Heroes and Zeroes: Marlins 9, Rays 1

Throughout the 2016 season, I'm tracking the results of each game and each player to appear by using the Wins Probability Added (WPA) metric. The top three players are the "Heroes," and the bottom three are the "Zeroes."

Heroes

Jose Fernandez (MIA) +20.2%

Fernandez faced 28 batters over seven full innings, earning a 1.000 WHIP on six hits and a walk. He struck out 12 Rays and allowed one earned run, dropping his ERA to 2.82 and earning the win to push his record to 7-2 on the season. He also got 72 of his 111 pitches over the plate and registered a GameScore of 73.

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +15.0%

Hechavarria led off for the Marlins and played shortstop. He struck out to start the game (-2.1%) then hit a two-run homer in the second inning (+17.3%) to give the Marlins a 3-0 lead. He grounded out to end the fourth (-0.4%), hit a two-out single in the seventh (+0.2%), and hit another single to lead off the ninth inning (0.0%).

Miguel Rojas (MIA) +12.8%

Rojas played second base and batted eighth for the Fish. He hit a one-out, RBI single to left in the second (+14.0%) to open the scoring, then scored on Hechavarria's round-tripper. He flew out to lead off the fourth (-0.7%), grounded out to lead off the seventh (-0.4%), and grounded into a double play for the first two outs of the eighth (-0.1%).

Almost Heroes

Chris Johnson (MIA) +8.1%

Derek Dietrich (MIA) +4.0%

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +2.4%

Corey Dickerson (TB) +2.3%

Minimal Impact

Martin Prado (MIA) +0.8%

Brad Miller (TB) +0.6%

Dustin McGowan (MIA) +0.3%

Brandon Guyer (TB) +0.3%

Nick Wittgren (MIA) 0.0%

Dana Eveland (TB) 0.0%

Hank Conger (TB) 0.0%

Ryan Webb (TB) -0.1%

Mikie Mahtook (TB) -0.1%

Taylor Motter (TB) -0.4%

Logan Morrison (TB) -1.5%

Ryan Garton (TB) -1.7%

Almost Zeroes

Cole Gillespie (MIA) -2.6%

Evan Longoria (TB) -2.8%

JT Realmuto (MIA) -4.4%

Steven Souza (TB) -4.8%

Steve Pearce (TB) -5.6%

Zeroes

Jeff Mathis (MIA) -6.5%

Mathis batted ninth and caught for the Marlins. He fouled out with a runner on third for the second out of the second (-5.6%), struck out for the second out of the fourth (-0.5%), grounded out for the second out of the seventh (-0.3%), and lined out with a man on third to end the eighth (-0.1%).

Curt Casali (TB) -8.5%

Casali caught for the Rays, and also batted ninth in the order. He flew out to lead off the third (-1.3%), fouled out with the bases loaded to end the fourth (-6.3%) and struck out for the second out of the seventh (-0.9%).

Drew Smyly (TB) -27.8%

Smyly started for the Rays and struck out four Marlins in six innings. He gave up six hits and a walk for five earned runs, getting a 7.50 in-game ERA despite a better-than-average in-game WHIP of 1.167. Smyly took the loss to drop to 2-6 for the season and watched his ERA climb to 3.92. He threw 100 pitches, getting 73 into the strike zone and earned a GameScore of 43.

Last 10 Games

Marcell Ozuna +60.4%

AJ Ramos +44.4%

Jose Fernandez +33.4%

David Phelps +29.7%

Miguel Rojas +27.7%

Adeiny Hechavarria +21.2%

Ichiro! Suzuki +18.0%

Cole Gillespie +9.1%

Christian Yelich +8.4%

Chris Johnson +8.2%

Derek Dietrich +8.0%

Dustin McGowan +7.3%

Justin Bour +5.2%

Edwin Jackson +4.4%

Kyle Barraclough +4.3%

Nick Wittgren 0.0%

Adam Conley -0.5%

Bryan Morris -8.7%

Jose Urena -16.4%

Jeff Mathis -16.6%

Tom Koehler -20.8%

Martin Prado -33.3%

Wei-Yin Chen -34.1%

Giancarlo Stanton -35.6%

Justin Nicolino -39.8%

JT Realmuto -58.2%

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 11,399

paolo2387: 12,000

Marlins 3-2

H: Fernandez, Ozuna, Prado

Z: Hechavarria, Mathis, Realmuto

Fernandez QS

Marlon D: 13,597

Marlins 4-1

H: Fernandez, Prado, Realmuto

Z: Johnson, Motter, Casali

Fernandez 7+IP; Fernandez 8+K; Gillespie 2+RBI

2qbn: 13,100

Marlins 4-2

H: Fernandez, Ozuna, Realmuto

Z: Miller, Dickerson, Smyly

Fernandez W; Ozuna 1+RBI; Morrison 0 H

Jigokusabre: 12,999

Marlins 3-1

H: Ozuna, Dietrich, Fernandez

Z: Hechavarria, Mathis, Smyly

Fernandez >2ER; Fernandez 6IP; Fernandez W

gustavopim: 11,289

Marlins 5-1

H: Fernandez, Dietrich, Realmuto

Z: Mathis, Smyly, Rojas

Marlins 3b; Fernandez QS; Fernandez 10+K

evermoresg: 13,650

Marlins 4-2

H: Ozuna, Fernandez, Bour

Z: Smyly, Casali, Longoria

Fernandez QS; Ozuna + Realmuto .400+ OBP; Mathis 1+H

Shimmy_812: 12,750

Marlins 3-0

H: Ozuna, Fernandez, Gillespie

Z: Smyly, Longoria, Pearce

Fernandez QS; Fernandez 7+K; Ozuna RBI

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim 139

Shimmy_812 131

2qbn 100

Marlon D 85

Jigokusabre 83

evermoresg 70

paolo2387 44

The Atlanta Braves are next up for the Marlins. The two start their three-game weekend series tomorrow night at 7:35PM