Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 6, Giants 2

Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.

Heroes

David Phelps (MIA) .186

Phelps allowed one walk and six hits, striking out three Giants and allowing only a single earned run over his six innings pitched. He earned the win for Miami, and is now 2-0 with a 1.23 WHIP and a collective .880 WPA on the season.

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .137

Ozuna, batting fourth for the Fish, flew out to right to end the first with Martin Prado on first (-2.1%). He led off the fourth with a solo home run (14.0%) to give Miami a 1-0 lead. He struck out swinging  to end the fifth (-0.5%) and reached first base on a fielder's choice in the eighth (+2.3%). (should have been an error, or failing that, a hit. Awarding a FC in that situation was a total copout). Ozuna drew a two-out walk in the ninth (+0.0%) to close his statline.

Jeff Baker (MIA) .111

Baker batted sixth for Miami, and grounded out to third for the second out of the second inning (-1.5%) to start out his night. He hit a double to left with nobody out in the fourth to score JT Realmuto (+12.6%), but was then removed in favor of Donovan Solano due to an injury of some lower-body variety.

Almost Heroes

AJ Ramos (MIA) .071

Brandon Crawford (SFG) .071

Brandon Belt (SFG) .058

Martin Prado (MIA) .050

Gregor Blanco (SFG) .046

Donovan Solano (MIA) .040

Angel Pagan (SFG) .039

George Kontos (SFG) .031

Hector Sanchez (SFG) .029

Javier Lopez (SFG) .028

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .022

Minimal Impact

Bryan Morris (MIA) .016

Matt Duffy (SFG) .004

Sergio Romo (SFG) .002

Jason Maxwell (SFG) .002

JT Realmuto (MIA) .001

Justin Bour (MIA) .001

Santiago Casilla (SFG) .001

Michael Morse (MIA) -.003

Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -.013

Almost Zeroes

Christian Yelich (MIA) -.036

Nori Aoki (SFG) -.073

Buster Posey (SFG) -.081

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.084

Jean Machi (SFG) -.103

Zeroes

Casey McGehee (SFG) -.105

McGehee, fresh off his turn as a Hero in the GIants 6-0 shutout on Friday, earns the third Zero of the night with an 0-for-4 night. He led off the third with a groundout to start things out (-2.4%), then struck out his next three times up. He went down looking with one out in the fifth (-1.9%), looking with a man on first and nobody out in the seventh (-5.8%), and swinging to lead off the ninth (-0.4%).

Joe Panik (SFG) -.163

Panik, batting second for the Giants, flew out to center in the first (-1.4%), grounded out with a man on first to end the third (-2.5%), grounded out to first with runners on first and second to end the fifth (-5.8%), and flew out to center, again with runners on first and second, to end the seventh (-7.0%). He did put up an RBI double with two out in the bottom of the ninth (+0.3%) before Angel Pagan grounded out to end the game.

Madison Bumgarner (SFG) -.167

Bumgarner is no joke, not even on a "bad" night. He allowed five hits and two walks, striking out 10 Marlins in just five innings and leaving the game with a 3-1 deficit.

Last 10 Games (H's & Z's)

Heroes	Dan Haren	0.613
	Dee Gordon	0.550
	Marcell Ozuna	0.451
Almost Heroes	David Phelps	0.348
	Jeff Baker	0.344
	AJ Ramos	0.312
	Steve Cishek	0.307
	Mike Dunn	0.306
	Justin Bour	0.227
	Nick Masset	0.191
	Mat Latos	0.171
	Jhonatan Solano	0.160
	Donovan Solano	0.117
Minimal Impact	Giancarlo Stanton	0.092
	Brad Hand	0.034
	Sam Dyson	-0.038
	Ichiro Suzuki	-0.094
	Reid Brignac	-0.095
Almost Zeroes	Christian Yelich	-0.102
	Adieny Hechavarria	-0.133
	Martin Prado	-0.162
	JT Realmuto	-0.200
	Mike Morse	-0.245
Zeroes	Jarred Cosart	-0.593
	Tom Koehler	-0.624
	Bryan Morris	-0.938

Notes about "Last 10 Games":

Two of Miami's five current starting pitchers are amongst the top four rostered Marlins, as are two of the bottom three. Aside from Mat Latos, it appears to be either feast or famine with the guy on the bump.

Both Solanos are in the "Almost Heroes" pile despite limited playing time. Jhonatan's .160 is notable because he earned most of it in one game (one plate appearance, actually).

Highest single game WPA is Marcell Ozuna's .489 on his four hit night in the 4-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies on May 1st.

The lowest single game figure is Bryan Morris' .795 mark on May 4th in the 6-4 Marlins' loss to the Washington Nationals.

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 42,285

dcfish wins the attendance, just 185 off with a prediction of 42,100. He also predicted the winner and Bumgarner as a Zero. Four points.

Jeremy Hulme called the winner, a Phelps Hero and a Bumgarner Zero for three points.

Jigokusabre called the Marlins win and a McGehee Zero for two points.

MiamiSkye called the winner, a Phelps hero and a Bumgarner Zero for three.

gustavopim called the winner, said Bumgarner would give up less hits than Phelps, and said SF would strike out more batters than the Marlins for a total of three points.

Ichthyomancy Standings

Miami Skye	85
gustavopim	75.5
Jigokusabre	66.5
dcfish	49
Kevin Kraczkowski	39.5
Marlon D	39
Gatorfan4life	29.5
Bdwatson	25
Jeremy Hulme	25
tomwolf2008	19

These two teams get back after it later this afternoon. First pitch is set for 4:05PM EST. Leave your picks here or in the GameThread.