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Miami Marlins "not thinking" about selling at trade deadline

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The Miami Marlins are not ready yet to give up on the 2015 season and are not interested in trading pieces like Martin Prado.

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins are thinking about the situation in south Florida carefully as they go forward, but according to Joe Frisaro of MLB.com, apparently that currently does not incldue the possibility of selling at the trade deadline.

Already, some in the New York media are speculating that the Mets may be able to pry Martin Prado away from Miami to provide insurance in case David Wright doesn’t return.

From what I’m told, the Marlins have not quit on the season. They aren’t thinking about trading away core pieces. Dealing Prado doesn’t make much sense for Miami, especially since he is under contract through 2016. The Yankees are picking up $3 million of the $11 million Prado is making this year and next.

The Marlins’ priority now is getting their pitching in order, and try to make a run. They aren’t thinking about moving a core player like Prado to a team that Miami still may catch in the standings.

The Marlins are not quite ready to let the 2015 season go, even at 20-32 now following the loss to the Chicago Cubs last night. The Fish still believe this club has a "second gear" that it can reach once a series of injury issues resolve. Jose Fernandez is on his way back from Tommy John surgery, as he is scheduled on Saturday to take his first rehab start. Mat Latos and Jarred Cosart are on their way back from the DL. Once all of those pitchers, minus the likely recovering Henderson Alvarez, return, could the Marlins really contend?

The Marlins could not be considered as playing well as of right now, but the franchise is still projected by FanGraphs to be a .500 team going forward, though that projection has slipped slightly from the onset of the season. Internal improvements by players like Dee Gordon and J.T. Realmuto have offset some of the early season drops in projections by players like Christian Yelich.

The problem is that Miami faces a steep climb to the playoffs with multiple teams ahead of them early in the year. At a projected .500 pace, the Marlins wouldbe expected to have just a 1.5 percent chance of making the playoffs by the end of the 2015 season. Those odds are long, about as long as the Atlanta Braves' odds given the opposite start they have had (decent start with an inherently bad roster). These FanGraphs projections do not like the chances of Miami moving on successfully to the postseason.

However, trading at the deadline require a measure of thought not only for the short-term but for the long haul. As Frisaro mentions in the article, the Marlins have very few long-term options at third base, with only Derek Dietrich and Brian Anderson (who is currently in Low-A Greensboro) available. The team presumably could return a decent majority of this core for next year at reasonable prices, with only Latos and Dan Haren heading into free agency. If Miami suspects it could be a contender next season, holding onto a two-year asset like Prado is not an unreasonable plan, especially if the alternative is significantly weaker. The same situation occurs at all Marlins infield positions and now has extended itself into the pitching staff as well.

The Marlins have limited pieces to consider selling given their unique roster blend, but Prado would be among the few names, However, if the team believes it could still contend next season, it should hold onto its players even if the reality of contention in 2015 is bleak.