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Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."
Heroes
Jeff Locke (PIT) +26.3%
Locke. I mean really what is there to say? He struck out JT Realmuto - once, and faced just one batter over the minimum. He allowed three hits in his complete game shutout, to Adeiny Hechavarria, Cole Gillespie, and Jeff Mathis. He put 67-of-105 pitches in the strikezone and earned a GameScore of 82, dropping his ERA to 4.33 and saw his record climb to 4-3. He also struck out four times in his four trips to the plate, but luckily, they don't pay him for his batting acumen.
David Freese (PIT) +19.2%
Freese was one of four Bucs to earn multiple hits against the Justin Nicolino/Jose Urena/Edwin Jackson combo. He batted third and played first base, and started his night with a two-out double to right field (+2.2%), later scoring the first run of the game. He hit a two-out RBI single to left in the third (+9.9%), a no-out, man-on-first double to center in the sixth (+7.2%), grounded out to end the seventh (0.0%) and hit an RBI single to center in the ninth (0.0%) to complete Pittsburgh's scoring.
Gregory Polanco (PIT) +4.9%
Polanco batted seventh out of right field for the Pirates. He grounded out in the second (-1.4%) and the fourth (-0.8%) before hitting a bases clearing slam in the sixth (+7.1%) to push the score to 7-0. He later singled (+0.0%) and scored in the ninth.
Almost Heroes
Jung Ho Kang (PIT) +4.4%
Cole Gillespie (MIA) +4.0%
Francisco Cervelli (PHI) +2.5%
Minimal Impact
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +0.8%
Josh Harrison (PIT) +0.3%
Edwin Jackson (MIA) +0.1%
Jeff Mathis (MIA) 0.0%
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -0.1%
Derek Dietrich (MIA) -0.2%
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) -1.8%
Almost Zeroes
Christian Yelich (MIA) -2.3%
Chris Johnson (MIA) -2.5%
Sean Rodriguez (PIT) -2.6%
Starling Marte (PHI) -3.3%
JT Realmuto (MIA) -3.9%
Miguel Rojas (MIA) -4.1%
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -5.7%
Zeroes
Justin Nicolino (MIA) -9.4%
Nicolino faced 20 batters and pitched five innings, allowing six hits and no walks for an in-game WHIP of 1.200. He gave up three earned runs and struck out four Buccos, taking the loss with a GameScore of 47. He had some great control, throwing only 22 of his 85 pitches for balls, but finished the night 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA.
Martin Prado (MIA) -9.8%
Prado played the hot corner for the Fish and batted second. He grounded into a double play in the first (-7.8%), grounded out in the fourth (-1.9%), and grounded out again in the seventh (-0.2%).
Jose Urena (MIA) -16.9%
Urena relieved Justin Nicolino with nobody out and a runner on first in the sixth, then allowed a double, an intentional walk, a single, and a grand slam in facing six batters to get through the inning. He only got 14-of-27 pitches over the plate.
Last 10 Games
Marcell Ozuna +65.0%
Derek Dietrich +42.6%
AJ Ramos +42.1%
Jose Fernandez +33.4%
Miguel Rojas +25.0%
Justin Bour +24.5%
Kyle Barraclough +20.6%
Nick Wittgren +18.6%
Adeiny Hechavarria +13.8%
Cole Gillespie +13.1%
Giancarlo Stanton +9.8%
Chris Johnson +7.3%
Dustin McGowan +1.6%
Edwin Jackson -4.4%
Ichiro Suzuki -5.4%
Christian Yelich -7.9%
David Phelps -8.2%
Bryan Morris -8.7%
Wei-Yin Chen -8.8%
Jeff Mathis -10.7%
Tom Koehler -13.3%
Martin Prado -17.0%
Justin Nicolino -23.1%
Adam Conley -43.0%
JT Realmuto -67.2%
Jose Urena -74.2%
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 10,856
Marlon D: 20,480
Marlins 4-3
H: Ozuna, Yelich, Marte
Z: Locke, Realmuto, Mercer
Nicolino QS; OF HR
rsanchez1: 23,400
Marlins 5-4
H: Ozuna, Prado, McCutchen
Z: Freese, Locke, Yelich
Ramos SV; Nicolino 5IP + 3ER (spot on!)
paolo2387: 20,000
Marlins 6-3
H: Prado, Yelich, Ozuna
Z: Hechavarria, Gillespie, Rojas
Nicolino 4+IP 2ER 3+Ks; Ramos SV w/1+K
2qbn: 21,420
Marlins 4-3
H: Yelich, Ozuna, Gillespie
Z: Marte, Kang, Polanco
Yelich RBI+R; Ozuna RBI; Cole HR
gustavopim: 16,890
Marlins 5-3
H: Ozuna, Nicolino, Yelich
Z: Nicolino, Marte, Kang
Ozuna HR; Nicolino 3-4K; Hechavarria 2+H
evermoresg: 18,555
Marlins 7-5
H: Ozuna, Yelich, McCutchen
Z: Locke, Nicolino, Hughes
Ozuna .400+OBP; Marlins 2+HR; Marlins bullpen ER≤1
Ichthyomancy Standings
gustavopim 152
Shimmy_812 131
2qbn 104
Marlon D 92
Jigokusabre 88
evermoresg 85
paolo2387 47
Madrid3004 29.5
rsanchez1 19
Game two of the four game series will kick off tomorrow night at 7:10PM. Get some picks in before the first pitch, and as always, GO FISH!