Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which focus on the players who had the most impact at the plate and on the mound. I used the Wins Probability Added (WPA) chart at www.fangraphs.com to help sort out the details.
Yuniel Escobar (WAS) .503
Escobar, batting second, hit a one-out single to left in the first inning (+2.6%), later scoring on Ryan Zimmerman's sacrifice fly to tie the game at one. He singled to left to lead off the third (+4.1%), hit a single to right in the fifth with one out and one on (+4.7%), singled for a fourth time with two outs and a man on first in the seventh (+5.8%), and finished it off with a two-out, two run single in the eighth to put the Nats on top, 6-4 (+33.1%).
Ian Desmond (WAS) .298
Desmond, batting seventh, struck out looking with the bases loaded in the first (-7.1%), repeating the performance in the fourth for the second out of the inning (-1.8%). He flew out to end the sixth (-1.6%), then made up for his first three plate appearances in the eighth by hitting a one-out, two-run homer to tie the game at four.
Jeff Baker (MIA) .287
Baker pinch hit for Justin Bour in the eighth with two outs and runners on second and third, singling Dee Gordon in for a 3-2 Marlins lead (28.7%).
Jayson Werth (WAS) .171
David Phelps (MIA) .162
Justin Bour (MIA) .156
Dee Gordon (MIA) .068
Tanner Roark (WAS) .064
Clint Robinson (WAS) .054
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .040
Tyler Moore (WAS) .023
Jordan Zimmermann (WAS). 016
Blake Trienen (WAS) .012
Mike Dunn (MIA) .002
Denard Span (WAS) .002
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.002
GIancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.005
Bryce Harper (WAS) -.020
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.024
Reid Brignac (MIA) -.034
Ryan ZImmerman (WAS) -.055
JT Realmuto (MIA) -.061
WIlmer Ramos (WAS) -.084
Danny Espinosa (WAS) -.114
Martin Prado (MIA) -.134
Sam Dyson (MIA) -.159
Dyson relieved Mike Dunn with two outs in the seventh, and runners on the corners. He allowed Jayson Werth a game-tying single to right field (-23.1%) before inducing Bryce Harper to fly out to short (+7.2%).
Matt Grace (WAS) -.371
Grace relieved Blake Treinen with two out in the eighth and runners on first and second. He allowed Jeff Baker's RBI single (-28.7%), intentionally walked JT Realmuto (-1.0%) to load the bases, an RBI single to Ichiro Suzuki (-10.7%), then finally got his one out by striking out Adeiny Hechavarria (+3.2%).
Bryan Morris (MIA) -.795
Morris entered in the eighth with a 4-2 lead. He walked Ryan Zimmerman (-7.6%), induced Wilson Ramos to fly out (+6.5%), then gave up a game-tying home run to Ian Desmond (-40.3%). After striking out Danny Espinosa (+3.2%), He allowed a Tyler Moore single (-2.3%), a Denard Span double (-6.3%), and a two-run Yuniel Escobar single to right (-33.1%). It was then a case of too little too late when he got Jayson Werth to ground out to end the madness (+0.5%).
Last 10 Games
Marlon D was only 36 off the actual attendance with a guess of 24,685 for two points.
Jigokusabre said the Marlins would score in exactly three different innings for two points.
Jeremy Hulme - I live in Germany, and couldn't watch last night's game, but I'm going to give you one point because your prop bet was interesting and I can't check the results of the President's race.
MiamiSkye got a point for calling 6+IP for Phelps.
gustavopim got a point for calling Phelps for a QS and half a point for saying the Marlins would strike out 5+.
Gatorfan4life got two points for calling a two-run Nationals win (boo) and a point for calling a Zimmermann QS.
For the first time, nobody predicted a single hero or zero.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
Miami gets another shot at the favorite to win the NL East title this season tonight at 7:10PM, and with any luck, they'll get a chance to take the series tomorrow afternoon. Leave your picks here or in the game thread.