Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Tom Koehler (MIA) .315
Koehler finished with 7.1 shutout innings, walking one (-2.8%), striking out four (+8.3%) and allowing six hits (-11.7%, all singles). He induced one double play (+4.6%), and finished with 10 groundouts (+28.3%) to five flyouts (+9.5%). His day at the plate took away from his overall win expectancy (-.032), going 0-for-3 with two strikeouts.
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .154
Stanton, hitting third, singled to left with two out in the first (+1.2%), but was erased with a Marcell Ozuna strikeout a moment later. With a man on second and nobody out in the fourth, he doubled to left, scoring Martin Prado for a 1-0 Miami lead (+11.8%). He drew a walk to open the sixth (+1.8%) and hit his fifth home run of the season to open the eighth inning with a 5-0 lead (+0.6%).
Justin Bour (MIA) .151
Bour's first plate appearance of the season would see him drawing a walk to open the second (+3.8%). Batting fifth, he singled to right with one out and Stanton on third for a 2-0 lead in the fourth (+5.6%), then hit another RBI single with two on and nobody out in the sixth (+5.7%). He grounded out with one out in the eighth to close his statline (-0.0%).
Martin Prado (MIA) .053
Wilson Ramos (WAS) .025
Bryan Morris (MIA) .021
Blake Treinen (WAS) .005
Sam Dyson (MIA) .000
Reid Brignac (MIA) .000
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.003
Jayson Werth (WAS) -.007
Rafael Martin (WAS) -.010
Clint Robinson (WAS) -.011
Yuniel Escobar (WAS) -.011
Ichiro! Suzuki (MIA) -.017
JT Realmuto (MIA) -.020
Bryce Harper (WAS) -.039
Dee Gordon (MIA) -.041
Reed Johnson (WAS) -.053
Danny Espinosa (WAS) -.066
Ian Desmond (WAS) -.079
Ryan Zimmerman (WAS) -.092
Zimmerman, batting fifth for the Nats, flew out to right for the second out of the second inning (-1.6%), grounded out to second for the second out of the fourth (-1.9%), ended Washington's sixth with a 6-4 fielder's choice (-5.7%), and struck out looking to open the ninth (-0.0%).
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.114
Hechavarria, batting eighth for the fish, started his day with a strikeout to open the third inning (-2.4%). His biggest negative impact to the bottom line came in the fourth, when he grounded into a bases-loaded double play to end the inning (-9.1%). He struck out for a second time to open the seventh (-0.2%) and hit a three-run homer with two out in the eighth (+0.4%).
Steven Strasburg (WAS) -.163
Strasburg allowed four earned runs in six full innings, on eight hits and two walks. He also struck out six Marlins.
Last 10 Games
MiamiSkye guessed 18,192, only 63 off the actual attendance for two points, earning a third point by predicting a Stanton Hero game and another by calling the winner.
Jigokusabre predicted the winner, a Koehler QS and a Stanton Hero.
I called the winner, the Marlins with two or more home runs, and Koehler a Hero.
dcfish called the winner, Stanton a Hero and Strasburg a Zero.
Gatorfan4life got one point with a Hechavarria Zero.
Thomas Bennett called all three Heroes for three points. I think that's worth a bonus point, too.
gustavopim called the winner, said the Marlins would earn at least seven hits, called Bour with at least two hits, and added a Giancarlo Hero.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
Miami will try to finish a home sweep of these Nationals, tomorrow at 1:10 PM. Get your picks in here or in the GameThread, and GO FISH!