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Game 144: Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

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3 game series vs Reds @ Marlins Park

Cincinnati Reds
@ Miami Marlins

Friday, Sep 14, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Marlins Park

Bronson Arroyo vs Jacob Turner

Partly cloudy,rain. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 85.

Complete Coverage >

Sat 09/15 7:10 PM EDT
Sun 09/16 1:10 PM EDT

The Miami Marlins did not have a fun road trip recently, as they are coming off of being swept by the Philadelphia Phillies. Hey, at least we won the series versus the Washington Nationals right? It's getting harder to find the #minorvictories of this 2012 season, but Fish Stripes keeps trucking along and searching for them.

Now the Marlins come back to Marlins Park at least to face the Cincinnati Reds in a weekend three-game set. Tonight, young Jacob Turner gets another shot at impressing the Marlins in a start.

UPDATE: I am having a little technical difficulty with my account on SB Nation. As a result, I will not be able to post in the game thread or move it to the front page until this issue has been resolved. Sorry gang.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Reds ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
--- --- 6.03 6.44 Turner Arroyo 3.66 4.11 --- ---

Jacob Turner has been doing fairly well for the Marlins. I know, that 6.44 ERA and 6.03 FIP do not make it look like he is pitching well, but for the Marlins, those numbers are more like 5.29 ERA and 4.68 FIP. And his numbers would be even better if he just stopped allowing so many home runs, but he has given up four home runs in 17 innings as a Marlin. This could be a sign of poor command, as he just is not spotting pitches in safe places at this point. But hey, the strikeouts are there, the walks are not, and they are swinging and missing at his stuff (10.0 percent swinging strike rate). That's all promising.

How is Bronson Arroyo still pitching this effectively with the kind of junk he throws? Usually, with a pitcher like this, I would say that the Marlins could jump on him, but he is such a junkballer right now that I think the Marlins have a better shot at being completely discombobulated by his odd success that they forget how to swing. Right now, I bet Marlins hitters are still confused at how Arroyo is posting good numbers, especially since just last season, he allowed 46 homers in 199 innings.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. RHP
1 Bryan Petersen .316
2 Justin Ruggiano .324
3 Jose Reyes .340
4 Giancarlo Stanton .379
5 Carlos Lee .324
6 Greg Dobbs .286
7 Donovan Solano .275
8 Rob Brantly ---

Bold Prediction: Reds def. Marlins 6-3