Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Nori Aoki (SFG) .444
Aoki led off for the Giants, and began his night with a grounder to first (-2.1%). He singled to second with two out in the third (+1.4%), singled to left in the sixth with one out (+6.7%), stealing second a moment later (+4.9%) then scoring on a Brandon Belt single. Aoki grounded out to third to lead off the eighth (-5.9%), then drew a two-out, bases-loaded walk from Steve Cishek (+39.4%) to tie the score at two in the bottom of the ninth.
Gregor Blanco (SFG) .439
Blanco batted seventh for San Francisco, and struck out swinging in his first plate appearance to close the second inning (-1.0%). He singled to shortstop in the fifth (+3.9%), hit a ground rule double with one out in the seventh (+7.7%), and added another double with one out and one on in the ninth (+33.3%), later scoring the winning run on a Matt Duffy single.
Matt Duffy (SFG) .250
Duffy, batting second for the Giants, struck out looking for the second out of the first (-1.4%). He grounded out to end the third inning with one on base (-2.5%), grounded out to shortstop with a man on second for the first out of the sixth (-1.9%), grounded out to second for the second out of the eighth, and closed his night with a walk-off single to left (+34.9%) which scored Gregor Blanco.
Donovan Solano (MIA) .246
Mat Latos (MIA) .225
Dee Gordon (MIA) .191
Ryan Vogelsong (SFG) .175
Brandon Belt (SFG) .132
Mike Dunn (MIA) .129
Michael Morse (MIA) .079
Justin Bour (MIA) .048
Santiago Casilla (SFG) .045
Christian Yelich (MIA) .019
Andrew Susac (SFG) .007
Buster Posey (SFG) -.003
Jeremy Affeldt (SFG) -.015
Ichiro! Suzuki MIA) -.037
Brandon Crawford (SFG) -.072
Joe Panik (SFG) -.095
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.097
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.102
Jhonatan Solano (MIA) -.105
Casey McGehee (SFG) -.116
Jason Maxwell (SFG) -.202
Sergio Romo (SFG) -.227
Angel Pagan (SFG) -.261
Pagan came on as a pinch hitter in the bottom of the ninth with one out and the bases loaded, and struck out swinging against Steve Cishek (-26.1%).
Martin Prado (MIA) -.269
Prado batted second for the Marlins, grounding hit to third in his first trip to the dish (-1.4%). He flew out to right with two runners in scoring position to end the third (-6.6%), flew out to left to open the sixth (-2.2%) and struck out swinging with runners on second and third for the second out of the eighth (-16.7%).
Steve Cishek (MIA) -.825
Cishek came on in a save situation, opening the ninth with a 2-1 lead. He struck out Jason Maxwell swinging (+7.9%), then allowed an Andrew Susac single (-9.2%) and a Gregor Blanco double (-33.3%) before intentionally walking Buster Posey to load the bases (-0.3%). After striking out Angel Pagan swinging (+26.1%), he walked Nori Aoki in with the game tying run (-39.4%) before giving up a walk-off game-winning RBI single to Matt Duffy (-34.9%).
Last 10 Games
|Almost Heroes||Donovan Solano||0.363|
|Minimal Impact||Jhonatan Solano||0.055|
|Almost Zeroes||JT Realmuto||-0.148|
Jigokusabre won the attendance with a prediction of 41,503, 386 off the actual figure.
sternma came within a whisker of a truly epic parlay, calling both pitchers for quality starts, Vogelsong with seven K's (he had five) and Latos with four K's (he also had five).
nfries7 said Latos would pitch at least five shutout innings (he pitched six of those) for 1.5.
gustavopim said the starting pitchers would combine to go between 11.2 and 14 innings, with is worth .5 by itself, but he parlayed it with a Latos QS and gets two points.
dcfish said neither team would commit an error.
Gatorfan4life called the winner for a point.
Miami opens a three game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. Get your picks in here or in the GameThread.