Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
David Phelps (MIA) .186
Phelps allowed one walk and six hits, striking out three Giants and allowing only a single earned run over his six innings pitched. He earned the win for Miami, and is now 2-0 with a 1.23 WHIP and a collective .880 WPA on the season.
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .137
Ozuna, batting fourth for the Fish, flew out to right to end the first with Martin Prado on first (-2.1%). He led off the fourth with a solo home run (14.0%) to give Miami a 1-0 lead. He struck out swinging to end the fifth (-0.5%) and reached first base on a fielder's choice in the eighth (+2.3%). (should have been an error, or failing that, a hit. Awarding a FC in that situation was a total copout). Ozuna drew a two-out walk in the ninth (+0.0%) to close his statline.
Jeff Baker (MIA) .111
Baker batted sixth for Miami, and grounded out to third for the second out of the second inning (-1.5%) to start out his night. He hit a double to left with nobody out in the fourth to score JT Realmuto (+12.6%), but was then removed in favor of Donovan Solano due to an injury of some lower-body variety.
AJ Ramos (MIA) .071
Brandon Crawford (SFG) .071
Brandon Belt (SFG) .058
Martin Prado (MIA) .050
Gregor Blanco (SFG) .046
Donovan Solano (MIA) .040
Angel Pagan (SFG) .039
George Kontos (SFG) .031
Hector Sanchez (SFG) .029
Javier Lopez (SFG) .028
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .022
Bryan Morris (MIA) .016
Matt Duffy (SFG) .004
Sergio Romo (SFG) .002
Jason Maxwell (SFG) .002
JT Realmuto (MIA) .001
Justin Bour (MIA) .001
Santiago Casilla (SFG) .001
Michael Morse (MIA) -.003
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -.013
Christian Yelich (MIA) -.036
Nori Aoki (SFG) -.073
Buster Posey (SFG) -.081
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.084
Jean Machi (SFG) -.103
Casey McGehee (SFG) -.105
McGehee, fresh off his turn as a Hero in the GIants 6-0 shutout on Friday, earns the third Zero of the night with an 0-for-4 night. He led off the third with a groundout to start things out (-2.4%), then struck out his next three times up. He went down looking with one out in the fifth (-1.9%), looking with a man on first and nobody out in the seventh (-5.8%), and swinging to lead off the ninth (-0.4%).
Joe Panik (SFG) -.163
Panik, batting second for the Giants, flew out to center in the first (-1.4%), grounded out with a man on first to end the third (-2.5%), grounded out to first with runners on first and second to end the fifth (-5.8%), and flew out to center, again with runners on first and second, to end the seventh (-7.0%). He did put up an RBI double with two out in the bottom of the ninth (+0.3%) before Angel Pagan grounded out to end the game.
Madison Bumgarner (SFG) -.167
Bumgarner is no joke, not even on a "bad" night. He allowed five hits and two walks, striking out 10 Marlins in just five innings and leaving the game with a 3-1 deficit.
Last 10 Games (H's & Z's)
|Almost Heroes||David Phelps||0.348|
|Minimal Impact||Giancarlo Stanton||0.092|
|Almost Zeroes||Christian Yelich||-0.102|
Notes about "Last 10 Games":
Two of Miami's five current starting pitchers are amongst the top four rostered Marlins, as are two of the bottom three. Aside from Mat Latos, it appears to be either feast or famine with the guy on the bump.
Both Solanos are in the "Almost Heroes" pile despite limited playing time. Jhonatan's .160 is notable because he earned most of it in one game (one plate appearance, actually).
Highest single game WPA is Marcell Ozuna's .489 on his four hit night in the 4-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies on May 1st.
The lowest single game figure is Bryan Morris' .795 mark on May 4th in the 6-4 Marlins' loss to the Washington Nationals.
dcfish wins the attendance, just 185 off with a prediction of 42,100. He also predicted the winner and Bumgarner as a Zero. Four points.
Jeremy Hulme called the winner, a Phelps Hero and a Bumgarner Zero for three points.
Jigokusabre called the Marlins win and a McGehee Zero for two points.
MiamiSkye called the winner, a Phelps hero and a Bumgarner Zero for three.
gustavopim called the winner, said Bumgarner would give up less hits than Phelps, and said SF would strike out more batters than the Marlins for a total of three points.
These two teams get back after it later this afternoon. First pitch is set for 4:05PM EST. Leave your picks here or in the GameThread.