Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which aim to isolate the key moments in each game. Using a weighted approach to plate appearances in different situations and applying the results of those at bats gives us a clear picture of just who is coming through in the clutch. I used www.fangraphs.com and their Wins Probability Added (WPA) feature.
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .215
Stanton started his night with an RBI single to center with no outs and two on in the first inning (13.6%), and later scored on a Michael Morse fly to center field. He drew a one-out walk (+1.2%), stole second (+1.0%) and later scored on a bases loaded walk to Marcell Ozuna in the third, then hit an RBI single to right with two outs and a man on second to make the score 5-0 in the fourth (+3.6%). He drew a leadoff walk in the sixth (+0.5%), then closed out his statline with a two-RBI double in the eighth (+1.6%), making the score 8-2.
AJ Ramos (MIA) .144
Ramos relieved Tom Koehler with one out and the bases loaded in the sixth and a 6-2 lead. He promptly induced a Kelly Johnson flyout (+6.1) to short and an Andrelton Simmons fly out to right (+5.9%). He stayed on to pitch the seventh, allowing a leadoff single to Jace Peterson (-2.7%) before getting Eric Young and Nick Markakis to strike out (+3.4%).
Michael Morse (MIA) .105
Morse doubled in Stanton in the first (+9.3%) with one out, took first in the third by getting hit by Trevor Cahill's pitch (+1.2%), and flew out to shortstop to open the fifth (-0.9%). He singled to center with one out and a man on in the seventh (+0.5%) and grounded out to second to close the eighth (-0.1%).
AJ Pierzynski (ATL) .070
Dee Gordon (MIA) .068
Chris Johnson (ATL) .034
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) .029
Nick Markakis (ATL) .027
Jace Peterson (ATL) .027
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) .013
Brad Cunniff (ATL) .012
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .010
Bryan Morris (MIA) .004
Jaff Baker (MIA) .003
Martin Prado (MIA) .002
Jose Urena (ATL) .002
Jonny Gomes (ATL) .000
Sugar Ray Marimon (ATL) -.001
Freddie Freeman (ATL) -.017
Andrew McKirahan (ATL) -.018
Tom Koehler (MIA) -.035
Eric Young (ATL) -.040
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) -.059
Alberto Callaspo (ATL) -.072
Kelly Johnson (ATL) -.078
Johnson flew out to left to end the Braves' second (-0.7%) and struck out looking to end the Braves' fourth (-0.8%). His biggest error at the plate came in the sixth, when he flew out to shortstop down 6-2 with the bases loaded and one out (-6.1%). He also led off the ninth with a 1-3 groundout (-0.2%).
Andrelton Simmons (ATL) -.096
Simmons grounded out to second to open the third inning (-1.5%) and flied out to right to open the fifth (-2.1%). He flew out to right again to end the sixth with the bases loaded and the Braves down, 6-2 (-5.9%). He bolo'd his last chance to make good in the ninth, getting Atlanta's second out on a harmless fly to center (-0.1%).
Trevor Cahill (ATL) -.349
Cahill obviously didn't have his best stuff on display for the Marlins, lasting only two and a third innings. He earned the loss by allowing nine baserunners, on five hits, three walks and one hit batsman. Ultimately, half of the Marlins eight runs were his fault.
Bdwatson said the Marlins would win, then called Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero for three points.
I called a Marlins win, the Marlins outhitting the Braves, Morse as a hero and Cahill as a zero for four points.
dcfish called the Marlins win, Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero for three points.
Jigokusabre had the Marlins winning and never trailing. He also called Stanton a hero for three points.
Jeremy Hulme called the winner and Stanton a hero for two points.
MiamiSkye got two points for calling Kelly Johnson and Simmons zeroes.
Thomas Bennett had Stanton as a hero and K Johnson and Simmons as zeroes, three points.
gustavopim was 497 off the actual attendance (15268 vs 15765) for two, then called the winner, said the Marlins would total more than five K's, and called Morse a hero and Simmons a zero for five points.
thenumber95 had the winner, Stanton a hero and Cahill a zero, for three.
Gatorfan4life called the winner for one point.
Marlon D called the winner and the Marlins' infield totaling three or more RBI for two points.
Alex Carver called the winner, Stanton earning a hero slot and driving in at least two runs for three points.
|Delusional Marlins Fan||2|
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