Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 7, Phillies 0

Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which focus on the players who had the most impact at the plate and on the mound. I used the Wins Probability Added (WPA) chart at www.fangraphs.com to help sort out the details.

Heroes

Martin Prado (MIA) .359

Prado, batting second for the Marlins, started out his performance by reaching first base on a Cody Asche error (+6.7%) with nobody out and a man on first in the first. With two out and two on in the second, he blistered a 3-1 pitch over the left-center field wall for a 3-0 Marlins' lead that Miami wouldn't lose (+27.4%). He drew a walk in the fourth with nobody out and a runner on third (+0.6%), doubled to center with two out to score Dee Gordon in the sixth (+1.2%), and got to first on an HBP with one out and runners on the corners in the eighth (+0.0%).

Dan Haren (MIA) .171

Haren pitched himself a quality start, going six innings and walking none while striking out four. He allowed only four hits, three singles and a double, leaving with a 6-0 lead. He sacrifice bunted Adeiny Hechavarria to second with one out in the second (-1.8%) and flew out to end Miami's third (-1.5%).

Dee Gordon (MIA) .100

Gordon led off the Miami half of the first with a sharp single to center field (+3.6%), stealing second moments later (+2.6%). He drew a walk with a man on second and two out in the second (+1.0%), then scored on Prado's blast. He singled to left field to lead off the fourth (+0.9%), stealing second (+0.8%) and taking third on a wild pitch (+1.0%) before scoring on Giancarlo Stanton's sacrifice fly. He hit safely for a third time with two out in the sixth (+0.1%), scoring on Prado's double to center, then reached base for a fifth time by drawing a one-out walk in the eighth (+0.0%).

Almost Heroes

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .043

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .041

Freddie Galvis (PHI) .030

Galvis was Philadelphia's only player who had any sort of positive net impact on the outcome of the contest.

Minimal Impact

Nick Masset (MIA) .010

Sam Dyson (MIA) .001

Jonathan Papelbon (PHI) .000

Justin Bour (MIA) .000

Cesar Hernandez (PHI) -.001

Donovan Solano (MIA) -.001

Dustin McGowan (PHI) -.002

Grady Sizemore (PHI) -.007

Ben Revere (PHI) -.010

Almost Zeroes

JT Realmuto (MIA) -.021

Carlos Ruiz (PHI) -.028

Cody Asche (PHI) -.032

Chase Utley (PHI) -.036

Ryan Howard (PHI) -.036

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.047

Jeff Baker (MIA) -.057

Zeroes

Odubel Herrera (PHI) -.074

Herrera, batting second for the Phils, started off by flying out to center with one out in the first (-1.5%), then ended the third by lining out with runners on second and third (-5.3%). He flew out to center to lead off the sixth (-0.9%) and got onto base for the first time in the eighth, singling to center with a man on first and one out (+0.3%).

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.099

Stanton was the only Marlins' starter to fail to collect a hit. Batting third, he reached first base in the first when he grounded into a fielders' choice which moved Martin Prado to second but erased Dee Gordon trying to score (-9.0%). He struck out swinging for the third out of the second (-0.5%), scored Gordon on a sacrifice fly with nobody out in the fourth (-0.2%), struck out swinging to close the sixth (-0.2%), and struck out swinging for a third time in the eighth, with one out and the bases juiced (-0.0%).

Cole Hamels (PHI) -.303

The majority of Philadelphia's loss can be laid at Hamels' feet. He allowed 10 hits and three walks in six innings, striking out six Marlins but giving up six earned runs.

Last 10 Games

Dee Gordon	0.884
Jarred Cosart	0.788
Marcell Ozuna	0.713
Adieny Hechavarria	0.552
Giancarlo Stanton	0.486
Martin Prado	0.355
Mike Dunn	0.339
David Phelps	0.318
Justin Bour	0.303
Bryan Morris	0.245
Sam Dyson	0.200
Dan Haren	0.145
Tom Koehler	0.136
Brad Hand	0.072
Mat Latos	0.042
AJ Ramos	0.041
Reid Brignac	0.030
Nick Masset	0.010
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	-0.043
Jeff Baker	-0.046
Donovan Solano	-0.165
Mike Morse	-0.241
Steve Cishek	-0.321
Ichiro Suzuki	-0.395
JT Realmuto	-0.428

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 33,348

MiamiSkye guessed 21,833, only - like - 12,000 off the actual figure, but still close enough to beat everyone else who guessed for two points. He called the winner, a Gordon Hero and a Hamels Zero for three more, totaling five.

Jigokusabre called the winner, said Haren would give up zero HR and earn a QS (separately, not a parlay), and called a Prado Hero for four points.

dcfish called the winner for one point.

gustavopim called the winner, a Haren QS and Gordon and Haren amongst the Heroes for four points.

sternma finally returned and called the winner, a Gordon Hero and a Hamel Zero for three.

Gatorfan4life called a, ooh, bad game of picking.

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim	59.5
Miami Skye	56.5
Jigokusabre	51
dcfish	42
Kevin Kraczkowski	39.5
Marlon D	26.5
Bdwatson	24
tomwolf2008	19
Jeremy Hulme	17
Gatorfan4life	16.5
Thomas Bennett	14
thenumber95	11
sternma	6

Next up - a Sunday matinee matchup against these same Phillies. The Marlins are going for their second sweep in their last three series.