Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.
Jeurys Familia (NYM) .136
Familia gets the top Hero on the night with a save. He entered the game with the score Mets 7, Marlins 6 for the Marlins half of the ninth inning. After allowing a walk to Reid Brignac (-11.6%), he got Dee Gordon out on a sacrifice bunt to third (+4.3%), then induced Christian Yelich (+10.6%) and Giancarlo Stanton (+10.2%) to ground to third base for the second and third outs, respectively.
Juan Lagares (NYM) .124
Batting sixth, Lagares closed out the second inning with a foul out to the first base side (-1.0%). With the Mets leading 2-1 in the fourth and the bases loaded with one out, he singled to right field, scoring Travis d'Arnaud (+11.3%). Up by six runs, he closed the Mets' fifth with a flyout to center (-0.1%), then doubled to left with one out and the Mets down by one in the eighth (+2.2%).
Reid Brignac (MIA) .116
Brignac came on to pinch hit to open up the Marlins' ninth. Down 7-6, he drew a walk on five pitches to put the game-tying run on base (+11.6%). After advancing to second on Dee Gordon's sacrifice bunt, he watched helplessly as first Yelich then Stanton each grounded out to the third base side to end the game.
Daniel Murphy (NYM) .107
Travid d'Arnaud (NYM) .092
Lucas Duda (NYM) .092
Michael Morse (MIA) .078
Jerry Blevins (NYM) .078
Martin Prado (MIA) .072
Ruben Tejada (NYM) .059
Kirk Niewenhuis (NYM) .035
Curtis Granderson (NYM) .032
AJ Ramos (MIA) .030
JT Realmuto (MIA) .014
Alex Torres (NYM) .006
Brad Hand (MIA) .005
Donovan Solano (MIA) -.002
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.003
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.006
Sam Dyson (MIA) -.010
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.049
Buddy Carlyle (NYM) -.062
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.069
Matt Harvey (NYM) -.071
Dee Gordon (MIA) -.113
Eric Campbell (NYM) -.127
Campbell opened the Mets' second inning with a flyout to right (-2.4%), then struck out swinging at strike three with the bases loaded and nobody out in the fourth (-9.7%). He drew a walk to open the fifth inning (+0.2%) then grounded into a double play to end the seventh (-0.8%).
Christian Yelich (MIA) -.175
Yelich struck out swinging for the second out of the first inning (-1.4%). He reached base in the third inning on a fielders choice which erased Tom Koehler (-2.4%), then struck out swinging with nobody out and a runner on first in the sixth inning (-0.8%). In the seventh, down by three runs with a runner on third and two outs, he struck out swinging for a third time (-2.3%). He grounded out to third base with Brignac on second for the second out of the ninth inning (-10.6%) to complete his night.
Tom Koehler (MIA) -.390
Koehler pitched three perfect innings to start off his night (+13.7%), also singling to center to open the Marlins' third (+3.4%). Then the wheels came off. Koehler allowed seven of the eight batters he faced in the fourth inning to reach base, on five hits (-47.9%) and two walks (-18.8%). He did get one out in the frame before getting lifted for Sam Dyson, striking out Eric Campbell (+9.7%). He was charged with all seven Mets' runs on the night.
Last 10 Games
dcfish wins the attendance guess with 41,000 (234 off the actual figure).
I scored two points by predicting that Gordon would extend his hitting streak and that Yelich would earn a Zero.
gustavopim earned a point with a call of Marlins pitching getting four strikeouts plus Marlins hitters getting six hits.
sternma earned a point by calling the winner.
tomwolf2008 earned a point by calling the winner and another by correctly predicting one overturned call.
Marlon D earned two points by calling the winner and the correct difference (one run) and another for calling Koehler a zero.
Gatorfan4life called the Mets winners and Koehler a zero for two.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
Miami gets a day off now to reset and get their heads on straight. Next up, Dan Haren steps to the hill to take on the Philadelphia Phillies.