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Game 104: Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

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Current Series

Braves lead the series 2-0

Mon 07/30 WP: Tommy Hanson (12 - 5)
LP: Mark Buehrle (9 - 10)
2 - 8 loss
Tue 07/31 WP: Kris Medlen (2 - 1)
LP: Ricky Nolasco (8 - 10)
1 - 7 loss

Miami Marlins
@ Atlanta Braves

Wednesday, Aug 1, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Turner Field

Wade LeBlanc vs Ben Sheets

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 90.

Complete Coverage >

Thu 08/02 7:10 PM EDT

The Miami Marlins suffered another horrific loss last night that was only compounded by the fact that the rain delay sucked any remaining life out of the game. It is bad when you're hoping they rainout and call a 4-1 game because the team's offense is so shot that there is little confidence it can bounce back from such a deficit.

Tonight, the Marlins take the field again in the hopes of mustering up enough offense to win a game against newly acquired pitcher Ben Sheets. The Marlins will send out Wade Leblanc on his first start of 2012 to counter Sheets.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Braves ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.450 4.40 3.21 1.15 Leblanc Sheets 0.50 2.25 3.75 .524

Wade Leblanc makes his first start of the 2012 season after coming over from the San Diego Padres. He is a decent pitcher, but a classically flawed one; he is a guy who does not get strikeouts, walks a decent amount of guys, but allows likely too many homers due to his massive fly ball rate (43 percent career versus a career 34 percent ground ball rate). He is likely nothing more than a sixth starter, but his performance in Spring Training and in Triple-A has earned himself a look. Can't be much worse than what Carlos Zambrano has been doing lately.

Yes, Ben Sheets's ERA is 0.50. Yes, that's crazy. It turns out the Braves' move to gamble on Sheets was a damn good one, as he appears to be back and in good form after a year out of the league rehabbing his injuries. That can't bode well for a hapless Marlins lineup.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. RHP
1 Emilio Bonifacio .307
2 Donnie Murphy .287
3 Jose Reyes .349
4 Carlos Lee .322
5 Greg Dobbs .290
6 Bryan Petersen .314
7 John Buck .293
8 Scott Cousins .284

Ugh, this lineup.

Bold Prediction: Braves def. Marlins 5-1