Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 8, Braves 2

Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which aim to isolate the key moments in each game. Using a weighted approach to plate appearances in different situations and applying the results of those at bats gives us a clear picture of just who is coming through in the clutch. I used www.fangraphs.com and their Wins Probability Added (WPA) feature.

Heroes

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .215

Stanton started his night with an RBI single to center with no outs and two on in the first inning (13.6%), and later scored on a Michael Morse fly to center field. He drew a one-out walk (+1.2%), stole second (+1.0%) and later scored on a bases loaded walk to Marcell Ozuna in the third, then hit an RBI single to right with two outs and a man on second to make the score 5-0 in the fourth (+3.6%). He drew a leadoff walk in the sixth (+0.5%), then closed out his statline with a two-RBI double in the eighth (+1.6%), making the score 8-2.

AJ Ramos (MIA) .144

Ramos relieved Tom Koehler with one out and the bases loaded in the sixth and a 6-2 lead. He promptly induced a Kelly Johnson flyout (+6.1) to short and an Andrelton Simmons fly out to right (+5.9%). He stayed on to pitch the seventh, allowing a leadoff single to Jace Peterson (-2.7%) before getting Eric Young and Nick Markakis to strike out (+3.4%).

Michael Morse (MIA) .105

Morse doubled in Stanton in the first (+9.3%) with one out, took first in the third by getting hit by Trevor Cahill's pitch (+1.2%), and flew out to shortstop to open the fifth (-0.9%). He singled to center with one out and a man on in the seventh (+0.5%) and grounded out to second to close the eighth (-0.1%).

Almost Heroes

AJ Pierzynski (ATL) .070

Dee Gordon (MIA) .068

Chris Johnson (ATL) .034

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .029

Nick Markakis (ATL) .027

Jace Peterson (ATL) .027

Minimal Impact

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .013

Brad Cunniff (ATL) .012

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .010

Bryan Morris (MIA) .004

Jaff Baker (MIA) .003

Martin Prado (MIA) .002

Jose Urena (ATL) .002

Jonny Gomes (ATL) .000

Sugar Ray Marimon (ATL) -.001

Freddie Freeman (ATL) -.017

Andrew McKirahan (ATL) -.018

Almost Zeroes

Tom Koehler (MIA) -.035

Eric Young (ATL) -.040

Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) -.059

Alberto Callaspo (ATL) -.072

Zeroes

Kelly Johnson (ATL) -.078

Johnson flew out to left to end the Braves' second (-0.7%) and struck out looking to end the Braves' fourth (-0.8%). His biggest error at the plate came in the sixth, when he flew out to shortstop down 6-2 with the bases loaded and one out (-6.1%). He also led off the ninth with a 1-3 groundout (-0.2%).

Andrelton Simmons (ATL) -.096

Simmons grounded out to second to open the third inning (-1.5%) and flied out to right to open the fifth (-2.1%). He flew out to right again to end the sixth with the bases loaded and the Braves down, 6-2 (-5.9%). He bolo'd his last chance to make good in the ninth, getting Atlanta's second out on a harmless fly to center (-0.1%).

Trevor Cahill (ATL) -.349

Cahill obviously didn't have his best stuff on display for the Marlins, lasting only two and a third innings. He earned the loss by allowing nine baserunners, on five hits, three walks and one hit batsman. Ultimately, half of the Marlins eight runs were his fault.

Ichthyomancy

Bdwatson said the Marlins would win, then called Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero for three points.

I called a Marlins win, the Marlins outhitting the Braves, Morse as a hero and Cahill as a zero for four points.

dcfish called the Marlins win, Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero for three points.

Jigokusabre had the Marlins winning and never trailing. He also called Stanton a hero for three points.

Jeremy Hulme called the winner and Stanton a hero for two points.

MiamiSkye got two points for calling Kelly Johnson and Simmons zeroes.

Thomas Bennett had Stanton as a hero and K Johnson and Simmons as zeroes, three points.

gustavopim was 497 off the actual attendance (15268 vs 15765) for two, then called the winner, said the Marlins would total more than five K's, and called Morse a hero and Simmons a zero for five points.

thenumber95 had the winner, Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero, for three.

Gatorfan4life called the winner for one point.

Marlon D called the winner and the Marlins' infield totaling three or more RBI for two points.

Alex Carver called the winner, Stanton earning a hero slot and driving in at least two runs for three points.

Ichthyomancy Standings

dcfish	16
Jigokusabre	14
Kevin Kraczkowski	14
gustavopim	11
Bdwatson	10
Marlon D	8
Thomas Bennett	7
thenumber95	7
Miami Skye	6
Jeremy Hulme	5
zag	3
Gatorfan4life	3
Alex Carver	3
Delusional Marlins Fan	2
SuperRadz	1
ncchief	1
d.o.g.o.b.y.g.n.	1
sternma	1
Al-Kendall	1

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