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Game 120: Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

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Current Series

Rockies lead the series 1-0

Thu 08/16 WP: Adam Ottavino (4 - 1)
SV: Rafael Betancourt
LP: Ricky Nolasco (9 - 12)
3 - 5 loss

Miami Marlins
@ Colorado Rockies

Friday, Aug 17, 2012, 8:40 PM EDT
Coors Field

Wade LeBlanc vs Jeff Francis

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 80.

Complete Coverage >

Sat 08/18 8:10 PM EDT
Sun 08/19 3:10 PM EDT

The Miami Marlins are coming off of a disappointing 5-3 loss at the hands of the Colorado Rockies, but the great thing about a four-game set is that they will get plenty of chances to get back at the Rockies for that. One of those chances is tonight, when the Marlins will take on Jeff Francis and the Rockies in the second game of the series. The Marlins will get a chance to send Wade LeBlanc out for his fourth start after he was stellar in his last outing.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Rockies ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.440 4.50 3.14 1.45 LeBlanc Francis 5.99 4.82 5.14 .377

Wade LeBlanc made his first full start of the season in his last outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers, and what an outing it was. He went seven innings and struck out four without a walk. In the end, he allowed only one run and six hits, and all in all, he had his best appearance in the majors this season. The Marlins are hoping that the excellent control continues as the season progresses, as LeBlanc is essentially auditioning for a 2013 job either in the rotation or bullpen. So far he is making a strong case.

Jeff Francis has had an awful season, but how can he not when he is not a ground ball pitcher nor a high strikeout artist pitching Coors Field. Sure enough, though his control has stuck from last season when he was peripherally effective for the Kansas City Royals, but it seems he is allowing a few too many homers (11 in 67 2/3 innings) and has been terrible in his return stint for the Rockies. Hopefully, Giancarlo Stanton and company can turn on a few pitches.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. LHP
1 Bryan Petersen .293
2 Gorkys Hernandez ---
3 Jose Reyes .350
4 Carlos Lee .349
5 Giancarlo Stanton .401
6 Donovan Solano .297
7 Gil Velazquez ---
8 John Buck .297

The Marlins will start Gil Velazquez, who was just promoted to the majors in return for placing Nick Green on the 15-day DL with an injured thumb. Velazquez is another minor league veteran, having spent the last four seasons in Triple-A for different organizations. Last season, he hit .328/.399/.466 (.386 wOBA) for the Los Angeles Angels Triple-A affiliate, and this year for New Orleans he is batting .311/.390/.380 (.346 wOBA). None of this is particularly impressive given what we know of the Pacific Coast League (that wOBA is league average for the PCL), so do not expect much from Velazquez, who is likely only filling in for a few more days before Emilio Bonifacio returns from the DL.

Bold Prediction: Marlins def. Rockies 5-4