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Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 4, Padres 0

Miami is able to string their third consecutive win together with a combination of top notch pitching and timely hitting.

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles where I use the WIns Probability Added (WPA) metric to sort out which players had good or bad days. I rank them in order from most positive impact to most negative impact. The three on top of the list are classified "Heroes," the three on bottom, "Zeroes." Fielding statistics are not taken into account by this metric.


Tom Koehler (MIA) .210

For the third time in a row, the Marlins wind up in the win column with their starting pitcher ranked as the number one Hero. Koehler went seven strong innings, going only one batter over the minimum through four. He struck out seven Padres, allowing zero runs on four walks and three hits.

Martin Prado (MIA) .154

Prado batted second in the order for the Marlins, striking out for the second out of the game in the first (-1.3%). He closed the third inning with a man on second base with his second strikeout of the game (-3.7%), then singled to center in the sixth (+1.7%), scoring on a wild pitch by Tyson Ross (+19.0%) for the first (and game-winning) run of the game. He struck out looking for the hat trick to end the ninth (-0.4%).

JT Realmuto (MIA) .100

Batting sixth, Realmuto started his night by ruining Tyson Ross' perfect game with a two-out single (+1.2%) in the second inning. He grounded out to third to open the fifth (-2.7%), then singled to left with two-outs and runners on first and second in the sixth (+7.8%). A moment later, he stole second and advanced to third on a bad throw (+4.0%). He grounded out for the final out of the eighth (-0.3%).

Almost Heroes

Alexi Amarista (SD) .101

Christian Yelich (MIA) .083

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .060

Will Venable (MIA) .047

Minimal Impact

Steve Cishek (MIA) .015

Justin Bour (MIA) .013

Mike Dunn (MIA) .010

Austin Hedges (SD) .005

Kevin Quackenbush (SD) .003

Shawn Kelley (SD) .002

Miguel Rojas (MIA) .000

Justin Upton (SD) -.001

Yonder Alonso (SD) -.003

Brett Wallace (SD) -.008

Casey McGehee (MIA) -.016

Almost Zeroes

Marcos Mateo (SD) -.029

Cole Gillespie (MIA) -.046

Yangervis Solarte (SD) -.053

Matt Kemp (SD) -.075

Jedd Gyorko (SD) -.077


Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -.084

Suzuki led off the game by striking out to Tyler Ross (-2.0%). He repeated the result for the second out of the third with a runner on second (-3.9%), then grounded out to shortstop for the second out of the sixth (-2.0%), to first for the second out of the seventh with a man on second (-0.4%), and to second with a runner on first for the final out of the ninth (-0.1%).

Abraham Almonte (SD) -.122

Almonte led off for San Diego, drawing a walk in the first (+3.9%) then getting thrown out to close the inning (-2.0%). He flew out to left for the final out of the third with a man on second base (-3.7%) then repeated himself with the bases loaded and two out in the fifth (-9.5%). He led off the eighth with another fly out (-0.9%).

Tyson Ross (SD) -.288

Tyson Ross started out pretty good, striking out the side in the first and winding up with eight overall in 5.2 innings. He gave up four runs, three of them earned, on eight hits. His downfall was concentrated in the sixth inning, where all of Miami's runs where scored.

Best and Worst

The event with the lowest single-play WPA for the Padres (-10.2%) was in the fifth, when Tyson Ross hit a bases-loaded, one-out grounder to third base. Casey McGehee fielded it cleanly and gunned out Will Venable with a perfect strike to catcher JT Realmuto.

San Diego's best single-event was when Alexi Amarista hit a one-out single with runners on first and second in the fifth (+8.6%), just before Ross' unfortunate action erased it.

Miami's worst single-event occured in the fourth, when Justin Bour hit into a double play for the first two outs of the inning (-8.8%).

The best single-event for Miami (and the most important play of the game with a +19.0% WPA added) was when Tyson Ross threw a wild pitch with two out and runners on the corners in the sixth. Martin Prado scored and Christian Yelich advanced to second.

Check back tonight at 10:10 PM for game two against the Friars.