down by seven runs in his next trip to the dish, so nothing he did after the home run had very much impact on the overall outcome of the game. He grounded out in the third (-0.3%), walked in the fifth (+0.3%), and grounded out in the seventh (0.0%).

Almost Heroes

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) +9.6%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +8.5%

Matt Kemp (SD) +5.5%

Melvin Upton (SD) +4.4%

JT Realmuto (MIA) +1.6%

Derek Dietrich (MIA) +1.5%

Travis Jankowski (SD) +0.3%

Brian Ellington (MIA) +0.1%

Nick Wittgren (MIA) +0.1%

Zero Impact

Miguel Rojas (MIA)

Cole Gillespie (MIA)

Chris Johnson (MIA)

MIke Dunn (MIA)

Matt Thornton (SD)

Christian Bethancourt (SD)

Brett Wallace (SD)

Hector Sanchez (SD)

Luis Perdomo (SD)

Almost Zeroes

Brandon Maurer (SD) -0.1%

Alexi Amarista (SD) -0.1%

Brad Hand (SD) -1.5%

Alexei Ramirez (SD) -2.7%

Christian Yelich (MIA) -2.9%

Jon Jay (SD) -3.1%

Wei-Yin Chen (MIA) -3.2%

Adam Rosales (SD) -3.4%

Yangervis Solarte (SD) -3.9%

Zeroes

Derek Norris (SD) -4.1%

Norris caught and batted fifth for San Diego. He struck out to end the first with a runner on second (-3.2%), flew out to open the fourth (-0.8%) and flew out again to open the sixth (-0.1%).

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -7.0%

Ozuna batted in the cleanup spot for Miami and played center field. He flew out in the first (-4.4%), struck out in the third (-2.4%), struck out in the fourth (-0.3%), then drew a walk in the fifth (0.0%). He hit a single in the seventh (0.0%) to close his night at the plate.

Colin Rea (SD) -52.9%

Rea took the hill and the loss for San Diego. He faced 20 batters over his 2.2 innings pitched, allowing two walks and nine hits for an in-game WHIP of 4.125. He was charged with six earned (and eight total) runs and struck out four Marlins. Rea saw his ERA rise by 63 points to 5.37 and watched his record drop to 3-3 on the season, with a GameScore of just 14.

Best and Worst

Best

Marlins: Prado's home run in the third inning (+19.5%).

Padres: Wil Myers home run in the first inning (+11.6%).

Worst

Marlins: Christian Yelich's first inning strikeout (-5.5%).

Padres: Adam Rosales' second inning whiff (-3.6%).

Last 10 Games

Martin Prado	+61.1%
Ichiro Suzuki	+42.2%
Kyle Barraclough	+35.4%
JT Realmuto	+29.6%
AJ Ramos	+24.4%
Miguel Rojas	+11.9%
Justin Bour	+10.4%
Jose Fernandez	+10.1%
Adeiny Hechavarria	+9.5%
Brian Ellington	+2.5%
Cole Gilespie	-3.4%
Tom Koehler	-4.3%
Jeff Mathis	-5.3%
Chris Johnson	-12.8%
Cody Hall	-14.5%
Christian Yelich	-14.6%
Nick Wittgren	-18.0%
Dustin McGowan	-22.9%
Derek Dietrich	-23.0%
Justin Nicolino	-24.2%
Mike Dunn	-25.3%
Marcell Ozuna	-25.5%
Adam Conley	-26.4%
Wei-Yin Chen	-40.0%
David Phelps	-40.7%
Giancarlo Stanton	-46.5%

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 20,998

Kevin Kraczkowski: 20,755
Marlins 12-3
H: Realmuto, Ozuna, Kemp
Z: Stanton, Rea, Upton
Marlins score in even numbered innings; Marlins hit exactly one HR for one RBI; No saves

gustavopim: 18,909
Marlins 3-1
H: Ozuna, Rea, Chen
Z: Bour, Rea, Chen
Marlins IF HR; QS Rea; QS Chen

2qbn: 19,420
Marlins 3-2
H: Chen, Ozuna, Myers
Z: Stanton, Rea, Solarte
Stanton 2K; Chen QS; Myers RBI

Marlon D: 17,948
Marlins 4-1
H: Bour, Suzuki, Ozuna
Z: Upton, Solarte, Hechavarria
Bour 2+RBI; Padres CS

evermoresg: 17,655
Marlins 5-3
H: Chen, Suzuki, Upton
Z: Rosales, Rea, Norris
Chen QS; Suzuki .400+OBP; Marlins 2+HR

Ichthyomancy Standings

evermoresg	6.5
Kevin Kraczkowski	6
Marlon D	4.5
2qbn	4.5
gustavopim	3

Tomorrow's game starts at 10:10PM, and the Marlins will try to earn a road-series win early. Get your picks in, and GO FISH.