Heroes And Zeroes: Mets 7, Marlins 6

Heroes and Zeroes is a series where I take each players contribution to the final result (based on weighted plate appearances) of the ballgame. Each participant in the matchup is ranked from best to worst. The top three are "Heroes," the bottom three are "Zeroes." I used the win expectancy chart from www.fangraphs.com to rank these players.

Heroes

Jeurys Familia (NYM) .136

Familia gets the top Hero on the night with a save. He entered the game with the score Mets 7, Marlins 6 for the Marlins half of the ninth inning. After allowing a walk to Reid Brignac (-11.6%), he got Dee Gordon out on a sacrifice bunt to third (+4.3%), then induced Christian Yelich (+10.6%) and Giancarlo Stanton (+10.2%) to ground to third base for the second and third outs, respectively.

Juan Lagares (NYM) .124

Batting sixth, Lagares closed out the second inning with a foul out to the first base side (-1.0%). With the Mets leading 2-1 in the fourth and the bases loaded with one out, he singled to right field, scoring Travis d'Arnaud (+11.3%). Up by six runs, he closed the Mets' fifth with a flyout to center (-0.1%), then doubled to left with one out and the Mets down by one in the eighth (+2.2%).

Reid Brignac (MIA) .116

Brignac came on to pinch hit to open up the Marlins' ninth. Down 7-6, he drew a walk on five pitches to put the game-tying run on base (+11.6%). After advancing to second on Dee Gordon's sacrifice bunt, he watched helplessly as first Yelich then Stanton each grounded out to the third base side to end the game.

Almost Heroes

Daniel Murphy (NYM) .107

Travid d'Arnaud (NYM) .092

Lucas Duda (NYM) .092

Michael Morse (MIA) .078

Jerry Blevins (NYM) .078

Martin Prado (MIA) .072

Ruben Tejada (NYM) .059

Kirk Niewenhuis (NYM) .035

Curtis Granderson (NYM) .032

AJ Ramos (MIA) .030

Minimal Impact

JT Realmuto (MIA) .014

Alex Torres (NYM) .006

Brad Hand (MIA) .005

Donovan Solano (MIA) -.002

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.003

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) -.006

Sam Dyson (MIA) -.010

Almost Zeroes

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.049

Buddy Carlyle (NYM) -.062

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.069

Matt Harvey (NYM) -.071

Dee Gordon (MIA) -.113

Zeroes

Eric Campbell (NYM) -.127

Campbell opened the Mets' second inning with a flyout to right (-2.4%), then struck out swinging at strike three with the bases loaded and nobody out in the fourth (-9.7%). He drew a walk to open the fifth inning (+0.2%) then grounded into a double play to end the seventh (-0.8%).

Christian Yelich (MIA) -.175

Yelich struck out swinging for the second out of the first inning (-1.4%). He reached base in the third inning on a fielders choice which erased Tom Koehler (-2.4%), then struck out swinging with nobody out and a runner on first in the sixth inning (-0.8%). In the seventh, down by three runs with a runner on third and two outs, he struck out swinging for a third time (-2.3%). He grounded out to third base with Brignac on second for the second out of the ninth inning (-10.6%) to complete his night.

Tom Koehler (MIA) -.390

Koehler pitched three perfect innings to start off his night (+13.7%), also singling to center to open the Marlins' third (+3.4%). Then the wheels came off. Koehler allowed seven of the eight batters he faced in the fourth inning to reach base, on five hits (-47.9%) and two walks (-18.8%). He did get one out in the frame before getting lifted for Sam Dyson, striking out Eric Campbell (+9.7%). He was charged with all seven Mets' runs on the night.

Last 10 Games

Giancarlo Stanton	0.546
Dee Gordon	0.459
Dan Haren	0.260
Adieny Hechavarria	0.122
Bryan Morris	0.094
Reid Brignac	0.078
Marcell Ozuna	0.070
Martin Prado	0.063
Ichiro Suzuki	0.021
Carter Capps	0.009
Don Kelly	-0.017
Jeff Mathis	-0.047
David Phelps	-0.052
Jose Urena	-0.106
AJ Ramos	-0.111
Sam Dyson	-0.117
Donovan Solano	-0.125
Jeff Baker	-0.132
JT Realmuto	-0.134
Christian Yelich	-0.142
Steve Cishek	-0.209
Jarrod Saltalamacchia	-0.224
Henderson Alvarez	-0.277
Mike Morse	-0.280
Mike Dunn	-0.285
Mat Latos	-0.310
Brad Hand	-0.337
Jarred Cosart	-0.367
Tom Koehler	-0.425

Ichthyomancy

Attendance: 41,234

dcfish wins the attendance guess with 41,000 (234 off the actual figure).

I scored two points by predicting that Gordon would extend his hitting streak and that Yelich would earn a Zero.

gustavopim earned a point with a call of Marlins pitching getting four strikeouts plus Marlins hitters getting six hits.

sternma earned a point by calling the winner.

tomwolf2008 earned a point by calling the winner and another by correctly predicting one overturned call.

Marlon D earned two points by calling the winner and the correct difference (one run) and another for calling Koehler a zero.

Gatorfan4life called the Mets winners and Koehler a zero for two.

Ichthyomancy Standings

gustavopim	26
dcfish	24
Bdwatson	22
Kevin Kraczkowski	20
Jigokusabre	19
Miami Skye	16
Marlon D	11
Gatorfan4life	8
Thomas Bennett	7
thenumber95	7
Jeremy Hulme	5
zag	3
Alex Carver	3
Delusional Marlins Fan	2
rsanchez1	2
sternma	2
tomwolf2008	2
SuperRadz	1
ncchief	1
d.o.g.o.b.y.g.n.	1
Al-Kendall	1

Miami gets a day off now to reset and get their heads on straight. Next up, Dan Haren steps to the hill to take on the Philadelphia Phillies.