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Game 68: Miami Marlins @ Boston Red Sox, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

Current Series

Red Sox lead the series 1-0

Tue 06/19 WP: Clay Buchholz (8 - 2)
SV: Alfredo Aceves
LP: Mark Buehrle (5 - 8)
5 - 7 loss

Miami Marlins
@ Boston Red Sox

Wednesday, Jun 20, 2012, 7:10 PM EDT
Fenway Park

Ricky Nolasco vs Felix Doubront

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 90.

Complete Coverage >

Thu 06/21 7:10 PM EDT

The Miami Marlins sunk to a game under .500 for the first time since late May, thanks in part to a terrible 4-12 month of June. Tonight, they go after the Boston Red Sox again in another rematch from last week, when Felix Doubront looked dominant through six innings but got tagged just enough that the Marlins had a close game on their hands, a game that eventually turned into another disappointing loss. Ricky Nolasco will take the bump again looking for redemption after a half-decent start last time around.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Red Sox ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.444 4.46 4.26 4.37 Nolasco Doubront 4.17 3.85 4.82 .407

Ricky Nolasco was at his most Ricky Nolasco-est in his last start versus Boston, as he allowed a home run and a walk with four strikeouts en route to a three-run outing. It was an unspectacular start in a season of unspectacular performances for Nolasco, who has quickly lost all of his sabermetric sheen because of the erosion of his strikeout rate.

Felix Doubront dominated the Marlins in his last outing, striking out nine while walking just one. Fortunately for the Fish, they were able to capitalize on the few hits he did allow, including Jose Reyes's first home run of the season. Still, the lefty looked extremely good and will look to continue those good fortunes tonight against a struggling Marlins offense.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. LHP
1 Jose Reyes .350
2 Hanley Ramirez .373
3 Giancarlo Stanton .408
4 Logan Morrison .326
5 Justin Ruggiano .315
6 Omar Infante .331
7 Austin Kearns .326
8 Gaby Sanchez .322
9 John Buck .293

Bold Prediction: Red Sox def. Marlins 5-1