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Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which focus on the players who had the most impact at the plate and on the mound. I used the Wins Probability Added (WPA) chart at www.fangraphs.com to help sort out the details.
Heroes
Martin Prado (MIA) .359
Prado, batting second for the Marlins, started out his performance by reaching first base on a Cody Asche error (+6.7%) with nobody out and a man on first in the first. With two out and two on in the second, he blistered a 3-1 pitch over the left-center field wall for a 3-0 Marlins' lead that Miami wouldn't lose (+27.4%). He drew a walk in the fourth with nobody out and a runner on third (+0.6%), doubled to center with two out to score Dee Gordon in the sixth (+1.2%), and got to first on an HBP with one out and runners on the corners in the eighth (+0.0%).
Dan Haren (MIA) .171
Haren pitched himself a quality start, going six innings and walking none while striking out four. He allowed only four hits, three singles and a double, leaving with a 6-0 lead. He sacrifice bunted Adeiny Hechavarria to second with one out in the second (-1.8%) and flew out to end Miami's third (-1.5%).
Dee Gordon (MIA) .100
Gordon led off the Miami half of the first with a sharp single to center field (+3.6%), stealing second moments later (+2.6%). He drew a walk with a man on second and two out in the second (+1.0%), then scored on Prado's blast. He singled to left field to lead off the fourth (+0.9%), stealing second (+0.8%) and taking third on a wild pitch (+1.0%) before scoring on Giancarlo Stanton's sacrifice fly. He hit safely for a third time with two out in the sixth (+0.1%), scoring on Prado's double to center, then reached base for a fifth time by drawing a one-out walk in the eighth (+0.0%).
Almost Heroes
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .043
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .041
Freddie Galvis (PHI) .030
Galvis was Philadelphia's only player who had any sort of positive net impact on the outcome of the contest.
Minimal Impact
Nick Masset (MIA) .010
Sam Dyson (MIA) .001
Jonathan Papelbon (PHI) .000
Justin Bour (MIA) .000
Cesar Hernandez (PHI) -.001
Donovan Solano (MIA) -.001
Dustin McGowan (PHI) -.002
Grady Sizemore (PHI) -.007
Ben Revere (PHI) -.010
Almost Zeroes
JT Realmuto (MIA) -.021
Carlos Ruiz (PHI) -.028
Cody Asche (PHI) -.032
Chase Utley (PHI) -.036
Ryan Howard (PHI) -.036
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.047
Jeff Baker (MIA) -.057
Zeroes
Odubel Herrera (PHI) -.074
Herrera, batting second for the Phils, started off by flying out to center with one out in the first (-1.5%), then ended the third by lining out with runners on second and third (-5.3%). He flew out to center to lead off the sixth (-0.9%) and got onto base for the first time in the eighth, singling to center with a man on first and one out (+0.3%).
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.099
Stanton was the only Marlins' starter to fail to collect a hit. Batting third, he reached first base in the first when he grounded into a fielders' choice which moved Martin Prado to second but erased Dee Gordon trying to score (-9.0%). He struck out swinging for the third out of the second (-0.5%), scored Gordon on a sacrifice fly with nobody out in the fourth (-0.2%), struck out swinging to close the sixth (-0.2%), and struck out swinging for a third time in the eighth, with one out and the bases juiced (-0.0%).
Cole Hamels (PHI) -.303
The majority of Philadelphia's loss can be laid at Hamels' feet. He allowed 10 hits and three walks in six innings, striking out six Marlins but giving up six earned runs.
Last 10 Games
Dee Gordon | 0.884 |
Jarred Cosart | 0.788 |
Marcell Ozuna | 0.713 |
Adieny Hechavarria | 0.552 |
Giancarlo Stanton | 0.486 |
Martin Prado | 0.355 |
Mike Dunn | 0.339 |
David Phelps | 0.318 |
Justin Bour | 0.303 |
Bryan Morris | 0.245 |
Sam Dyson | 0.200 |
Dan Haren | 0.145 |
Tom Koehler | 0.136 |
Brad Hand | 0.072 |
Mat Latos | 0.042 |
AJ Ramos | 0.041 |
Reid Brignac | 0.030 |
Nick Masset | 0.010 |
Jarrod Saltalamacchia | -0.043 |
Jeff Baker | -0.046 |
Donovan Solano | -0.165 |
Mike Morse | -0.241 |
Steve Cishek | -0.321 |
Ichiro Suzuki | -0.395 |
JT Realmuto | -0.428 |
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 33,348
MiamiSkye guessed 21,833, only - like - 12,000 off the actual figure, but still close enough to beat everyone else who guessed for two points. He called the winner, a Gordon Hero and a Hamels Zero for three more, totaling five.
Jigokusabre called the winner, said Haren would give up zero HR and earn a QS (separately, not a parlay), and called a Prado Hero for four points.
dcfish called the winner for one point.
gustavopim called the winner, a Haren QS and Gordon and Haren amongst the Heroes for four points.
sternma finally returned and called the winner, a Gordon Hero and a Hamel Zero for three.
Gatorfan4life called a, ooh, bad game of picking.
Ichthyomancy Standings
gustavopim | 59.5 |
Miami Skye | 56.5 |
Jigokusabre | 51 |
dcfish | 42 |
Kevin Kraczkowski | 39.5 |
Marlon D | 26.5 |
Bdwatson | 24 |
tomwolf2008 | 19 |
Jeremy Hulme | 17 |
Gatorfan4life | 16.5 |
Thomas Bennett | 14 |
thenumber95 | 11 |
sternma | 6 |
Next up - a Sunday matinee matchup against these same Phillies. The Marlins are going for their second sweep in their last three series.