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Open Thread and Ichthyomancy: Home Run Derby (7/9)

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Tonight is the Home Run Derby version of Ichthyomancy.

The Derby starts at 8:00 p.m.

The rules are as follows:

Opening Round
  • Each player gets 10 outs to hit as many home runs as possible.
  • The four players with the most home runs hit in the Opening Round advance to the Semi-Final Round.
Semi-Final Round
  • Home runs totals from the first round will carry over to the second round.
  • Each player gets 10 outs to hit as many home runs as possible per at bat.
  • The two players with the most home runs in the Semi-Final Round advance to the Championship Round.
Championship Round
  • Home runs from the first two rounds do not carry over to the Championship Round; Opening and Semi-Final Round totals are cleared from the board.
  • Each player gets 10 outs to hit as many home runs as possible.
  • The player who hits the most home runs in the Championship Round is declared the Home Run Derby champion.
Rules
  • An out is registered when a player swings at a pitch and does not hit a home run.
  • A ball hit over the fence must be fair to count as a home run.

I think the golden ball is a thing of the past, but I'm not sure about that.

Ichthyomancy points will be awarded in these categories: champion, most homers in a single round, most homers in the derby, and for any accurate (and specific) above and beyond picks (i.e. Vladimir Guerrero goes homerless in the first round and is eliminated or Ryan Howard outhomers Justin Morneau 5-3 in the finals.)

Tonight's Participants

Player Team Lg
Prince Fielder Brewers NL
Justin Morneau Twins AL
Ryan Howard Phillies NL
Alex Rios Blue Jays AL
Albert Pujols Cardinals NL
Vladimir Guerrero Angels AL
Magglio Ordonez Tigers AL
TBA Don't know NL

Since this is totally objective, I get to play. Naturally for the home run derby, and also the All-Star game, you can choose anyone you like.

My picks:
Champion: Ryan Howard
Most homers in one round: Vladimir Guerrero
Most homers (cumulative): Ryan Howard
AAB: 15 balls land in the cove, total

It's your turn to make your picks. I will add your name to the table as you make your selections. And yes, the points do count, well, for everyone but me.

Ichthyomancy pick table:

FishStriper Champion Single Round Cumulative AAB
Bumppo Howard Ordonez Howard LH > RH, AL > NL
Craig Howard Guerrero Howard 15 splash balls total
Dan Fielder Howard Howard Pujols: longest HR, fewest HR
Fluxuation Fielder Howard Fielder 3 hitters: HR < 3
HadMatter Holliday Fielder Howard Someone runs on the field
Hurricane Pujols Howard Fielder Fielder 3 HR in 1st 3 swings. fouls out of the park in next 2
Jim B Guerrero Howard Howard Guerrero > Morneau, Howard > Pujols, Fielder > Rios
Jrsyeagle Ordonez Howard Guerrero 20+ splash balls, 1+ hit foul pole
Marlins9703 Howard Fielder Howard First round: Howard 12+, Fielder 15+, 8+ splash balls
NYULaw Fielder Pujols Howard Morneau: longest HR

Best of Luck to Everyone!