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Heroes and Zeroes is a series that aims to isolate the best and worst players from each game for either team using the Wins Probability Metric (WPA). Calculations courtesy of www.fangraphs.com.
Heroes
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) .364
Stanton started out his night by grounding out to shortstop for the second out of the first inning (-3.4%), failing to move Christian Yelich from second to third. In the third frame, he was hit by an Erasmo Ramirez pitch (+6.3%), but eventually got erased when Michael Morse grounded into a run-scoring double play. With the Marlins on top by a 5-1 count with one out in the fourth, Stanton hit a two-out double to left field (+4.3%) to extend Miami's lead to six. He drew a one out walk in the sixth (+0.1), then completed his statline with two outs in the eighth by singling in Dee Gordon for the go ahead run for a 9-8 lead.
Christian Yelich (MIA) .322
Yelich reached on a fielders choice in the first (-4.2%), erasing Gordon from the basepaths, then scampered to third on a wild pitch (+0.4%) before scoring the opening run. He drew a walk in the third with nobody out and a man on first (+4.8%) and hit a bases loaded two-RBI single to center in the fourth (+7.3%). He grounded out the third to open the sixth (-0.1%) and struck out swinging for the second out of the eighth with a man on second and the score tied at eight (-7.1%). His shining moment, of course, was his walk off RBI-single in the bottom of the 10th, giving the Marlins a 10-9 victory.
Asdrubal Cabrera (TB) .231
Cabrera ended the Rays' opening frame by trying to stretch a single into a double (-1.0%). He flew out to second for the second out of the fourth (-1.9%), then singled to right field, down by seven runs to open the seventh (+0,4%). He left the basepath by eventually scoring, then came to bat a second time as the 10th man to the plate in the inning, singling to center field to score David DeJesus (+19.2%), tying the game at eight. He would ground into a fielders' choice in the ninth, scoring Brandon Guyer to tie it at nine (+6.3%).
Almost Heroes
Brandon Guyer (TB) .222
Dee Gordon (MIA) .196
David DeJesus (TB) .189
Bobby Wilson (TB) .152
Bryan Morris (MIA) .128
Jeff Beliveau (TB) .087
Michael Morse (MIA) .060
Dan Haren (MIA) .060
Desmond Jennings (TB) .041
Adeiny Hechavarria (MIA) .036
Minimal Impact
Kirby Yates (TB) .019
Donovan Solano (MIA) .010
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) .004
Grant Balfour (TB) .002
Matt Andriese (TB) .001
Kevin Kiermaier (TB) .000
Jeff Mathis (MIA) .000
Mikie Mahtook (TB) -.011
Almost Zeroes
Ichiro Suzuki (MIA) -.023
Steve Geltz (TB) -.025
David Phelps (MIA) -.034
Sam Dyson (MIA) -.036
Logan Forsythe (TB) -.038
Martin Prado (MIA) -.047
Steven Souza Jr. (TB) -.056
Tim Beckham (TB) -.061
Marcell Ozuna (MIA) -.079
Allan Dykstra (TB) -.110
Rene Rivera (TB) -.127
Evan Longoria (TB) -.141
Ernesto Frieri (TB) -.143
Steve Cishek (MIA) -.221
Zeroes
AJ Ramos (MIA) -.240
Ramos relieved Sam Dyson with the bases loaded and a four-run lead in the seventh inning, and promptly gave up a bases clearing double to David DeJesus (-18.9%). He then let DeJesus to also score on an Asdrubal Cabrera single (-19.2%). With the score still tied at eight, Mike Redmond chose to allow Ramos to also pitch the eighth, where Ramos allowed a walk (-6.9%), a stolen base (-1.6%), and struck out two (+6.8%).
Erasmo Ramirez (TB) -.359
Ramirez pitched the third and fourth inning for the Rays, and allowed three bases-on-balls (-10.0%) and six hits (-30.2%), striking out two (+.002). He also hit Giancarlo Stanton with a pitch in the third (-6.3%), eventually erasing him with a run-scoring double play (+4.7%).
Brad Boxberger (TB) -.372
Boxberger came on in the tenth with the game tied at nine. After striking out Donovan Solano (+5.4%), he allowed a Dee Gordon double (-11.7%) and the game winning hit to Yelich (-30.9%).
Ichthyomancy
Attendance was 17,375, and Jigokusabre called 17,111, off by just 264. He also named Stanton and Yelich as Heroes, called the winner and a QS for Haren. That was six points altogether.
I called the winner and by the right margin of victory, as well as Yelich as a hero for a total of three points.
dcfish also called the margin of victory, as well as a Haren QS, a bases loaded hit, and Yelich as a hero for five total points.
Al-Kendall called the winner for one point, but came startlingly close by saying that Haren would pitch 6 1/3 (he pitched six), allow two earned runs (he allowed one), and the win (he did not).
Thomas Bennett, thenumber95, Marlon D and gustavopim each called the winner and Stanton as a hero (2 Pts.). Marlon D also called Yelich.
Ichthyomancy Standings
dcfish | 10 |
Jigokusabre | 9 |
Kevin Kraczkowski | 6 |
Marlon D | 5 |
Miami Skye | 3 |
Bdwatson | 3 |
gustavopim | 3 |
zag | 2 |
Gatorfan4life | 2 |
Thomas Bennett | 2 |
thenumber95 | 2 |
SuperRadz | 1 |
ncchief | 1 |
d.o.g.o.b.y.g.n. | 1 |
sternma | 1 |
Al-Kendall | 1 |
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