Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Jarred Cosart (MIA) .293
Cosart had a quality start, pitching six strong innings of four hit ball (-27.6%). He didn't walk any batters, struck out four (+11.4%), and allowed only one run, a solo shot to Cody Asche (-12.5). He reached base in the second inning with runners on the corners and two outs on an error by Cole Hamels (+11.8%). The play scored Marcell Ozuna and gave Miami a 1-0 lead. He opened the fifth by striking out looking (-2.9).
Dee Gordon (MIA) .187
Gordon led off the game with a swinging strikeout (-2.1%), then ended the second inning with a fielder's choice to second base, which erased Cosart off the basepath (-4.4%). He struck out for the second out of the fifth (-2.0%) before coming through with one out and a man on second in the seventh with yet another infield single (+8.9%). Gordon was awarded an 18.2% WPA on Odubel Herrera's bases loaded, two-out error which allowed Ichiro Suzuki, Adeiny Hechavarria and Jeff Baker to score in the eighth.
Cole Hamels (PHI) .180
Hamels struck out five in six innings, and didn't allow any earned runs (only one of Miami's six runs were earned). He allowed three walks and five hits and went 0-for-1 with a strikeout at the plate.
AJ Ramos (MIA) .100
Cody Asche (PHI) .081
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .058
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .043
JT Realmuto (MIA) .038
Jeff Baker (MIA) .023
Bryan Morris (MIA) .010
Steve Cishek (MIA) .005
Jake Diekman (PHI) .001
Ben Revere (PHI) -.001
Darren Ruf (PHI) -.001
Odubel Herrera (PHI) -.005
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.008
Justin De Fratus (PHI) -.012
Chase Utley (PHI) -.017
Grady Sizemore (PHI) -.022
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.027
Cesar Hernandez (PHI) -.032
Martin Prado (MIA) -.037
Freddie Galvis (PHI) -.045
Ryan Howard (PHI) -.072
Donovan Solano (MIA) -.075
Michael Morse (MIA) -.112
Luis Garcia (PHI) -.172
Garcia came on to pitch the seventh inning for the Phillies, with the score tied at one. He allowed an infield single to Adeiny Hechavarria (-6.1%) (and a stolen base (-5.5%)), struck out Donovan Solano (+7.5%), allowed a Dee Gordon single (-8.9%) and balked home Hechavarria (-11.2%). He settled down after that, inducing Martin Prado to ground out to short (+2.9%), intentionally walking GIancarlo Stanton (-0.9%) and getting Michael Morse to fly out to center (+4.9%).
Carlos Ruiz (PHI) -.181
Ruiz, batting cleanup, ended Philadelphia's first inning by grounding into a double play with runners on the corners (-11.7%). He flew out for the second out of the fourth (-1.8%) and struck out swinging to open the seventh (-4.6%).
Ken Giles (PHI) -.201
GIles allowed four unearned runs in the eighth, three on an error by Odubel Herrera. However, he did load the bases before Herrera dropped the ball.
Last 10 Games
Bdwatson called the winner and Dee Gordon as a hero for two.
I called the winner, said Miami's bullpen wouldn't give up a run, and called Cosart a hero for three.
Jigokusabre called the winner, said the Marlins would take the lead in the seventh inning, and identified Gordon and Cole Hamels as heroes for four points.
dcfish called the winner for a point.
Al-Kendall said Hamels would be a hero for one.
Marlon D called Cosart with four or more strikeouts and Gordon as a hero for two.
gustavopim called the winner, the Marlins for 8+ hits, two double plays for the Marlins, Gordon as a hero and Ruiz as a zero for five.
MiamiSkye earns two points for an attendance guess of 23333, just 84 off. He also called the winner and Gordon a hero.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
Miami tries to claim the series later today at 1:05 PM in Philly. Leave your picks here or in the GameThread.