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After just a few innings, it looked bleak for Brad Penny and the Miami Marlins.
The Marlins' chances got as low as 17.3 percent after Adeiny Hechavarria made the first out of the third inning, with the Marlins down 3-0. Brad Penny's walks were the trouble in this game, as he walked Ender Inciarte to leadoff the game, only for Inciarte to steal second and score on a Mark Trumbo single. A two-out walk in the third led to a David Peralta triple, and another Trumbo single led to a two runs in the inning and a 3-0 lead.
The Fish did pick up two runs back, and it was Penny who helped his own cause with a double in the bottom of the frame. He eventually scored on a Donovan Solano double, and Giancarlo Stanton did his job and brought Solano home with one of three singles on the night.
The Marlins' chances again dipped to just 14.5 percent after Miguel Montero doubled and plated Mark Trumbo, who reached on (you guessed it) Penny's third walk of the night. That essentially signaled the end of Penny's outing, as he walked three and struck out three in five innings en route to four runs allowed.
But Miami would not give up. In the bottom of the sixth, Garrett Jones walked and Hechavarria tripled him home to bring it back to a one-run game. Then again in the eighth, it was Hechavarria who delivered the game-tying hit. With two outs, Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Marcell Ozuna both drew walks, and Hechavarria delivered a single to bring home Salty and tie the game up.
It would remain that way until the tenth inning. After Mike Dunn worked two perfect innings with three strikeouts, the stage was set. Jones walked again and Jeff Mathis singled to put runners on first and second. This time, it would be Ozuna's chance to deliver, as he drove home the game winner with a gapper to left-center for the Marlins' comeback win.
Source: FanGraphs
Attendance: 17,024
Hero of the Game: Adeiny Hechavarria (0.421 WPA)
Goat of the Game: Casey McGehee (-0.325 WPA)
Play of the Game: Adeiny Hechavarria singled in the eighth inning. Garrett Jones scored. Marcell Ozuna advanced to third base. (+0.347 WPA)