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Who should be the Marlin's lead-off hitter?

Being a good lead-off hitter means knowing how to get to first base.

Last week 161 readers voted and most of them (54%) said they usually watch Rich and Tommy to follow the Marlins. That was followed by MLB.tv at 16% and attending games at 4%. So when the Miami Marlins come up to bat for the first time ever, and with all eyes on them, who should be that number one hitter?

Lead-off hitters typically possess certain traits that make them an asset. Some of those traits include:

  • High OBP (On-base percentage)
  • Good speed
  • Good base-running skills

Lead-off hitters must be able to draw walks by being patient at the plate and generate hits as well. Getting on base is vital for the number one hitter. Once he reaches, if he has the skill-set to steal bases, he creates more scoring opportunities for his club.

Candidates


Emilio Bonifacio: If the roster stays the way it is now, Emilio Bonifacio will likely be the starting center fielder. Last year Bonifacio led the team with a .360 OBP (albeit Badenhop's 7 at-bats). He is the fastest man on the team and led them with 40 stolen bases last year. The entire rest of the team combined for 55. He also led the team with a .296 batting average. It is important to note that he was second on the team in strikeouts with 129, and that is one quality you don't want in a lead-off hitter.

Hanley Ramirez: Hanley has played stints as the lead-off hitter and he has expressed his displeasure of it. He has stated before that he wants to bat third. Can he be an effective lead-off hitter though? Absolutely. He has the speed, and was second on the team last year in stolen bases with 20. Hanley's batting average and OBP were down last year, but everyone is expecting a big rebound.

Jose Reyes: Many critics have questioned Reyes' durability. However, Reyes led his team last year in games played at 126. He also led his team in stolen bases at 39, AVG at .337, and was second on his club in OBP at .384 with only 41 strikeouts. Personally, my vote goes to Reyes because of his consistency and Bonifacio's speed. I believe placing the speedster behind Reyes would create more runs because Boni has shown the ability to score on a hit from first base. Also while Reyes doesn't hit many home runs, it's nice to have a guy who can do that every once in awhile. Not only can it give your team a spark to start the game, but it can also prevent a pitcher from having to run the bases should make it on. Based off career numbers, Reyes is 455 times more likely to hit a home run than Bonifacio.

2011 Stats and Individual Team Rankings (min 50 ABs)
Player OBP AVG SB BB %KO % HR
Emilio Bonifacio .360 (1st) .296 (1st) 40 (1st) 10.44% 22.83% 5 (T-10th)
Hanley Ramirez .333 (5th) .243 (8th) 20 (2nd) 13.02% 19.53% 10 (5th)
Jose Reyes .384 (2nd) .337 (1st) 39 (1st) 8.01% 7.64% 7 (T-5th)
Career Stats
Player OBP AVG SB/g BB %KO % HR %
Emilio Bonifacio .328 .269 .194 9.16% 22.53% .004%
Hanley Ramirez .380 .306 .254 11.11% 18.28% 4.04%
Jose Reyes .341 .292 .352 7.48% 11.43% 1.82%
Key
Best Stat of Candidates Second Best Worst Stat
Poll
Who should bat lead-off?
Emilio Bonifacio
70 votes
Hanley Ramirez
5 votes
Jose Reyes
230 votes

305 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 17 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I want Boni 9th

Reyes 1st
Ramirez 2nd or 3rd

Reyes
Ramirez
Stanton
Morrison
Sanchez
Buck
Infante
Pitcher
Bonifacio

hopefully this would give the marlins a 2nd lead-off hitter in Boni.
keep Ramirez and Stanton in prime Run production spots, and maybe even give Reyes a chance to produce.
also Morrison at 4 provides a Lefty in the middle of the order (that is good enough to be there) to mess with the matchups

http://baseballperiod.blogspot.com/

by bronzeagle on Feb 5, 2012 5:25 PM EST reply actions  

Well Reyes is clearly the better Lead-off hitter

we have 2 players with a similar skill set, and 1st and 9th are the best lineup spots to put them.

http://baseballperiod.blogspot.com/

by bronzeagle on Feb 5, 2012 10:07 PM EST up reply actions  

statistically speaking

you gain more runs by having a player like Boni getting on base before the top of the order than you lose by giving more ABs to the pitcher.

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/constructing-lineups/

http://baseballperiod.blogspot.com/

by bronzeagle on Feb 5, 2012 10:12 PM EST up reply actions  

they way I see it

Reyes, Ramirez and Stanton are our 3 best hitters. Under no circumstances would I want one of those players at 6. Also he has the highest OBP (per 2011 stats).
the article I posted is somewhat dated in terms of the actual players and statistics is mentions…but the concepts (specifically what it cites from the book) are basically universal.

and no

http://baseballperiod.blogspot.com/

by bronzeagle on Feb 5, 2012 10:57 PM EST up reply actions  

That looks like a LaRussa lineup...

Marlins in the off-season. Get some... Free agents, that is.

by marlinsfan315 on Feb 7, 2012 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

stanton should not bat lead-off

his obp was .356 last year but he lacks speed and racks up to many kos
5 sb, 5 cs
lead the team in strikeouts @ 166

also, why would you want the guy who leads the team in homeruns to hit them while the bases are empty?

by FishNFinz on Feb 6, 2012 11:47 PM EST up reply actions  

So I'll get into batting lineups sometime near the end of the Marlins Season Preview period

Suffice to say, bronzeagle has already mentioned the most important rule to lineup construction: bat your three best guys in the #1, #2, and #4 slots. Leadoff is one of those important spots, and you want one of Reyes, Stanton, or Ramirez there. Reyes is probably the way to go, even though he does not take advantage of that spot enough with his below average walk rate (the walk is worth more from the leadoff spot than it is from any other spot in the lineup), but it is an acceptable move.

I won’t give much more away in terms of how I would build the team’s lineup, but we’ll discuss it at a later time.

by Michael Jong on Feb 6, 2012 3:55 PM EST reply actions  

What about pitches seen?

I’d like to know how many pitches per at bat each guy sees. I think thats very important and something Juan Pierre did very well. It always seemed like he made the pitcher work hard right off the bat. I’d like to know who between Reyes and Emilio sees the most pitchers. I’d be happy with any combo of Reyes and Boni 1 and 2. Reminds of the days of Juan and Luis at the top of the order.

by Billy_Marlin on Feb 6, 2012 7:57 PM EST reply actions  

My thoughts...

Reyes – SS
Bonifacio – CF
Stanton – RF
Ramirez – 3B
LoMo – LF
Gaby – 1B
Buck – C
Infante – 2B
Pitcher

Marlins in the off-season. Get some... Free agents, that is.

by marlinsfan315 on Feb 7, 2012 11:55 AM EST reply actions  

I thought about...

Swapping LoMo and Stanton, just to give Mikey a better chance to get more ducks on the pond. Switching him with Hanley might make sense, but you also gotta figure in the prima donna factor. Hanley seemed to perform better once he was put in the cleanup spot. I hate to cater to egos, but I’m thinking production value more than anything and I would hate to lose it because of sulking.

Marlins in the off-season. Get some... Free agents, that is.

by marlinsfan315 on Feb 7, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

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