clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Heroes and Zeroes: Braves 4, Marlins 2

Adam Conley was all over the place in Atlanta on Friday night as the Braves topped the Marlins, 4-2.

MLB: Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Throughout the 2016 regular season, I'm tracking each player involved in each Marlins game. Using the WPA metric (Wins Probability Added), we can order the players from the most positive impact all the way down to most negative. The top three are our "Heroes," and the bottom three rank as our "Zeroes."


Nick Markakis (ATL) +33.3%

Markakis batted fifth out of right field, and entered the night on an 0-for-17 slump. He fouled out with two runners on to end the first (-4.1%) and struck out with two on and one out for the second out of the third (-5.4%) before redeeming himself. He hit a one-out single to left, moving Tyler Flowers to third base in the fifth (+7.6%), drew a one-out walk in the seventh (+4.0%), and hit a bases loaded, two-out, two-RBI single in the ninth (+31.2%) to give the Braves a 4-2 lead.

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +19.8%

Ozuna played center field and batted third for the Marlins, and started his night with a two-out single to left field (+1.2%). He hit an RBI-double to center, scoring Ichiro Suzuki for a 1-0 lead in the third inning (+12.8%), struck out for the second out of the fifth (-1.1%), and hit a leadoff single in the eighth (+6.9%).

Nick Wittgren (MIA) +18.6%

Wittgren inherited two runners in the fifth inning after Adam Conley allowed two runs on four hits earlier in the inning, inducing a Chase d'Arnaud groundout (+3.6%) and a Daniel Castro flyout (+7.7%). He stayed on through the sixth, allowing a Mallex Smith single (-5.1%) before inducing three fly-ball outs (+12.3%).

Almost Zeroes

Ian Krol (ATL) +17.0%

Jeff Francoeur (ATL) +15.7%

Kelly Johnson (ATL) +13.7%

Freddie Freeman (ATL) +9.5%

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +8.4%

Arodys Vizcaino (ATL) +6.7%

Mallex Smith (ATL) +5.1%

Christian Yelich (MIA) +4.1%

Minimal Impact

Bud Norris (ATL) +1.5%

Erick Aybar (ATL) +0.9%

Martin Prado (MIA) -1.5%

Almost Zeroes

Tyler Flowers (ATL) -3.9%

Justin Bour (MIA) -4.1%

Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -4.7%

Williams Perez (ATL) -4.8%

Derek Dietrich (MIA) -5.8%

Gordon Beckham (ATL) -6.8%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -6.9%

Cole Gillespie (MIA) -8.7%

Chase d'Arnaud (ATL) -9.2%

Ender Inciarte (ATL) -13.8%

Daniel Castro (ATL) -15.0%


JT Realmuto (MIA) -17.1%

Realmuto caught and batted fifth for the Fish. He flew out with two-on to end the first (-4.2%), drew a two-out walk with a runner on third in the third (+0.8%), led off the sixth with an infield ground out (-3.3%), and forced out Justin Bour for the second out of the eighth (-5.6%). Realmuto was thrown out trying to steal second a moment later to end the inning (-4.8%).

Adam Conley (MIA) -18.9%

Conley allowed eight hits and a walk through 4.1 innings, also giving up first base three times by hitting the batter and throwing a wild pitch. That's almost three baserunners per inning, and all things considered, he's lucky this contest wasn't more of a train wreck. He struck out three and allowed Atlanta two earned runs in the fifth. He got 54-of-90 pitches over the plate through the game and earned a no-decision with a GameScore of 41, and actually slightly dropped his ERA down to 4.15 for the season.

David Phelps (MIA) -33.2%

Phelps gave up Miami's other two runs, both earned, and saw his record drop to 3-3 on the season despite a still pretty good 1.93 ERA. He put 15-of-26 pitches in the strike zone over his inning (the eighth), but gave up four hits and a walk during that time.


Attendance: 19,325

paolo2387: 15,000

Marlins 6-2

H: Suzuki, Prado, Ozuna

Z: Dietrich, Realmuto, Hechavarria

Conley QS; Conley 3+BB; Conley 2+K

Marlon D: 14,747

Marlins 6-2

H: Conley, Prado, Ozuna

Z: Smith, Perez, Gillespie

Ichiro 2b; Conley 6+IP & 6+K

gustavopim: 11,120

Marlins 6-2

H: Conley, Ozuna, Dietrich

Z: Smith, Freeman, Conley

Conley QS; Marlins 2HR; Marlins 3+2b

2qbn: 14,420

Marlins 4-3

H: Ichiro, Freeman, Dietrich

Z: Inciarte, Markakis, Perez

Conley QS; Ichiro 3x on base; Freeman HR

Jigokusabre: 14,777

Marlins 5-1

H: Ozuna, Dietrich, Enciarte

Z: Perez, Hechavarria, Aybar

Conley QS; Conley W; Ichiro 2+H

evermoresg: 16,885

Marlins 7-5

H: Ozuna, Bour, Conley

Z: Perez, Freeman, Hechavarria

Marlins 3-4-5 2+HR; Conley QS; Ichiro .400+OBP

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim 141

Shimmy_812 131

2qbn 100

Marlon D 88

Jigokusabre 84

evermoresg 73

paolo2387 46

The Marlins will try to get one back tomorrow starting at 4:10PM in the second game of this three game series at the Braves old beat-up ballpark.