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Bill James' projects the 2009 Florida Marlins hitters

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Yesterday we covered the pitchers and today, as promised, we have the hitters.

Here are projections that ACTA Sports provided from the Bill James Handbook 2009.

Hitter Age G AB HR RC Avg OBP Slg OPS
Alfredo Amezaga 31 127 342 3 36 0.260 0.316 0.345 0.661
John Baker 28 70 225 5 30 0.262 0.333 0.400 0.733
Jorge Cantu 27 152 585 24 84 0.268 0.315 0.467 0.782
Luis Gonzalez 41 125 313 9 45 0.257 0.354 0.415 0.769
Wes Helms 33 113 229 6 28 0.253 0.319 0.397 0.716
Jeremy Hermida 25 145 516 20 85 0.275 0.363 0.459 0.822
Mike Jacobs 28 134 452 26 75 0.270 0.325 0.515 0.841
Paul Lo Duca 37 73 187 3 23 0.274 0.338 0.376 0.714
Cameron Maybin 22 141 490 16 81 0.276 0.362 0.445 0.806
Mike Rabelo 29 56 141 3 15 0.248 0.303 0.362 0.664
Hanley Ramirez 25 157 627 30 131 0.309 0.388 0.539 0.927
Cody Ross 28 132 428 21 67 0.264 0.327 0.486 0.813
Matt Treanor 33 82 228 3 22 0.237 0.318 0.316 0.633
Dan Uggla 29 158 618 31 99 0.261 0.344 0.488 0.833
Josh Willingham 30 138 507 23 87 0.270 0.371 0.479 0.850

A word of caution before you get all giddy or say OMG, these are just numbers feed into an algorithm which may be nothing close to what will happen.  Then again on the other hand, they may end up fairly accurate.  At this point, they are just kinda interesting.

Some thoughts.

  • Unless the Marlins make a trade in the offseason, Baker is going to catch more than 70 games.  However, the projection doesn't take into account the wearing down physically he will experience catching most every day.
  • I will be shocked if Hermida provides 85 runs created.  The most he has ever put up was 78 in 2007.  In 2008 his RC dropped to 66.  Also his average OPS is .779 which makes the projected .822 seem like a stretch to me.  Maybe not an unbelievable stretch, but a stretch nonetheless.
  • Hanley, well what can you say, the boy knows what to do with the bat.
  • Cody's numbers, while understandably, look like a minimum to me.  Assuming he plays most everyday.
  • Treanor's numbers look low to me, but then again who knows what he can do with normal playing time when he is not injured.  And that is something none of us has seen.
  • Danny is Danny, he slugs.
  • Willingham's are interesting, in that they would lead one to surmise that if one of the corner outfielders is traded, it shouldn't be him.

Like I said, sort of, the numbers are educated guesses.  Still, they are interesting to peruse.