Heroes and Zeroes is a series of articles which aim to isolate the key moments in each game. Using a weighted approach to plate appearances in different situations and applying the results of those at bats gives us a clear picture of just who is coming through in the clutch. I used www.fangraphs.com and their Wins Probability Added (WPA) feature.
Eric Young (ATL) .176
Young led off the bottom half of the first with a swinging strikeout (-2.0%). He doubled to left with one out in the third inning (+5.4%), then hit a go ahead RBI double with a man on first and one out in the fifth for a 2-1 Braves lead (+14.9%). Young struck out swinging again leading off the seventh inning (-0.7%), and did not make another plate appearance.
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .146
Hechavarria singled to lead off the third (4.3%), later scoring the first run of the game on a Christian Yelich groundout. With the score tied at one, he led off the fifth with a walk (+5.0%), then grounded out to shortstop to end the seventh inning (-1.1%). With runners on first and second with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, he singled to left, scoring Martin Prado for Miami's last run of the game.
Cody Martin (ATL) .113
Martin relieved Atlanta starter Shelby Miller in the sixth inning with a 3-1 lead, inducing Giancarlo Stanton to fly out (+2.7%), allowing a single to Martin Prado (-3.5%), then getting Michael Morse to ground into an inning ending double play (-6.2%). He stayed on in the seventh, extracting strikeouts from Marcell Ozuna (-2.9%) and Jarrod Saltamacchia (-1.8%) before getting Hechavarria to ground out to short (-1.1%).
Christian Bethancourt (MIA) .102
Dee Gordon (MIA) .079
Martin Prado (MIA) .076
Shelby Miller (ATL) .072
Alberto Callaspo (ATL) .062
Jim Johnson (ATL) .059
Jason Grilli (ATL) .057
Nick Markakis (ATL) .052
Jace Peterson (ATL) .044
Chris Johnson (ATL) .019
AJ Ramos (MIA) .016
Carter Capps (MIA) .009
Kelly Johnson (ATL) -.015
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.030
Sam Dyson (MIA) -.038
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) -.040
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.043
Cameron Maybin (ATL) -.064
Andrelton Simmons (ATL) -.077
Christian Yelich (MIA) -.086
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) -.097
Freddie Freeman (ATL) -.103
Jeff Baker (MIA) -.128
Baker came on with two out in the bottom of the ninth to pinch hit for Carter Capps with runners on first and second, and struck out looking to end the game (-12.8%).
Michael Morse (MIA) -.149
Morse earned his seasons' fourth Zero in only the seventh contest of the year. He grounded out with one out in the second (-1.5%), grounded out to Shelby Miller for the second out of the fourth (-1.3%), grounded into a double play the end the Marlins' threat in the sixth (-6.2%), and struck out swinging with nobody out and a man on second in the ninth (-5.9%).
Mat Latos (MIA) -.216
Latos faced the Braves for the second time already this year. He was far better this time (relatively so), getting through four innings and striking out five. He allowed eight baserunners, on five hits and three walks, for two runs. His effort brought his WHIP down to 3.43 and his ERA to 17.36.
Jeremy Hulme and I predicted Hechavarria would finish as a Zero. Jeremy also earned two more points with an attendance guess of 16500 (it was 13417).
thenumber95 shouldn't really get a point for calling Latos getting his ERA below 50, but I'll give it to him.
gustavopim called Young a Hero.
Marlon D said that the Marlins bullpen would allow one run or less. They allowed zero in five innings.
Bdwatson was a winner, calling a Braves win and Latos as a Zero.
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