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Game 72: Toronto Blue Jays @ Miami Marlins, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

Current Series

Blue Jays lead the series 2-0

Fri 06/22 WP: Ricky Romero (8 - 1)
LP: Anibal Sanchez (3 - 6)
5 - 12 loss
Sat 06/23 WP: Darren Oliver (2 - 2)
LP: Steve Cishek (4 - 1)
1 - 7 loss

Toronto Blue Jays
@ Miami Marlins

Sunday, Jun 24, 2012, 1:10 PM EDT
Marlins Park

Jesse Chavez vs Mark Buehrle

Partly cloudy,rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 85.

Complete Coverage >

Get out the broom breakers, because the Miami Marlins are trying to bust up a sweep.

The Fish are looking to avoid a second sweep in a row, this time at the hands of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays. The last two games against the Jays have been extremely frustrating, as both have ended in blowouts in which the bullpen allowed a passably close game to get out of hand quickly. Today, Mark Buehrle looks to take the bump and go deep into the game to avoid this problem against Jesse Chavez and the Jays.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Blue Jays ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.514 3.84 4.29 3.82 Buehrle Chavez 8.22 3.86 5.59 .338

Mark Buehrle had perhaps his worst start of the season in his last game, as he gave up three home runs and six runs in just five innings against the Boston Red Sox. Otherwise, he has had your typical Mark Buehrle season, so the Marlins are hoping for more of the usual rather than the performance they got last time through. Thankfully, the Fish are hanging out at spacious Marlins Park rather than in the short fence of Fenway Park, which should hep Buehrle keep the ball in the park a little better.

Jesse Chavez has only recently turned to starting after being primarily a reliever in his major and minor league career. This is only the second start of the season for him and his 14th start overall including Triple-A. Chavez has never been good, as he owns a career 5.50 ERA and 5.01 FIP, but the Marlins have not impressed either at the plate. Yesterday, they struggled against an equally poor starter in Brett Cecil, so it is no guarantee the Fish jump on the newly promoted Chavez.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. LHP
1 Jose Reyes .350
2 Hanley Ramirez .354
3 Giancarlo Stanton .385
4 Logan Morrison .350
5 Greg Dobbs .291
6 Omar Infante .321
7 Scott Cousins .288
8 John Buck .293

The Fish are lining up some more lefties against the righty Chavez, inserting Greg Dobbs at first base and Scott Cousins in center field. Cousins has just four hits in 20 PA without a walk to his name, but three of those hits have gone for extra bases. Of course, three of those hits also happened in one game, the team's 4-3 victory in extras versus the Rays, so it is safe to say his reintroduction to the league has not gone smoothly just yet. Still, the team has few choices and needs to see what they have with Cousins.

Bold Prediction: Blue Jays def. Marlins 4-2