Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Ryan Howard (PHI) .463
Howard, batting sixth, drew a walk to open his night with one out in the second inning (+2.6%). later scoring the first run of the game on Freddie Galvis' blast. He singled to left with one out and a man on first down by 2-1 in the fourth (+3.1%). The biggest single occurence of the game came with two out and one on in the sixth, when Howard tattooed a long ball of his own, scoring Cody Asche (+40.6%). The big hit gave the Phillies a 4-3 lead which they would not relinquish, and included the eventual game winning RBI. Howard struck out swinging to Nick Masset for the second out of the ninth (-0.1%).
Dee Gordon (MIA) .182
Gordon grounded out to second base leading off the game (-2.1%). With two out and the bases empty in the third, he beat out a bang-bang throw from shortstop for an infield hit (+1.3%). With two out and a man on second with a tie score in the fifth, Gordon reached (+15.1%) on Howard's error, which scored Adeiny Hechavarria. Of course, Gordon did not earn an RBI on the play, and Howard's WPA was not penalized (Jerome Williams' was). It may be the glaring deficiency of WPA, in that fielding errors are not accounted for. Gordon singled to right with one out in the seventh, down 4-3 (+4.9%), then ended the game with a groundout to short (-0.1%).
Freddie Galvis (PHI) .162
Galvis smacked a two-run homer over the right field wall with two out in the second inning (+22.2%) for Philadelphia's first lead of the night. He flew out to right to end the fourth (-4.4%) and led off the seventh with a groundout to third base (-1.6%).
Ben Revere (PHI) .120
Luis Garcia (PHI) .089
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .069
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .061
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .039
Jeff Francoeur (PHI) .034
JT Realmuto (MIA) .025
Ken Giles (PHI) .017
Jonathan Papelbon (PHI) .011
Nick Masset (MIA) .002
Darren Ruf (PHI) .000
Reid Brignac (MIA) -.003
Michael Morse (MIA) -.014
Odubel Herrera (PHI) -.018
Carlos Ruiz (PHI) -.027
Cody Asche (PHI) -.030
Donovan Solano (MIA) -.042
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.052
Grady Sizemore (PHI) -.069
Chase Utley (PHI) -.070
Martin Prado (MIA) -.084
Mike Dunn (MIA) -.166
Dunn pitched the seventh inning with a one-run deficit. He allowed a single (-3.9%), a double (-3.4%), a triple (-10.2%), and a sacrifice fly (-0.9%) for three runs in the frame and the final 7-3 margin.
Jerome Williams (PHI) -.182
Williams pitched six innings, allowing a walk and eight hits. Of the three runs he allowed, two were earned, including Giancarlo Stanton's big blast in the fourth (-11.3%). At the plate, he struck out swinging to end the second (-0.6%) and struck out swinging to lead off the fifth (-3.3%).
Dan Haren (MIA) -.517
Haren really didn't have a bad night by his conventional statline, going six innings and allowing three walks and four hits. He struck out seven, but earned his spot as the final zero with one Ryan Howard flavored mistake (-40.4%). He also didn't do himself any favors at the plate, flying out to left with one out in the third (-1.5%) and grounding into a double play with no outs and runners at first and second with a tie score in the fifth (-14.1%).
Last 10 Games
Jigokusabre called Gordon a hero and Haren a zero for two points.
tomwolf2008 earned two points with an attendance guess of 21,000, then two more with a Gordon hero pick and a Williams zero.
MiamiSkye got a point for calling a Stanton homer. He called Gordon a hero for another.
dcfish got one point with a Williams zero pick.
nfries7 got a point for calling Gordon a hero.
gustavopim got three points, for calling Marlins 9+ hits, Gordon a hero and Williams a zero.
Marlon D got a point each for a Gordon hero and a Williams zero.
I said the Marlins would outhit the Phillies, Marlins pitching would strikeout at least six Phils, and had Williams as a zero for three.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
I know it's been frustrating, but the Marlins still have time to recover and make a season out of this. Tune in for Miami's next game, tomorrow night at 7:05. Get your picks in here or on the gamethread.