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Game 80: Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

Current Series

Brewers lead the series 1-0

Mon 07/02 WP: Francisco Rodriguez (1 - 4)
SV: John Axford
LP: Ryan Webb (3 - 2)
5 - 6 loss

Miami Marlins
@ Milwaukee Brewers

Tuesday, Jul 3, 2012, 4:10 PM EDT
Miller Park

Anibal Sanchez vs Marco Estrada

Partly cloudy,rain. Winds blowing from right to left field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 95.

Complete Coverage >

Wed 07/04 4:10 PM EDT
Thu 07/05 2:10 PM EDT

The Miami Marlins are looking to recover from a difficult loss in which they held a lead as large as 5-2 before ultimately losing 6-5 to the Milwaukee Brewers. The Fish do have to be encouraged given their ability to score with their current offensive lineup, and the team will get a chance to pick up some runs for Anibal Sanchez, who has struggled as of late but is still one of the team's top starters.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Brewers ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.528 3.72 3.46 3.94 Sanchez Estrada 4.50 4.60 4.50 .440

Anibal Sanchez had a rough month of June capped off by four straight sub-par starts for a pitcher who entered the month with a very good chance to make the All-Star team and a shot at geting a huge deal in the offseason. Of course, he still has a chance to get that long-term contract, but he needs to start impressing once again as he did in April and May. He will look to get back on tract against the solid Brewers offense.

Marco Estrada has an excellent strikeout-to-walk ratio but has allowed 10 homers in 40 innings of work. Estrada's home run issues are the only thing that are separating him from being a very good starter as of right now, but he does seem prone simply because he has a career ground ball rate of just 36.6 percent. If you allow a lot of fly balls, naturally a good deal of these will fly off into the seats, and the Marlins' offense has at least been more active and effective as of late. With Home Run Derby competitor Giancarlo Stanton in the lineup, Estrada better be careful in the zone.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. RHP
1 Jose Reyes .349
2 Hanley Ramirez .346
3 Giancarlo Stanton .380
4 Logan Morrison .349
5 Justin Ruggiano .312
6 Omar Infante .313
7 Gaby Sanchez .313
8 John Buck .293

Gaby Sanchez's season has really demolished his projection from prior to the season. ZiPS projects an ugly .255/.329/.397 line (.320 wOBA) for the rest of the season, and that simply is not enough to justify playing at first base. The Marlins may have to find a replacement in the outfield and move Logan Morrison to first base this season, because Sanchez's extended slump has really killed his future outlook.

Bold Prediction: Marlins def. Brewers 5-3