Heroes And Zeroes: Marlins 10, Rays 9

Heroes and Zeroes is a series that aims to isolate the best and worst players from each game for either team using the Wins Probability Metric (WPA). Calculations courtesy of www.fangraphs.com.

Heroes

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .364

Stanton started out his night by grounding out to shortstop for the second out of the first inning (-3.4%), failing to move Christian Yelich from second to third. In the third frame, he was hit by an Erasmo Ramirez pitch (+6.3%), but eventually got erased when Michael Morse grounded into a run-scoring double play. With the Marlins on top by a 5-1 count with one out in the fourth, Stanton hit a two-out double to left field (+4.3%) to extend Miami's lead to six. He drew a one out walk in the sixth (+0.1), then completed his statline with two outs in the eighth by singling in Dee Gordon for the go ahead run for a 9-8 lead.

Christian Yelich (MIA) .322

Yelich reached on a fielders choice in the first (-4.2%), erasing Gordon from the basepaths, then scampered to third on a wild pitch (+0.4%) before scoring the opening run. He drew a walk in the third with nobody out and a man on first (+4.8%) and hit a bases loaded two-RBI single to center in the fourth (+7.3%). He grounded out the third to open the sixth (-0.1%) and struck out swinging for the second out of the eighth with a man on second and the score tied at eight (-7.1%). His shining moment, of course, was his walk off RBI-single in the bottom of the 10th, giving the Marlins a 10-9 victory.

Asdrubal Cabrera (TB) .231

Cabrera ended the Rays' opening frame by trying to stretch a single into a double (-1.0%). He flew out to second for the second out of the fourth (-1.9%), then singled to right field, down by seven runs to open the seventh (+0,4%). He left the basepath by eventually scoring, then came to bat a second time as the 10th man to the plate in the inning, singling to center field to score David DeJesus (+19.2%), tying the game at eight. He would ground into a fielders' choice in the ninth, scoring Brandon Guyer to tie it at nine (+6.3%).

Almost Heroes

Brandon Guyer (TB) .222

Dee Gordon (MIA) .196

David DeJesus (TB) .189

Bobby Wilson (TB) .152

Bryan Morris (MIA) .128

Jeff Beliveau (TB) .087

Michael Morse (MIA) .060

Dan Haren (MIA) .060

Desmond Jennings (TB) .041

Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .036

Minimal Impact

Kirby Yates (TB) .019

Donovan Solano (MIA) .010

Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) .004

Grant Balfour (TB) .002

Matt Andriese (TB) .001

Kevin Kiermaier (TB) .000

Jeff Mathis (MIA) .000

Mikie Mahtook (TB) -.011

Almost Zeroes

Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.023

Steve Geltz (TB) -.025

David Phelps (MIA) -.034

Sam Dyson (MIA) -.036

Logan Forsythe (TB) -.038

Martin Prado (MIA) -.047

Steven Souza Jr. (TB) -.056

Tim Beckham (TB) -.061

Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.079

Allan Dykstra (TB) -.110

Rene Rivera (TB) -.127

Evan Longoria (TB) -.141

Ernesto Frieri (TB) -.143

Steve Cishek (MIA) -.221

Zeroes

AJ Ramos (MIA) -.240

Ramos relieved Sam Dyson with the bases loaded and a four-run lead in the seventh inning, and promptly gave up a bases clearing double to David DeJesus (-18.9%). He then let DeJesus to also score on an Asdrubal Cabrera single (-19.2%). With the score still tied at eight, Mike Redmond chose to allow Ramos to also pitch the eighth, where Ramos allowed a walk (-6.9%), a stolen base (-1.6%), and struck out two (+6.8%).

Erasmo Ramirez (TB) -.359

Ramirez pitched the third and fourth inning for the Rays, and allowed three bases-on-balls (-10.0%) and six hits (-30.2%), striking out two (+.002). He also hit Giancarlo Stanton with a pitch in the third (-6.3%), eventually erasing him with a run-scoring double play (+4.7%).

Brad Boxberger (TB) -.372

Boxberger came on in the tenth with the game tied at nine. After striking out Donovan Solano (+5.4%), he allowed a Dee Gordon double (-11.7%) and the game winning hit to Yelich (-30.9%).

Ichthyomancy

Attendance was 17,375, and Jigokusabre called 17,111, off by just 264. He also named Stanton and Yelich as Heroes, called the winner and a QS for Haren. That was six points altogether.

I called the winner and by the right margin of victory, as well as Yelich as a hero for a total of three points.

dcfish also called the margin of victory, as well as a Haren QS, a bases loaded hit, and Yelich as a hero for five total points.

Al-Kendall called the winner for one point, but came startlingly close by saying that Haren would pitch 6 1/3 (he pitched six), allow two earned runs (he allowed one), and the win (he did not).

Thomas Bennett, thenumber95, Marlon D and gustavopim each called the winner and Stanton as a hero (2 Pts.). Marlon D also called Yelich.

Ichthyomancy Standings

dcfish	10
Jigokusabre	9
Kevin Kraczkowski	6
Marlon D	5
Miami Skye	3
Bdwatson	3
gustavopim	3
zag	2
Gatorfan4life	2
Thomas Bennett	2
thenumber95	2
SuperRadz	1
ncchief	1
d.o.g.o.b.y.g.n.	1
sternma	1
Al-Kendall	1

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