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Miami Marlins at New York Mets: Game 7 Thread

Break out the brooms, Marlins eye first sweep of division rival

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Last night, Marlins fans got to witness who I believe to be one of the best pitchers in baseball right now, Noah Syndergaard. While his 12 strikeouts may have caught the eye of the casual fan, on the Marlins side of things, resilience late in the game was key to a victory. Dee Gordon's eight inning steal of second base and three especially good innings by David Phelps (2 IP, 3 Ks, 1 baserunner) and closer A.J. Ramos (1 IP, 2 Ks, 1 baserunner), netted the fish their first back-to-back wins of 2016.

While early start times (1:10PM ET) following night games can prove difficult for road teams, Miami entrusts 25 year old Adam Conley to square off against righty Logan Verrett, who is starting in place of the injured, new father Jacob deGrom.

Why not kill two birds with one stone? If the Marlins best the Mets today, it will be their first sweep of the young campaign, as well as their first trip above the .500 mark - sending them back to Miami for a series against the Atlanta Braves on a high note.

Team Starter 2016 ERA 2016 FIP 2016 ZiPS Projected ERA
NYM Logan Verrett 9.00 4.26 4.30
MIA Adam Conley 27.00 5.26 4.05

Adam Conley is coming off 1 inning of work in Washington, D.C. that was ultimately cut short by a rain delay. While he didn't look particularly good in that game, cold and rainy is not too friendly of an environment to make a season debut in. Mid 50s and sunny with little wind is the weather we should see in New York today, much more suitable for a good look at an arm with high expectations for 2016.

If past performance has any relevance for future success, Conley went 7 innings, allowing only 3 hits, no walks, and striking out 6 on 99 pitches last September at Citi Field. I won't complain if Conley finds solace in this very same Flushing, NY field once again.

Today's Lineups

MIAMI MARLINS NEW YORK METS
Dee Gordon - 2B Curtis Granderson - RF
Ichiro Suzuki - CF David Wright - 3B
Christian Yelich - LF Yoenis Cespedes - LF
Giancarlo Stanton - RF Neil Walker - 2B
Martin Prado - 3B Wilmer Flores - 1B
Justin Bour - 1B Asdrubal Cabrera - SS
J.T. Realmuto - C Juan Lagares - CF
Miguel Rojas - SS Kevin Plawecki - C
Adam Conley - LHP Logan Verrett - RHP
Miguel Rojas is in for Adeiny Hechavarria, J.T. Realmuto slots back in at catcher after a night off, and Derek Dietrich gets the start at third base over Martin Prado - the sacrifice fly hero from last nights matchup.

What to watch...

  • The Marlins were 8 and 11 last year against the Mets, and 4-6 at Citi Field. A win today would position the fish nicely with regards to the season series in comparison to last year. The next meeting between these teams is a weekend series at Marlins Park, June 3-5.
  • A.J. Ramos was electric last night as he closed out the 9th inning. His third outing of the season saw no walks and his first bout with multiple strikeouts. Even with his velocity slightly down from last year according to Fangraphs.com, Mattingly should be more than confident turning to him late in games. If a save situation were to arise today, Ramos should be the guy after pitching last night off 4 days rest.
  • Al Leiter spoke to Adam Conley during this Mets series and had some nice advice and words of encouragement for the young lefty. Leiter, a southpaw himself back in the 1990s and early 2000s, talked about how Conley's slider from the left side is clearly different then that of a righty throwing the same pitch - think of the righty Chris Archer and his great slider. He also offered high-praise for Conley calling him "Chris Sale-lite", citing that he wants Conley to show a bit more "cockiness" with his stuff and go after hitters. The article can be read right here. I'm excited to see Conley pitch against a Mets lineup that has only mustered 18 runs through 7 games, good for third worst in baseball.

Prediction - Marlins finish off sweep of Mets 6 - 2