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Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Heroes
Andre Ethier (LAD) .217
Ethier, batting seventh for the Dodgers, started his night hitting a no-out single with a man on second in the second inning (+6.7%). Nobody scored in the frame, but Ethier hit a solo-home run in his next plate appearance to lead off the fourth to put the Dodgers on top, 2-1 with the eventual game winning RBI (+14.1%). He singled to right with one out and one on in the fifth (+0.7%), hit a two-RBI, bases loaded single in the sixth (+0.1%) and singled to left to lead off the eighth (+0.0%).
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .175
Stanton started out by hitting a baseball into orbit with two-out in the first (+11.2%) for a 1-0 Marlins lead. Seriously, it's still in orbit. He drew a walk to lead off the fourth (+4.5%) and singled Martin Prado to second with one out in the sixth (+1.8%).
Howie Kendrick (LAD) .172
Kendrick, also batting third for his club, singled Joc Pederson to second with one out in the first (+4.0%). He hit a leadoff home run in the third to tie the game at one (+13.4%), then grounded out and moved Jimmy Rollins to third for the first out of the fifth (-0.6%). He then hit an infield single with one out and nobody on in the sixth (+0.4%) and hit another infield single with one out in the seventh (+0.0%)
Almost Heroes
Scott Van Slyke (LAD) .100
Yasmani Grandal (LAD) .093
JT Realmuto (MIA) .045
Mike Bolsinger (LAD) .037
Alex Guererro (LAD) .030
Minimal Impact
Paco Rodriguez (LAD) .016
Nick Masset (MIA) .000
Bryan Morris (MIA) .000
Jeff Baker (MIA) .000
Jhonatan Solano (MIA) .000
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) .000
Sergio Santos (LAD) .000
Juan Nicasio (LAD) .000
JP Howell (LAD) .000
Juan Uribe (LAD) .000
Almost Zeroes
Brad Hand (MIA) -.032
Martin Prado (MIA) -.040
Michael Morse (MIA) -.040
Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) -.043
Dee Gordon (MIA) -.058
Jimmy Rollins (LAD) -.058
Joc Pederson (LAD) -.064
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.069
Zeroes
Christian Yelich (MIA) -.069
Yelich, batting fifth, drew a walk to lead off the second inning (+3.3%), but then was thrown out trying to steal second (-5.3%). He reached base with one out in the fourth, but got Stanton out in the process (-3.3%), then struck out to end the sixth stranding runners on the corners (-1.6%).
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.072
Heche, batting eighth, singled to the third base side to lead off the third inning (+3.4%). He erased JT Realmuto with the first two outs of the fifth by grounding into a 1-6-3 double play (-10.7%), then drew a two-out walk in the seventh (+0.0%).
Dan Haren (MIA) -.340
Haren earned the loss by allowing 11 hits in four and a third innings, including two home runs. He struck out four Dodgers and did not issue any free passes (silver lining). In total, he allowed six earned runs to raise his ERA from 2.68 to 3.70.
Last 10 Games
Heroes | Christian Yelich | 0.619 |
Mat Latos | 0.454 | |
Donovan Solano | 0.364 | |
Almost Heroes | David Phelps | 0.348 |
Jeff Baker | 0.326 | |
AJ Ramos | 0.228 | |
Mike Dunn | 0.219 | |
Justin Bour | 0.147 | |
Dee Gordon | 0.146 | |
Dan Haren | 0.102 | |
Minimal Impact | JT Realmuto | 0.085 |
Mike Morse | 0.077 | |
Jhonatan Solano | 0.055 | |
Ichiro Suzuki | 0.004 | |
Nick Masset | -0.005 | |
Marcell Ozuna | -0.066 | |
Brad Hand | -0.070 | |
Almost Zeroes | Reid Brignac | -0.125 |
Sam Dyson | -0.170 | |
Giancarlo Stanton | -0.261 | |
Tom Koehler | -0.368 | |
Martin Prado | -0.454 | |
Jarred Cosart | -0.593 | |
Zeroes | Adieny Hechavarria | -0.643 |
Bryan Morris | -0.950 | |
Steve Cishek | -1.470 |
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 49,628
gustavopim guessed 50,789, winning the attendance with a pick just 1,161 off the actual figure. He said the Dodgers would give up more walks than the Marlins, picked Stanton as a Hero and Haren as a Zero to finish his night with five points.
Jigokusabre picked Stanton as a Hero, Heche as a Zero, and Haren as a Zero to max out his H&Z's with three points.
Jeremy Hulme called Stanton as a hero and correctly predicted that he would draw more walks than he would strikeouts. That sounds like two to me, and yes, Scott is Andy's kid. He totaled three points.
Thomas Bennett got a single point by predicting that Haren would bottom out as a Zero.
dcfish called Stanton for a Hero and Haren as a Zero for two points.
MiamiSkye had a bad night and drops out of the lead, but it's a long season, and it looks like a three horse race unless dcfish starts to get serious here (get on it, bub!).
Ichthyomancy Standings
gustavopim | 87.5 |
Miami Skye | 86 |
Jigokusabre | 73.5 |
dcfish | 52 |
Kevin Kraczkowski | 41.5 |
Marlon D | 39 |
Gatorfan4life | 36.5 |
Jeremy Hulme | 29 |
Bdwatson | 25 |
tomwolf2008 | 19 |
Thomas Bennett | 18.5 |
sternma | 14 |
thenumber95 | 11 |
zag | 3 |
Alex Carver | 3 |
Al-Kendall | 3 |
nfries7 | 2.5 |
Delusional Marlins Fan | 2 |
rsanchez1 | 2 |
DavidJacobs | 2 |
Sandman | 2 |
SuperRadz | 1 |
ncchief | 1 |
d.o.g.o.b.y.g.n. | 1 |
The Fish try to avoid a sweep at Dodger Stadium with the final game of their 10 game road trip tonight at 7:50 EST. Get your picks in here or in the GameThread later. After, Miami gets an off day before hosting the Braves three times this weekend.