Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which aim to isolate the key moments in each game. Using a weighted approach to plate appearances in different situations and applying the results of those at bats gives us a clear picture of just who is coming through in the clutch. I used www.fangraphs.com and their Wins Probability Added (WPA) feature.
Dan Haren (MIA). 200
Haren was the big winner, going seven full innings and striking out five (+7.2%) while allowing two first inning walks (-5.5%) and three hits (-8.3%). Two of the hits were solo home runs. Haren also went 0-for-2 from the plate (-1.2%).
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .173
Hechavarria, who turned 26 today, had a perfect three-for-three night at the plate. He started out with a no-out, one-on single to center in the third (+6.7%). In the fifth, he hit a two-run homer to left-center (+9.2%) to make the score 4-0. In the seventh, with no outs and a runner on first, he singled to left (+0.8%) with a 5-1 lead. With one out and runners on the corners in the ninth, he hit a sacrifice fly for the final Marlins' run, for a 6-2 lead (+0.6%).
Dee Gordon (MIA) .116
Gordon singled to lead off the first (+3.8%), but got caught stealing a moment later for the first out of the game (-5.8%). He recovered nicely in the third, with one out and a runner on second and third when he hit a two-RBI double to open the scoring (+15.3%). He flied out to left in the fifth (-0.4%) and grounded into a double play to end the seventh (-1.2%).
JT Realmuto (MIA) .092
Freddie Freeman (ATL) .053
Cameron Maybin (ATL) .041
Mike Dunn (MIA) .037
Luis Avilan (ATL) .022
Steve Cishek (MIA) .012
Martin Prado (MIA) -.002
Reid Brignac (ATL) -.002
Kelly Johnson (ATL) -.008
Andrelton Simmons (ATL) -.008
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.012
Brad Cunniff (ATL) -.012
Alberto Callaspo (ATL) -.013
Eric Young (ATL) -.020
Cody Martin (ATL) -.027
Michael Morse (MIA) -.030
Jace Peterson (ATL) -.036
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.039
Phil Gosselin (ATL) -.044
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.044
Jonny Gomes (ATL) -.057
Gomes struck out looking to open the first inning (-2.2%), flied out to second to open the fifth (-1.5%), and struck out swinging for the first out of the seventh (-2.1%).
Christian Bethancourt (ATL) -.144
Bethancourt flied out to left field with runners on first and second and one out in the first (-4.3%) and grounded into a double play for the first and second outs of the fourth inning (-9.3%). He struck out swinging in the sixth (-0.4%), then made the second out of the ninth with a fly out to center field (-0.4%).
Eric Stults (ATL) -.246
Stults was the big loser in today's matchup, earning the loss by allowing four earned runs in five innings, with two walks and two strikeouts. He also grounded out to short to open the third inning. Of the four hits he allowed, two were singles, along with a double and the Hechavarria home run.
Bdwatson called the winner and the correct score for three points. He called the Marlins for 2 home runs, Haren as a hero and Stultz as a zero for three more. That's six points.
rsanchez1 got a point for calling Gordon a hero and another for calling the winner for two total.
dcfish called the winner, Haren a winner and Stultz a loser for three points.
Jigokusabre called the winner and 2+ hits for Realmuto for two points.
gustavopim called the score for three, a Haren QS for one, Gordon a hero for another, and Gomes and Stultz zeroes for two more. That was seven points.
Gatorfan4life called the winner and Stultz as a zero for two points.
MiamiSkye got the attendance with a guess of 16500, 1842 off the actual figure of 18342. He also got the winner, Gordon as a hero and Stultz as a zero for five total points.
I'm running this darn thing and forgot to make picks (DOH!).
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
The Marlins now travel to New York to play the Mets four times, starting tomorrow night at 7:10PM ET. Get your picks in!