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Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Heroes
Scott Van Slyke (LAD) .806
Van Slyke, batting eighth for the Dodgers, grounded out to shortstop for the second out of the third inning (-1.7%). He doubled to left to open the fifth (+5.9%), then he singled to left (+7.7%) and took second on a Christian Yelich error, later scoring a go ahead run in the seventh. He also recorded a putout and an assist in the frame, with a 7-2 double play to end the Marlins half. He ended the contest with a three-run blast with one out in the bottom of the ninth (+68.7%).
Christian Yelich (MIA) .771
Yelich batted fifth, and started out with a swinging strikeout for the second out of the second inning (-1.5%). He grounded out to second to open the fifth (-3.1%), singled to left with one out in the seventh (+4.1%), and had what would have been the play of the game if not for Van Slyke's heroics, with a one-out, two-run go-ahead homer in the top of the ninth (+68.3%).
Zach Grienke (LAD) .219
Grienke pitched seven strong innings for the Dodgers, allowing two walks and six hits for one earned run. He struck out five Marlins. In addition, he was Los Angeles' first baserunner, drawing a two-out walk in the third.
Almost Heroes
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .215
Joc Pederson (LAD) .172
Adam Liberatore (LAD) .087
Tom Koehler (MIA) .077
Michael Morse (MIA) .066
JP Howell (LAD) .042
Andre Ethier (LAD) .026
Sam Dyson (MIA) .025
CHris Hatcher (LAD) .024
JT Realmuto (MIA) .023
Minimal Impact
Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) .020
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) .016
Howie Kendrick (LAD) .016
Martin Prado (MIA) -.010
Almost Zeroes
Jeff Baker (MIA) -.052
Justin Turner (LAD) -.054
Alex Guerrero (LAD) -.059
Dee Gordon (MIA) -.134
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.159
Jimmy Rollins (LAD) -.160
Nick Masset (MIA) -.186
Zeroes
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.328
Hechavarria, as always batting eighth for the Marlins, grounded out to shortstop to open the third (-2.4%). He flew out to right with a man on to end the fifth (-3.2%), then flew out to left with the bases loaded to end the seventh (-24.6%) in a play that wound up a twin-killing when Andy Van Slyke threw out Christian Yelich trying to score on the play. He flew out again for the second out of the ninth with two runners on base (-2.6%).
Yimi Garcia (LAD) -.720
Garcia took just two-thirds of an inning to make a one-run lead into a one-run deficit. He struck out Giancarlo Stanton (+6.7%) to open the inning before allowing Marcell Ozuna to walk (-7.9%) and Christian Yelich to knock both of them in (-68.3%). He then allowed singles to Michael Morse (-1.5%) and JT Realmuto (-2.1%) before walking Ichiro! Suzuki (-1.6%) to load the bases. JP Howell bailed him out by getting Dee Gordon to fly out for the final out.
Steve Cishek (MIA) -.824
Cishek did Garcia one better, taking just one-third of an inning to give the Dodgers the lead (and win). He got Justin Turner to fly out to open the frame (+8.0%), then walked Yasmani Grandal (-9.2%), allowed a single to Andre Ethier (-12.4%), and then gave Scott Van Slyke a meatball to drive over the fence for a walk-off three run bash.
Last 10 Games
Heroes | Christian Yelich | 0.688 |
Dan Haren | 0.613 | |
Mat Latos | 0.454 | |
Almost Heroes | Donovan Solano | 0.363 |
David Phelps | 0.348 | |
Dee Gordon | 0.304 | |
Jeff Baker | 0.269 | |
AJ Ramos | 0.228 | |
Mike Dunn | 0.219 | |
Justin Bour | 0.147 | |
Mike Morse | 0.117 | |
Minimal Impact | Jhonatan Solano | 0.055 |
Marcell Ozuna | 0.046 | |
Ichiro Suzuki | 0.045 | |
JT Realmuto | 0.019 | |
Nick Masset | 0.005 | |
Brad Hand | -0.038 | |
Martin Prado | -0.055 | |
Almost Zeroes | Reid Brignac | -0.125 |
Sam Dyson | -0.169 | |
Tom Koehler | -0.368 | |
Giancarlo Stanton | -0.535 | |
Jarred Cosart | -0.593 | |
Zeroes | Adieny Hechavarria | -0.618 |
Bryan Morris | -0.950 | |
Steve Cishek | -1.470 |
Ichthyomancy
Attendance: 44,941
Gatorfan4life wins attendance with a guess of 45,432, 491 off the actual figure. He called a Dodgers win, Grienke and Yelich as a Hero, and Heche as a Zero for six total points.
I called Greinke a Hero and said Scott Van Slyke would get on base for two points.
gustavopim said the Marlins would hit 2 home runs for three points. He said that Dodgers' pitching would out-K the Fish and called Grienke a Hero for a total of five.
Jigokusabre called Zach Grienke a Hero and Adeiny Hechavarria a Zero for two points.
Jeremy Hulme called Heche a Zero, and also called "Cranky" a Zero, but I don't know who that is, so he only gets one point.
MiamiSkye called a Hero for Grienke.
Ichthyomancy Standings
Miami Skye | 86 |
gustavopim | 82.5 |
Jigokusabre | 70.5 |
dcfish | 50 |
Kevin Kraczkowski | 41.5 |
Marlon D | 39 |
Gatorfan4life | 36.5 |
Jeremy Hulme | 26 |
Bdwatson | 25 |
tomwolf2008 | 19 |
Thomas Bennett | 17.5 |
Miami looks to get some karmic payback tonight in game two of this three game series. Leave your picks here or in the GameThread.