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Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."
Heroes
Justin Bour (MIA) +31.6%
Bour pinch hit in the pitchers' spot in the seventh inning, and with one out and the bases loaded, cranked it over the fence down the right field line (+31.6%) with his 10th jack of the season.
Christian Yelich (MIA) +26.0% (LAST 10 #1 HERO)
Yelich batted third out of left field for the Marlins. He hit a triple (+2.6%) with two outs in the first, scoring Miami's first run a moment later on a Marcell Ozuna single. He struck out with two runners on base for the second out of the third inning (-4.3%), grounded out for the second out of the sixth (-1.0%), and smacked a two-run double to take the lead in the seventh (+29.4%). He grounded out for the second out of the Marlins' ninth (-0.6%).
Patrick Corbin (AZ) +20.3%
Corbin faced 26 batters over his 6.1 innings, and gave up four earned runs on five hits and two walks. He struck out six Marlins and took a no-decision with a GameScore of 51. His ERA also climbed to 4.81 for the season.
Almost Heroes
Nick Ahmed (AZ) +18.7%
AJ Ramos (MIA) +9.3% (LAST 10 #3 HERO)
David Phelps (MIA) +9.0%
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +7.5%
Jeremy Lamb (AZ) +7.5%
Martin Prado (MIA) +5.2%
Josh Collmenter (AZ) +4.7%
Paul Goldschmidt (AZ) +4.0%
Minimal Impact
Jeff Mathis (MIA) +3.0%
Jean Segura (AZ) +2.9%
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +1.8%
Brian Ellington (MIA) +0.5%
Kyle Barraclough (MIA) -1.0%
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -1.6%
Miguel Rojas (MIA) -1.8%
Jake Barrett (AZ) -1.9%
Almost Zeroes
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -2.4% (LAST 10 #1 ZERO)
Chris Herrmann (AZ) -3.0%
Wellington Castillo (AZ) -4.1%
Yasmani Tomas (AZ) -4.6%
Michael Bourn (AZ) -5.5%
David Peralta (AZ) -5.5%
Chris Johnson (MIA) -8.0%
Peter O'Brien (AZ) -12.4%
Zeroes
Justin Nicolino (MIA) -29.1%
Nicolino started for the Marlins and earned a GameScore of 30, allowing a dozen hits in 5.2 innings. He also walked a batter and struck out six, allowing a total of five earned runs. He faced 29 batters, allowing an in-game OBP of .448. Despite this showing, he was bailed out by Miami's big seventh inning, and took home a no-decision.
Zac Curtis (AZ) -29.4%
Curtis came on in the top of the seventh and faced Christian Yelich with one out and runners on first and second base, and allowed a two-RBI double into left field (-29.4%).
Tyler Clippard (AZ) -41.6%
Clippard took over for Corbin in the seventh inning with one out and the bases loaded, and immediately gave up a pinch-hit grand slam to Justin Bour (-31.6%). He walked the next two batters (-10.0%) before getting lifted for Zac Curtis (see above).
Best and Worst
Best
Marlins: Bour's grand slam in the seventh inning (+31.6%), which tied the score at five.
Diamondbacks: Jean Segura's RBI single in the second to give the Diamondbacks a 3-1 lead.
Worst
Marlins: Christian Yelich striking out for the second out of the third with two runners on base (-4.3%).
Diamondbacks: David Peralta striking out to end the seventh with a runner on third.
Last 10 Games
| Christian Yelich | +92.2% |
| Jose Fernandez |
+74.5% |
| AJ Ramos | +42.9% |
| Ichiro Suzuki |
+38.8% |
| Adam Conley | +31.6% |
| JT Realmuto | +28.7% |
| Nick Wittgren | +19.8% |
| Adeiny Hechavarria | +15.7% |
| Martin Prado | +12.0% |
| Miguel Rojas | +7.2% |
| Brian Ellington | +2.4% |
| Kyle Barraclough | -2.7% |
| Cole Gillespie | -3.3% |
| Tom Koehler | -4.3% |
| Jeff Mathis | -5.3% |
| Dustin McGowan | -11.1% |
| David Phelps | -11.8% |
| Cody Hall | -14.5% |
| Chris Johnson | -17.3% |
| Marcell Ozuna | -18.9% |
| Justin Bour | -20.2% |
| Wei-Yin Chen | -22.0% |
| Justin Nicolino | -24.2% |
| Derek Dietrich | -32.1% |
| Mike Dunn | -43.5% |
| Giancarlo Stanton | -45.2% |
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 26,970
gustavopim: 27,890
Marlins 10-1
H: Hechavarria, Nicolino, Johnson
Z: O'Brien, Lamb, Tomas
Marlins 15+H; Hechavarria on base 2+; Nicolino QS
Marlon D: 25,642
Marlins 6-4
H: Prado, Stanton, Goldschmidt
Z: Ozuna, Mathis
Stanton HR; Nicolino QS
2qbn: 22,420
Marlins 5-3
H: Segura, Yelich, Ozuna
Z: Corbin, Goldschmidt, Stanton
Segura SB; Ozuna HR; Ramos SV
Ichthyomancy Standings
|
gustavopim |
173.5 |
|
Shimmy_812 |
131 |
|
2qbn |
129 |
|
evermoresg |
128 |
|
Marlon D |
111 |
Join us tomorrow night for game two of the three game series, as Jose Fernandez takes the hill against Zach Godley in his first start at the top level this season. Also, get your picks in before 10:10PM for the last time before the second part of the Ichthy season starts (through game 124).