Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."
Peter O'Brien (AZ) +19.5%
O'Brien batted sixth out of left field for the DBacks, and began his night with a two-out, three-run homer to give Arizona a 4-0 lead (-20.8%). After that, he flew out in the third (-0.5%), grounded out to shortstop to end the fourth (-0.7%), and struck out in the seventh (0.0%).
Robbie Ray (AZ) +19.1%
Ray faced 25 batters over 7.2 innings, and allowed just three hits and a walk while striking out six Marlins. He got 77-of-116 pitches into the strike zone and earned a GameScore of 78, along with an in-game WHIP of 0.522. He dropped his ERA by 57 points to 4.57 and earned his third win of the season to go to 3-5.
Wellington Castillo (AZ) +10.7%
Castillo caught for Arizona and batted fourth in the order. He drew a one-out walk in the first (+5.8%), hit a one-out RBI single in the second (+4.0%), smacked a one-out double in the fourth (+1.0%), and flew out to left field in the sixth (-0.1%).
Paul Goldschmidt (AZ) +6.0%
Jean Segura (AZ) +3.1%
Miguel Rojas (MIA) +0.7%
Dustin McGowan (MIA) +0.5%
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) +0.3% (LAST 10 GAMES #1 HERO)
Jake Barrett (AZ) +0.3%
Randall Delgado (AZ) +0.1%
Cole Gillespie (MIA) 0.0%
Phil Gosselin (AZ) 0.0%
Nick Ahmed (AZ) -0.1%
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -0.4%
Martin Prado (MIA) -0.7%
Chris Johnson (MIA) -0.7%
David Peralta (AZ) -1.8%
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -2.0% (LAST 10 GAMES #2 ZERO)
Derek Dietrich (MIA) -2.1%
Michael Bourn (AZ) -2.5%
Christian Yelich (MIA) -3.1% (LAST 10 GAMES #2 HERO)
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -3.2%
JT Realmuto (MIA) -4.3%
Realmuto was a leadoff hitter and Miami's catcher for Sunday's series finale. He struck out leading off the game (-2.2%), grounded out to shortstop to lead off the fifth (-1.3%), struck out to end the sixth (-0.2%), and grounded into a double play for the first two outs of the ninth (-0.6%).
Brandon Drury (AZ) -4.3%
Drury played third base and batted second for Arizona. He flew out for the first out of the first (-3.3%), flew out for the second out of the second (-0.6%), grounded out for the first out of the fourth (-0.3%), struck out to lead off the sixth (-0.1%), and hit a two-out single in the eighth (0.0%).
Adam Conley (MIA) -35.1% (LAST 10 GAMES #3 ZERO)
Conley faced 28 batters over his five innings. He gave up a walk and 11 hits for an in-game WHIP of 2.400. He struck out two Diamondbacks and gave up all six Arizona runs, although one of them was of the unearned variety. He got 62-of-92 pitches into the strikezone while earning a GameScore of 24, and his record dropped to 3-4 while his ERA went up by 37 points to 4.13.
Best and Worst
Marlins: Miguel Rojas' single in the top of the third (+1.5%).
Diamondbacks: Peter O'Brien's three-run homer in the first inning (+20.8%).
Marlins: Adam Conley grounding into a double play to end the fifth inning (-2.8%).
Diamondbacks: Brandon Drury flying out to center field for the first out of the first inning (-3.3%).
Last 10 Games
Marlon D: 30,737
H: Yelich, Lamb, Johnson
Z: Stanton, Ahmed
Bullpen gives up <5 hits; outfield gets all RBI
H: Conley, Yelich, Goldschmidt
Z: Ray, Stanton, O'Brien
Ozuna 2+H; Conley QS; Stanton 0K's
H: Yelich, Conley, Realmuto
Z: Peralta, Ray, Goldschmidt
Marlins 3b; Marlins 2+HR; Conley QS
The Marlins head further west to San Diego for three games against the Padres, starting tomorrow night at 10:10PM. Get your picks in before the first pitch!