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Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 4, Rays 3

LoMo put one deep in the seats, but the Fish fought back and earned a win in Tampa Bay

Those were good times with LoMo and Petey Pipes
Wait, what?
Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images

Throughout the 2016 season, I'm tracking the results of each game and each player to appear by using the Wins Probability Added (WPA) metric. The top three players are the "Heroes," and the bottom three are the "Zeroes."


Logan Morrison (TB) +38.1%

Morrison batted sixth and played first base in the field for Tampa Bay, and was the only Ray to collect multiple base hits on the night. He hit a one-out RBI single in the second to open the scoring (+9.6%), hit an infield single with one out in the fourth (+3.2%), and added a one-out, two-run jack in the sixth (+31.8%). He struck out with a man on first to end the eighth (-6.5%).

AJ Ramos (MIA) +18.2%

Ramos came on to pitch the ninth, and earned his 15th save of the season. He induced a Brad Miller groundout (+8.2%), then walked Taylor Motter (-9.3%). Luckily, he came back to get Corey Dickerson to ground into a fielders' choice (+10.4%) for the second out of the inning, and struck out Brandon Guyer (+9.0%) to end the game.

Cole Gillespie (MIA) +16.7%

Gillespie started in left field and batted eighth for the Marlins, and was one of six Marlins to get more than one hit in the game. He struck out with two on to end the second (-4.4%), then hit a one-out double to left field in the fourth (+3.2%). After flying out to right in the sixth (-1.1%), he scored JT Realmuto with a one-out RBI single in the eighth (+21.8%) to give the Marlins a 4-3 lead. He flew out to right field with two runners on to end the Marlins' ninth (-2.8%).

Almost Heroes

Justin Bour (MIA) +15.2%

David Phelps (MIA) +13.2%

Chris Johnson (MIA) +12.6%

Kyle Barraclough (MIA) +12.2%

Dana Eveland (TB) +11.2%

Xavier Cedeno (TB) +8.3%

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) +7.7%

Martin Prado (MIA) +7.2%

JT Realmuto (MIA) +7.0%

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) +6.5%

Ryan Webb (TB) +3.3%

Minimal Impact

Taylor Motter (TB) +1.9%

Desmond Jennings (TB) +0.9%

Curt Casali (TB) -0.3%

Jose Urena (MIA) -2.3%

Almost Zeroes

Derek Dietrich (MIA) -6.3%

Evan Longoria (TB) -6.4%

Steve Pearce (TB) -7.9%

Brad Miller (TB) -8.2%

Brandon Guyer (TB) -8.5%

Corey Dickerson (TB) -10.4%

Matt Andriese (TB) -12.1%

Justin Nicolino (MIA) -13.7%


Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -19.0%

Suzuki led off and played in right field for the Fish, and grounded out to second to open the game (-2.1%). He reached on a fielders choice in the third (-4.0%), grounded out to shortstop to strand a runner at second and end the fourth inning (-2.5%), struck out to open the seventh (-3.7%), and struck out again in the eighth, with runners on the corners and one out (-6.6%).

Mikie Mahtook (TB) -19.1%

Mahtook batted second out of left for Tampa Bay. He grounded into a double play for the first two outs of the first inning (-7.2%), flew out with two runners on for the first out of the third (-6.7%), flew out again to end the fifth (-1.3%), and struck out swinging with a runner on first to end the seventh (-4.0%).

Tyler Sturdevant (TB) -33.1%

Sturdevant took the mound in the eighth inning with the score tied at three. He allowed a JT Realmuto single (-6.9%) and a Chris Johnson sacrifice bunt (+2.2%) to start out, then allowed Cole Gillespie an RBI single to right field (-21.8%). Before leaving the contest, he gave up a single to Adeiny Hechavarria (-6.6%) as well. Sturdevant took the loss.

Last 10 Games

Marcell Ozuna +56.7%

AJ Ramos +52.6%

Jose Fernandez +46.8%

David Phelps +32.3%

Ichiro! Suzuki +17.9%

Miguel Rojas +14.9%

Cole Gillespie +11.7%

Adeiny Hechavarria +10.0%

Dustin McGowan +7.0%

Edwin Jackson +4.4%

Christian Yelich +1.8%

Justin Bour +0.9%

Chris Johnson +0.1%

Adam Conley -0.5%

Kyle Barraclough -2.2%

Derek Dietrich -7.7%

Bryan Morris -8.7%

Jeff Mathis -10.1%

Jose Urena -16.4%

Martin Prado -20.6%

Tom Koehler -20.8%

Giancarlo Stanton -26.9%

Wei-Yin Chen -34.1%

Justin Nicolino -39.8%

JT Realmuto -43.7%


Attendance: 13,554

paolo2387: 12,000

Marlins 5-4

H: Suzuki, Prado, Ozuna

Z: Johnson, Dietrich, Hechavarria

Stanton PH RBI; Nicolino QS, Ramos SV

2qbn: 13,210

Marlins 4-3

H: Stanton, Prado, Nicolino

Z: Andriese, Motter, Pearce

Stanton 2RBI; Nicolino 6IP; Ramos SV

gustavopim: 20,890

Rays 5-1

H: Andriese, Motter, Ozuna

Z: Nicolino, Andriese, Hechavarria

Rays 2HR; Morris gives up an ER, Nicolino 1-2 K

Jigokusabre: 13,333

Marlins 8-6

H: Dietrich, Longoria, Suzuki

Z: Motter, Casali, Hechavarria

Ichiro 2+H; Nicolino QS

Marlon D: 14,853

Marlins 5-0

H: Bour, Gillespie, Ichiro!

Z: Hechavarria, Guyer

Nicolino 6+IP w/0ER; Ichiro+Gillespie 4+H

evermoresg: 11,998

Rays 5-3

H: Andriese, Pearce, Ozuna

Z: Casali, Jennings, Nicolino

Andriese QS; Ozuna .400+ OBP; someone hits the catwalk*

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim 130

Shimmy_812 126

2qbn 96

Marlon D 77

Jigokusabre 76

evermoresg 63

paolo2387 40

* - evermoresg said, "if you can figure it out." Just to let you know, now that I am stationed back in the states and working somewhat normal hours, I watch pretty much every pitch. LoMo put one in the seats - pretty deep I'd say, so I'll give that one to you.

Tomorrow, the Citrus Series comes to a close with another matinee, so get your picks in early for the early afternoon first pitch. In the meantime, keep a browser bookmarked here at Fish Stripes, and GO FISH!