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Game 41: Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Indians, Game Thread and Ichthyomancy

Current Series

3 game series vs Indians @ Progressive Field

Fri 05/18 WP: Carlos Zambrano (2 - 2)
SV: Heath Bell
LP: Tony Sipp (0 - 2)
3 - 2 win
Sat 05/19 WP: Jeanmar Gomez (3 - 2)
SV: Chris Perez
LP: Anibal Sanchez (2 - 2)
0 - 2 loss

Miami Marlins
@ Cleveland Indians

Sunday, May 20, 2012, 1:05 PM EDT
Progressive Field

Josh Johnson vs Derek Lowe

Mostly sunny. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 80.

Complete Coverage >

The Miami marlins are looking to pick up a series win against the Cleveland Indians after a disappointing 2-0 loss yesterday afternoon. In their way stands Derek Lowe, who has surprised the Indians and everyone else with an impressive start despite average peripherals. Josh Johnson will take on the Indians offense that has mostly been quieted this series; he will look to continue his string of strong performances following his first win in over a year.

Pitching Matchup

Proj Win% Proj ERA FIP ERA Marlins Indians ERA FIP Proj ERA Proj Win%
.656 2.74 2.92 5.36 Johnson Lowe 2.05 3.99 4.72 .417

Josh Johnson picked up his first win since last season in his previous start, as he recorded six strikeouts and one walk in seven innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates en route to his second straight strong performance. Throughout the season, we have wondered when we would see the "real" Josh Johnson, and it certainly seems like he is beginning to show that strong side of him. His peripherals have been good throughout the season, and if it were not for two horrific starts (the games against San Diego and Philadelphia), we would not even be talking about that bad a season. Even his Arizona game came off as more unlucky than bad, as his peripherals were strong. He will look to keep his roll going against a tough Indians lineup that has been quiet against the Marlins.

Derek Lowe has looked extremely impressive en route to a 2.05 ERA to start the season. However, as you can see, he is still pitching the Derek Lowe style, as his FIP is closer to 4.00 than 2.00. One of the most intriguing parts of Lowe's season is the fact that he has actually walked more batters than he has struck out (13 strikeouts versus 17 walks). That performance is not likely to stick, but we have seen a steady decline from Lowe since he signed that deal with the Atlanta Braves, so it would not be surprising that he is beginning to lose what little swing-and-miss stuff he ever had. The Marlins offense will look to capitalize and bring him down to earth.


Order Player Proj wOBA vs. RHP
1 Jose Reyes .350
2 Omar Infante .321
3 Hanley Ramirez .351
4 Greg Dobbs .290
5 Giancarlo Stanton .373
6 Logan Morrison .364
7 Bryan Petersen ---
8 Brett Hayes .269
9 Chris Coghlan .320

Bold Prediction: Marlins def. Indians 3-1